NBA · resolved market
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe3249d9379acbbedd56ed340591930d6b363a4871f865955a0a545f062aaff84
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spursof Knicks, Spurs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,311
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,313
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,311 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Spurs | 66c | 7,540$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,540.32 | 145 | 56.6%82 W · 63 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Knicks | 33c | 2,151$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.83 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Spurs | 71c | 1,967$1,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.23 | 189 | 41.8%79 W · 110 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Knicks | 24c | 1,818$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.69 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Knicks | 1c | 1,649$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.49 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Knicks | 8c | 1,613$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.82 | 192 | 46.4%89 W · 103 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Knicks | 27c | 1,578$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.06 | 538 | 42%226 W · 312 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Knicks | 31c | 1,419$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.85 | 428 | 42.5%182 W · 246 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Knicks | 9c | 1,228$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.09 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1543…baafbacked Knicks | 35c | 1,000$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.15 | 127 | 41.7%53 W · 74 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Knicks | 34c | 999.99$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 663 | 52.6%349 W · 314 L | +30.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Knicks | 26c | 970.38$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.3 | 274 | 63.5%174 W · 100 L | +34.8wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Knicks | 35c | 711.86$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.64 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Knicks | 13c | 564$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.52 | 766 | 53.5%410 W · 356 L | +65.5wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Spurs | 65c | 506$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.1 | 253 | 52.6%133 W · 120 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Knicks | 34c | 501$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.34 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x291d…2f8bbacked Knicks | 37c | 497.09$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.37 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Knicks | 34c | 447.85$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.72 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc04…1c43backed Knicks | 35c | 428.57$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 105 | 48.6%51 W · 54 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Knicks | 34c | 420$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.8 | 259 | 54.4%141 W · 118 L | +34.1wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +68.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xab1c…aaddbacked Knicks | 36c | 381.24$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.25 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Knicks | 34c | 363.12$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.46 | 521 | 50.9%265 W · 256 L | +18.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6303…9556backed Spurs | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 188 | 53.2%100 W · 88 L | -9.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5b…5d3abacked Spurs | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.03 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3918…b552backed Knicks | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 140 | 46.4%65 W · 75 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Knicks | 28c | 250$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Spurs | 74c | 207.99$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.08 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Spurs | 64c | 186.28$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.24 | 304 | 48.4%147 W · 157 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd246…95d8backed Spurs | 64c | 168.68$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.72 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.26per pick | 47cpaid | +60.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf284…b9f9backed Knicks | 33c | 168.03$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.45 | 186 | 51.1%95 W · 91 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…8559backed Knicks | 26c | 161$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.86 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e51…42cebacked Knicks | 34c | 149.97$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.49 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Spurs | 65c | 146.25$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.66 | 131 | 61.8%81 W · 50 L | +13.4wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Knicks | 28c | 143.15$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.08 | 1,170 | 50.3%588 W · 582 L | +46.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa3c…a6a3backed Knicks | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5e…95e3backed Spurs | 71c | 118.18$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.25 | 210 | 46.2%97 W · 113 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Knicks | 34c | 118$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.12 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Spurs | 72c | 116.57$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.64 | 557 | 51.9%289 W · 268 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Knicks | 35c | 115$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.25 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9782…9630backed Knicks | 36c | 106.25$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.25 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b7…3852backed Spurs | 80c | 103.58$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.72 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.14per pick | 62cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Knicks | 29c | 88$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.52 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed Knicks | 26c | 73.37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.31 | 99 | 56.6%56 W · 43 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +18%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda8a…2dbabacked Spurs | 65c | 70.77$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.77 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f63…57b9backed Knicks | 36c | 55.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.24per pick | 47cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa622…c775backed Knicks | 36c | 55.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70b2…5805backed Spurs | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Spurs | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 107 | 57%61 W · 46 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d4…4041backed Spurs | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca78…fe5dbacked Knicks | 35c | 47.14$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 66 | 24.2%16 W · 50 L | -5.6wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Spurs | 68c | 45$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 717 | 52%373 W · 344 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf596…4b79backed Spurs | 66c | 44.94$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.28 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +4.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…36b8backed Spurs | 76c | 41.05$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29d8…e1b3backed Knicks | 34c | 32.09$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.91 | 105 | 48.6%51 W · 54 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56e7…a35dbacked Spurs | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb6…9e4dbacked Spurs | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61d3…189abacked Spurs | 72c | 16.93$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 98. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Knicks (-6.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-1.5)Spurs won
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-10.5)Spurs won
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-4.5)Spurs won
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-1.5)Spurs won
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-4.5)Spurs won
- De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Devin Vassell: Points O/U 2.5Yes won
- Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 26.5Yes won
- Jalen Brunson: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
- Julian Champagnie: Assists O/U 0.5Yes won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 11.5No won
- Mikal Bridges: Assists O/U 0.5Yes won
- Mikal Bridges: Rebounds O/U 0.5Yes won
- OG Anunoby: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- OG Anunoby: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Spread: Knicks (-1.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-10.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-11.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-12.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-13.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-14.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-15.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-16.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-17.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-18.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-19.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-2.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-21.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-3.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-4.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-5.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-7.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-8.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-9.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-1.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-10.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-11.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-12.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-13.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-14.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-15.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-16.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-17.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-18.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-19.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-2.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-20.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-3.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-4.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-5.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-6.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-7.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-8.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-9.5)Knicks won
- Spurs vs. KnicksKnicks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.