TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Spurs (-5.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Knicksof Spurs, Knicks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$81,480
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$84,320

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $81,480 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5aa9…febebacked Knicks58c8,851$5,115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,735.61,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Knicks52c4,206$2,199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,007.21,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Spurs45c4,112$1,862 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,861.7955251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9916…bcb2backed Spurs49c4,007$1,964 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,963.9618743.3%81 W · 106 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-4.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Knicks34c3,687$1,247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,439.8793148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Knicks56c3,019$1,704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,315.142842.5%182 W · 246 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Knicks68c2,770$1,894 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$876.5925352.6%133 W · 120 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Spurs48c2,511$1,211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,210.778,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Spurs45c1,652$742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$741.9130551.5%157 W · 148 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Knicks43c1,639$708 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$930.511,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Knicks55c1,562$857 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$704.5553842%226 W · 312 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb225…f7e2backed Spurs59c1,311$774 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$774.131127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.23per pick50cpaid-56.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Spurs35c1,268$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440.3264948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Spurs54c1,197$642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$642.421,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc04…1c43backed Spurs55c1,095$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60010548.6%51 W · 54 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Spurs32c1,064$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.481,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5887…735ebacked Spurs31c964.07$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-46.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Knicks68c868$591 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.61,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6859…fb90backed Knicks49c848.57$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432.776053.3%32 W · 28 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+21.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe5b7…5ee3backed Spurs32c809.18$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.9411333.6%38 W · 75 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb8d…c822backed Knicks68c804.65$547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.492475%18 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x10d4…69ebbacked Knicks50c800$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40062948.6%306 W · 323 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Spurs32c776$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.3250346.5%234 W · 269 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Spurs51c760.61$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.911,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Knicks68c694.44$472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.1130448.4%147 W · 157 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Knicks13c628.36$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$545.8218140.3%73 W · 108 L+24.4wins+0.13per pick27cpaid+60.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Knicks58c613$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.461,20051.6%619 W · 581 L+66.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Knicks30c591$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.621,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Knicks60c500$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.517946.4%83 W · 96 L+8.8wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Spurs63c465.72$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.3918941.8%79 W · 110 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbecc…5672backed Spurs49c440.55$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217128.3%1 W · 11 L-3.4wins-0.28per pick36cpaid-85.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Spurs79c424.19$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.1125045.6%114 W · 136 L+7.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Spurs31c420$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.225954.4%141 W · 118 L+34.1wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+68.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x46f0…fe05backed Spurs56c400$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2241822.2%4 W · 14 L-2.4wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-51.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Knicks54c398.74$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.1630842.9%132 W · 176 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03f0…63e0backed Knicks68c367.65$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.6511239.3%44 W · 68 L-11.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-31%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Knicks57c350$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.54355.8%24 W · 19 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Spurs43c334$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.622,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Knicks68c322.89$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.3813161.8%81 W · 50 L+13.4wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+16.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x21f5…c161backed Spurs32c312.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011440.4%46 W · 68 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+21.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdda3…d55fbacked Knicks8c310$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.25743.9%25 W · 32 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+50.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Spurs48c270.49$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.0352861.9%327 W · 201 L+32.3wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Spurs44c252.91$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.263746.6%297 W · 340 L-16.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Spurs49c250$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.568838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x13d0…4a70backed Spurs50c246.13$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.061421.4%3 W · 11 L-3.3wins-0.24per pick45cpaid-62.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf268…ab74backed Knicks68c235.29$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.293151.6%16 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba58…28c2backed Spurs32c234.38$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$758952.8%47 W · 42 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Spurs51c219.65$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.2225340.3%102 W · 151 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x445c…c4f1backed Knicks69c213.26$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.112365.2%15 W · 8 L+2.7wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+23%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7738…5dbdbacked Spurs58c207.67$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.452254.5%12 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Knicks55c206.54$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.9410944%48 W · 61 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd73c…21f2backed Knicks55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$901442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-20.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a70…76b5backed Knicks55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$905971.2%42 W · 17 L+10.3wins+0.17per pick54cpaid+37.3%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xbe88…67a8backed Spurs53c186.06$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.6118557.3%106 W · 79 L+8.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6383…6e28backed Spurs52c184.44$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.56038.3%23 W · 37 L-9.6wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-28.5%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Spurs31c173.09$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.6666352.6%349 W · 314 L+30.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x316f…795abacked Spurs42c172.31$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.7817237.2%64 W · 108 L+0.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Knicks10c162.64$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.411,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x420b…965bbacked Spurs32c160$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.21723.5%4 W · 13 L-5.4wins-0.32per pick55cpaid-54.3%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Knicks13c152$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.2445445.2%205 W · 249 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Knicks58c146$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.3220558.5%120 W · 85 L+19.6wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+26.3%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0xe881…19abbacked Knicks69c144.92$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.931100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Spurs30c139.75$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.936,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Spurs32c138.61$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.361,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Spurs47c128$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.122,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xde45…1a8dbacked Spurs33c121.21$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404450%22 W · 22 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fee…29acbacked Knicks25c117.65$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.65862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.21per pick42cpaid+69.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Spurs48c113.01$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.5860250.5%304 W · 298 L+14.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Spurs49c111.11$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.4489048.8%434 W · 456 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed Spurs46c106.96$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.225150.6%127 W · 124 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed Spurs33c106.06$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3525847.3%122 W · 136 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e51…42cebacked Spurs32c100.01$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.58355.4%46 W · 37 L+6.7wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7e86…5899backed Knicks68c100$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323256.3%18 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x15ba…f30dbacked Knicks47c99.99$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.997150.7%36 W · 35 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb1c6…2d29backed Spurs51c94.11$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.994431.8%14 W · 30 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-16.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbfbf…3723backed Spurs56c89.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick45cpaid+152.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Spurs42c88$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.9634255.6%190 W · 152 L+28.2wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+36%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Spurs61c76.01$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.1932654.6%178 W · 148 L+22.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x88d4…2e6bbacked Knicks68c73.53$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.531877.8%14 W · 4 L+3.5wins+0.20per pick58cpaid+39%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xee45…05cbbacked Knicks28c67.57$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.65560%3 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.35per pick25cpaid+153.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x00d4…4c46backed Spurs42c67$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.1421242%89 W · 123 L+12.8wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+8.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2cd6…3806backed Spurs49c66$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.342532%8 W · 17 L-6.9wins-0.28per pick60cpaid-41.8%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x300d…780dbacked Spurs42c63$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.466648.5%32 W · 34 L+8.4wins+0.13per pick36cpaid+19.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd217…b3f3backed Knicks67c58.38$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.27862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5aeb…42d4backed Spurs33c54.55$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1827539.6%109 W · 166 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc6…1668backed Knicks48c52.25$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.251154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+180.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x348c…c8efbacked Spurs44c51.61$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.712951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1dbd…0876backed Knicks70c50.11$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.11683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.33per pick50cpaid+72.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3bad…ed33backed Knicks68c50.04$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.012100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+71.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Spurs38c50$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1952150.9%265 W · 256 L+18.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3afd…ccc3backed Spurs32c50$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16850%4 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+30.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Spurs80c50$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403920.5%8 W · 31 L-9.1wins-0.23per pick44cpaid-64.6%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0x0905…e5c0backed Knicks43c50$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.542434.4%146 W · 278 L-19.4wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-25.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd4f9…f619backed Knicks20c50$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403461.8%21 W · 13 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+17.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Knicks68c47.25$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.910757%61 W · 46 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x89b9…118ebacked Spurs43c45$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3571752%373 W · 344 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3da…b7adbacked Knicks45c43.97$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.97728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick36cpaid+10.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0ad…b23ebacked Knicks62c42$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.9615961%97 W · 62 L+8.1wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x06de…cf4cbacked Spurs53c41.43$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.962937.9%11 W · 18 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-16.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xafae…ca54backed Spurs57c38.38$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.993333.3%11 W · 22 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-20.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 98. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.