TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Knicks (-3.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Spursof Knicks, Spurs
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$94,512
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$96,156

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $94,512 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x224a…a3d5backed Spurs55c39,547$21,751 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,796.2610944%48 W · 61 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf284…b9f9backed Knicks45c39,508$17,779 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,778.8218651.1%95 W · 91 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d7b…e2cebacked Knicks45c6,521$2,934 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,934.315940.7%24 W · 35 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2942…59abbacked Knicks44c5,000$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,199.9418044.4%80 W · 100 L+15.8wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+36.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Spurs64c4,629$2,942 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,687.018,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Spurs61c3,480$2,137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,343.0756646.5%263 W · 303 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Knicks45c3,240$1,462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,461.7264948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Knicks39c2,028$791 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$790.9942842.5%182 W · 246 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Knicks37c1,641$612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$612.281,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Spurs55c1,491$820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$670.814,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Knicks15c1,490$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.5493148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4946…4004backed Knicks46c1,209$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55521957.1%125 W · 94 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Spurs55c990.13$545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.561,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51da…a701backed Spurs56c918.25$514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.031241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.16per pick57cpaid-20.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x51ce…44c1backed Spurs55c800$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36011451.8%59 W · 55 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Knicks9c730.03$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.471,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd70b…dcb1backed Spurs56c723.54$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.368333.7%28 W · 55 L-12.7wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-30%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Spurs55c629.32$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.531,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa106…5abbbacked Spurs56c624.61$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.8315649.4%77 W · 79 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4fc7…f7debacked Knicks45c620.78$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.351136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Spurs55c609.47$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.264,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Spurs54c607.22$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.3225651.2%131 W · 125 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Spurs56c526.79$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.7950954.8%279 W · 230 L+14.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3918…b552backed Knicks45c444.44$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20014046.4%65 W · 75 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc5df…be7cbacked Knicks45c444.44$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001030%3 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+143.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e3a…3246backed Spurs71c428$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.4419954.8%109 W · 90 L+12.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x46df…b057backed Spurs55c363.64$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.6421164.5%136 W · 75 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+1.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed Spurs55c363.64$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.6447651.7%246 W · 230 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd52d…412dbacked Spurs56c357.14$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.1453539.6%212 W · 323 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f23…b19ebacked Spurs56c351.93$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.853571.4%25 W · 10 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick63cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd5e8…fafcbacked Spurs56c335.71$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.711100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Knicks32c308.83$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.5553842%226 W · 312 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fb3…88c1backed Spurs55c306$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.6861253.1%325 W · 287 L-20.0wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Spurs69c293.56$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.5925045.6%114 W · 136 L+7.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f55…8956backed Spurs57c279.44$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.161384.6%11 W · 2 L+3.7wins+0.28per pick56cpaid+48%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa0a6…2a95backed Spurs55c272.73$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.73540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-26.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Spurs54c267.81$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.191,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e51…42cebacked Spurs55c259.97$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.998355.4%46 W · 37 L+6.7wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Knicks39c250$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.517946.4%83 W · 96 L+8.8wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Spurs55c237$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.6534850.9%177 W · 171 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Knicks27c223.27$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.7130842.9%132 W · 176 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Spurs62c208$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.042,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Knicks45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9029346.4%136 W · 157 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Spurs74c182$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.21,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Spurs55c182$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.91,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6303…9556backed Spurs56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.5718853.2%100 W · 88 L-9.9wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb54a…171fbacked Spurs56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.57366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+23.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86a6…1b3ebacked Knicks26c176.88$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$464156.1%23 W · 18 L+3.6wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+21.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2284…e326backed Spurs58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.411662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.8wins+0.18per pick45cpaid+25.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9438…3d6abacked Spurs55c171.11$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7738947.6%185 W · 204 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2de8…1121backed Spurs56c170.84$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.1790957.6%524 W · 385 L-1.9wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6383…6e28backed Spurs64c154.59$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.656038.3%23 W · 37 L-9.6wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-28.5%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xbe88…67a8backed Spurs63c154.44$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.1418557.3%106 W · 79 L+8.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Spurs55c153.25$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.9662144%273 W · 348 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd43f…0bb0backed Knicks14c153$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.4235532.4%115 W · 240 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-17%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b2b…e5e7backed Spurs56c138.98$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.156347.6%30 W · 33 L-5.5wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-15.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc0fe…c2c2backed Knicks41c121.95$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick37cpaid+95.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Knicks21c120.65$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.9452053.3%277 W · 243 L+29.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x03f0…63e0backed Knicks45c111.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011239.3%44 W · 68 L-11.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-31%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Spurs55c111.11$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5030448.4%147 W · 157 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6210…4fb1backed Knicks45c111$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.952748.1%13 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc235…99f8backed Spurs55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4512146.3%56 W · 65 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1980…3340backed Spurs65c98.5$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.697152.1%37 W · 34 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Spurs63c92.11$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.0852861.9%327 W · 201 L+32.3wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5ab9…5be4backed Spurs55c90.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.912138.1%8 W · 13 L-3.3wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-29%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8328…e5ebbacked Spurs70c88.04$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.672070%14 W · 6 L+2.8wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+24.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf5ca…77c1backed Knicks16c81.43$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1310%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Spurs65c80.64$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.2289048.8%434 W · 456 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebb1…e7afbacked Spurs55c80$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3636854.1%199 W · 169 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Knicks44c80$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.225340.3%102 W · 151 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Spurs56c73.18$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.21,63448.1%786 W · 848 L+5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3308…f04bbacked Spurs56c68.75$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.1125944%114 W · 145 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5520…6938backed Knicks45c66.67$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307548%36 W · 39 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf89…0fb1backed Knicks45c66.67$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303554.3%19 W · 16 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x60a5…f52ebacked Knicks45c64.44$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2922453.1%119 W · 105 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a1f…1a84backed Spurs56c55.25$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.31250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Knicks44c54.78$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.1125554.5%139 W · 116 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc08…267abacked Spurs55c54.55$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.557948.1%38 W · 41 L-5.2wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-11.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xeed8…82f3backed Knicks45c51.11$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2320%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c36…e462backed Spurs55c50$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.511851.7%61 W · 57 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x348c…c8efbacked Spurs70c48.4$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.712951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb428…74c8backed Knicks44c45.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206344.4%28 W · 35 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9ae…2103backed Spurs56c44.64$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.644544.4%20 W · 25 L-5.9wins-0.13per pick58cpaid-26.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1510…3365backed Knicks45c44.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b73…174ebacked Knicks34c44.44$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.116352.4%33 W · 30 L+5.7wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+24.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Knicks44c40$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.660049.8%299 W · 301 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9139…30a9backed Knicks45c40$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Spurs74c40$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.41,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6769…f8b9backed Spurs55c36.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.366454.7%35 W · 29 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9991…36b8backed Spurs56c35.21$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.491872.2%13 W · 5 L+2.6wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+28.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2ff7…bf32backed Spurs72c32.03$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.093066.7%20 W · 10 L+2.9wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+22.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3339…3492backed Knicks46c31$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.261560%9 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x497c…a9bbbacked Knicks45c28.31$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.74616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.30per pick47cpaid-66.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb701…5f0ebacked Spurs56c26.79$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.79650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Spurs59c25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.253,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0a0…e8fcbacked Spurs56c21.14$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.34100%4 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+108.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2638…8e2dbacked Spurs55c19.67$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.851060%6 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd7b7…3852backed Spurs55c18.51$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.332576%19 W · 6 L+3.4wins+0.14per pick62cpaid+18.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7fc5…9fcfbacked Spurs56c18.18$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8475%3 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.35per pick40cpaid+42.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1d50…d283backed Spurs74c17.12$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.379157.1%52 W · 39 L+6.8wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+11.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 98. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.