TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Spurs (-20.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Knicksof Spurs, Knicks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$280,564
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$284,726

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $280,564 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 180 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3dfb…abafbacked Spurs50c59,038$29,519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,519.0114538.6%56 W · 89 L-12.9wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-22.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xd81e…e3d0backed Spurs50c58,538$29,211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,210.686445.3%29 W · 35 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Knicks50c53,324$26,662 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,662.21,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Knicks54c28,489$15,327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,161.981,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2805…76edbacked Knicks50c26,395$13,224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,171.168439.3%33 W · 51 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7634…600dbacked Spurs64c12,359$7,891 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,891.0328056.8%159 W · 121 L+22.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+50.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6982…a165backed Spurs49c6,621$3,276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,276.261471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick63cpaid+16.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Knicks50c6,433$3,217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,216.6152150.9%265 W · 256 L+18.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Spurs6c5,299$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.9427937.3%104 W · 175 L+57.6wins+0.21per pick17cpaid+187%equal weight71+0.19 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Knicks74c5,155$3,828 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,327.652,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Knicks50c4,288$2,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,127.455251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Spurs31c3,876$1,216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,215.878,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4f9…f619backed Knicks51c3,516$1,783 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,732.143461.8%21 W · 13 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+17.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Spurs44c3,410$1,506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,505.891,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Knicks36c3,339$1,202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,136.772,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9030…4a23backed Knicks78c2,908$2,265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$643.547862.8%49 W · 29 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6569…a053backed Spurs21c2,698$577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$577.376141%25 W · 36 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+35.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Knicks53c2,498$1,325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,173.0893148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a90…03b5backed Spurs41c2,437$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e2c…bd51backed Knicks62c2,100$1,304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$795.796163.9%39 W · 22 L+7.5wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+68.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Spurs5c2,076$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.5118445.7%84 W · 100 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa7f4…88e6backed Spurs5c1,931$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.5612324.4%30 W · 93 L+0.4wins0.00per pick24cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Knicks74c1,909$1,405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503.831,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Spurs30c1,840$558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$558.364948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xad9c…9889backed Spurs52c1,629$842 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$842.27757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick37cpaid+53.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2fcd…e3d7backed Spurs50c1,454$727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$726.85742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-17.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Knicks50c1,444$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$723.392,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Knicks68c1,286$874 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.791,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Knicks54c1,179$631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$548.332,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Knicks69c1,102$757 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.181,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdeae…523dbacked Knicks50c1,100$551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$548.94946.9%23 W · 26 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5145…dd71backed Knicks50c1,100$551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$548.91163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+26.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x55fb…fe7bbacked Knicks50c987.36$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.6910342.7%44 W · 59 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+14.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Knicks45c880.24$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.5627245.6%124 W · 148 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Knicks50c876.78$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$438.684443%363 W · 481 L-40.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x630d…875abacked Spurs7c855.12$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60633.3%2 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.19per pick14cpaid+95.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a7a…6c9abacked Spurs7c852.94$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602920.7%6 W · 23 L-4.6wins-0.16per pick36cpaid-44.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2728…4f96backed Knicks48c836.82$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436.8213037.7%49 W · 81 L-14.4wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-24.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Knicks50c835.3$417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418.551,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x15ec…267dbacked Knicks73c809.99$592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.441060%6 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+38%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Knicks56c750.43$417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.2214551%74 W · 71 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xca85…7453backed Spurs12c682.84$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.716346%29 W · 34 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Spurs12c672$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.1945445.2%205 W · 249 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed Spurs21c668$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.9553945.3%244 W · 295 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1092…9cfabacked Knicks51c619.98$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.675257.7%30 W · 22 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+16.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Spurs33c610.8$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.5253842%226 W · 312 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a15…e238backed Spurs5c600$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307950.6%40 W · 39 L+6.0wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+5.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Spurs4c600$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2450346.5%234 W · 269 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab04…a00abacked Spurs50c550$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-25.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Knicks50c532.46$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.792750.6%469 W · 458 L-1.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9542…4295backed Knicks50c500$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.55947.5%28 W · 31 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid+4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Knicks50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2501,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x750c…d430backed Knicks72c499.99$358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14211258.9%66 W · 46 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Knicks47c498.05$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.7352053.3%277 W · 243 L+29.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Spurs27c479.1$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.0868838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x920e…7873backed Knicks50c460.06$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.0611645.7%53 W · 63 L-11.5wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-13.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe790…698cbacked Knicks50c437.76$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.444100%4 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+123%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcd37…e117backed Spurs25c428.67$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.864531.1%14 W · 31 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd032…5136backed Knicks50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20011450.9%58 W · 56 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c41…6275backed Spurs21c400$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.64526.7%12 W · 33 L0.0wins0.00per pick27cpaid+7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb285…68d3backed Knicks50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200875%6 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+29.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6e49…f1afbacked Knicks49c399.99$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.63745.9%17 W · 20 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x08be…bea8backed Knicks52c385.94$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.9410861.1%66 W · 42 L-6.0wins-0.06per pick67cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd155…b79bbacked Knicks53c380.23$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.231346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+22.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf83b…44a2backed Knicks50c380$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19015246.7%71 W · 81 L+0.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Knicks50c333$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.174100%4 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+61.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3252…1d21backed Knicks50c324.38$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.871625%4 W · 12 L-2.4wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-38.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1980…3340backed Knicks61c323.32$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.527152.1%37 W · 34 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Knicks70c320.79$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.5752861.9%327 W · 201 L+32.3wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x316f…795abacked Spurs20c313.48$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.6717237.2%64 W · 108 L+0.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Knicks58c302.21$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.89853.1%52 W · 46 L+9.3wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+8.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xe9f5…9e94backed Knicks50c299.4$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.41080%8 W · 2 L+3.1wins+0.31per pick49cpaid+76.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3537…3b51backed Knicks48c296.37$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.145100%5 W · 0 L+2.6wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+114.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x72a6…cfefbacked Knicks50c295$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.685839.7%23 W · 35 L-5.1wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-19.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8077…ffefbacked Spurs15c292.36$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.15850%4 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+16.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Knicks73c287$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.730551.5%157 W · 148 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed Knicks77c276.67$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.5225150.6%127 W · 124 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Spurs6c266.06$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9619548.2%94 W · 101 L+12.4wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Knicks41c250$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.5525045.6%114 W · 136 L+7.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3013…e5b2backed Knicks50c250$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.753946.2%18 W · 21 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+2.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x99f7…1a59backed Spurs21c240$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.3623441.5%97 W · 137 L+13.6wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+6.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x209f…2337backed Knicks50c236.35$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.94977.8%7 W · 2 L+3.6wins+0.40per pick38cpaid+124.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x12b4…a662backed Knicks80c236.13$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.3559255.4%328 W · 264 L+23.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbbdd…cd9dbacked Knicks66c225.9$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.91275%9 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+29.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x744b…848ebacked Knicks50c217.56$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.5614552.4%76 W · 69 L+5.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe88…67a8backed Knicks61c213.99$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.0318557.3%106 W · 79 L+8.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb71…10cdbacked Spurs32c200$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.226233.6%88 W · 174 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc02…f89cbacked Knicks55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9013947.5%66 W · 73 L-11.2wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-16.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3085…7568backed Spurs21c200$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.811329.2%33 W · 80 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-25.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Knicks62c199$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.7336051.7%186 W · 174 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbaad…9cd2backed Knicks51c190.78$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.91425%1 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick16cpaid-51.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ee7…f36ebacked Knicks56c179.55$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.552770.4%19 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick67cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad4b…e93dbacked Knicks66c152.34$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.343100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+128.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Spurs43c150.43$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.9332654.6%178 W · 148 L+22.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe037…8a91backed Knicks53c149.79$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.86947.8%33 W · 36 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb07e…0df5backed Knicks50c140$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.8610941.3%45 W · 64 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb1c6…2d29backed Spurs39c128.51$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.614431.8%14 W · 30 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-16.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf3c8…e340backed Spurs11c125$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1433030.9%102 W · 228 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a72…0a38backed Spurs21c120$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.6816640.4%67 W · 99 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+13.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x300d…780dbacked Spurs21c120$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.686648.5%32 W · 34 L+8.4wins+0.13per pick36cpaid+19.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 98. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.