TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Knicks (-8.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Spursof Knicks, Spurs
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$20,500
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$20,036

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,500 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Spurs78c2,430$1,895 inWon+$534.798,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Spurs71c2,169$1,532 inWon+$637.8325352.6%133 W · 120 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Knicks23c1,680$383 inLost-$382.6353842%226 W · 312 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Knicks24c1,621$394 inLost-$393.9642842.5%182 W · 246 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Spurs71c1,549$1,099 inWon+$449.6564948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Knicks20c1,283$251 inLost-$251.41,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1543…baafbacked Knicks30c1,150$345 inLost-$34512741.7%53 W · 74 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Knicks29c845.99$248 inLost-$247.7330448.4%147 W · 157 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Knicks29c800$232 inLost-$2321,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Knicks21c598$126 inLost-$125.5827463.5%174 W · 100 L+34.8wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+19.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Spurs76c558$424 inWon+$133.9256646.5%263 W · 303 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Knicks10c472.62$47 inLost-$471,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Spurs71c425.25$302 inWon+$123.3213161.8%81 W · 50 L+13.4wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+16.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Knicks8c425.13$34 inLost-$33.9320558.5%120 W · 85 L+19.6wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+26.3%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Spurs80c421.52$337 inWon+$84.31,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x291d…2f8bbacked Knicks30c333.33$100 inLost-$1003351.5%17 W · 16 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Knicks29c284.33$83 inLost-$83.31,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Knicks23c250$58 inLost-$57.517946.4%83 W · 96 L+8.8wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e51…42cebacked Spurs69c246.29$171 inWon+$75.358355.4%46 W · 37 L+6.7wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe67c…33f2backed Knicks30c200.33$60 inLost-$6030%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdaee…8559backed Knicks25c200$50 inLost-$503537.1%13 W · 22 L-3.6wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-24.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Knicks29c200$58 inLost-$5818653.2%99 W · 87 L+9.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+16.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Spurs77c185$142 inWon+$42.551,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Knicks22c176$38 inLost-$37.8430842.9%132 W · 176 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac9f…ff90backed Knicks31c161.29$50 inLost-$501010%1 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick26cpaid-81.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1dd1…7ca9backed Spurs71c140.85$100 inWon+$40.85475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+29.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x29d8…e1b3backed Knicks29c126.96$37 inLost-$36.7510548.6%51 W · 54 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfccf…8c8abacked Spurs72c121.15$87 inWon+$33.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Spurs77c87.89$68 inWon+$20.2152150.9%265 W · 256 L+18.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe5b7…5ee3backed Knicks29c81.77$24 inLost-$23.7111333.6%38 W · 75 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Knicks30c52.9$16 inLost-$15.711,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Knicks21c52.38$11 inLost-$1118941.8%79 W · 110 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d63…2cbfbacked Knicks29c51.72$15 inLost-$155058%29 W · 21 L+5.4wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+41.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe80f…3354backed Knicks29c51.72$15 inLost-$152646.2%12 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33d2…9ac2backed Spurs78c49.67$39 inWon+$10.93977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.23per pick55cpaid+70.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x193e…76ebbacked Spurs73c40$29 inWon+$10.83342.4%14 W · 19 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-18.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9991…36b8backed Spurs75c37.49$28 inWon+$9.371872.2%13 W · 5 L+2.6wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+28.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7d14…6498backed Spurs71c26.63$19 inWon+$7.72560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5eb6…9e4dbacked Spurs76c26.32$20 inWon+$6.326259.7%37 W · 25 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x817a…0a90backed Spurs71c15.13$11 inWon+$4.39742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-28.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 98. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.