TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Spurs (-8.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Knicksof Spurs, Knicks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$84,336
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$88,867

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $84,336 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Knicks46c13,274$6,101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,173.291,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Spurs54c10,384$5,619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,618.912,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Spurs51c8,196$4,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,180.021,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Knicks37c3,802$1,414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,387.893148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Spurs67c3,473$2,322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,322.3630551.5%157 W · 148 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Knicks66c3,409$2,236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,173.0742842.5%182 W · 246 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Knicks34c2,797$948 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,849.061,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9fc4…db58backed Spurs59c2,795$1,649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,649.042236.4%8 W · 14 L-3.9wins-0.18per pick54cpaid-36.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x993f…3ee3backed Knicks50c2,195$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,094.56683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.33per pick51cpaid+106.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe5b7…5ee3backed Spurs23c2,191$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50411333.6%38 W · 75 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9a6…0009backed Spurs74c2,112$1,553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,552.794254.8%23 W · 19 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+4.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Knicks44c2,000$880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1202,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x31ad…6a74backed Knicks78c1,665$1,299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.33425%1 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.37per pick62cpaid-67.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Knicks77c1,544$1,189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.1325352.6%133 W · 120 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Knicks44c1,303$577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$726.081,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Knicks57c1,111$636 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$475.4719246.4%89 W · 103 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Knicks68c1,055$722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.3818941.8%79 W · 110 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe88…67a8backed Spurs35c1,026$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.1718557.3%106 W · 79 L+8.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x63ed…b0f4backed Spurs51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5102339.1%9 W · 14 L-2.6wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-33.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Knicks55c959.68$526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.4153842%226 W · 312 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x62ea…b955backed Spurs23c869.57$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003534.3%12 W · 23 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick26cpaid+46.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xaa68…8d45backed Knicks23c869.57$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$669.572100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+221.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5353…51b9backed Spurs57c858.44$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.511040%4 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-22.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Spurs23c700$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16150346.5%234 W · 269 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1529…ba87backed Knicks44c684.77$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.774957.1%28 W · 21 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+14.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Knicks46c575.71$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.261,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Knicks44c500$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2801,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a70…76b5backed Knicks56c499.99$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2205971.2%42 W · 17 L+10.3wins+0.17per pick54cpaid+37.3%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x12b4…a662backed Spurs58c478.53$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.4259255.4%328 W · 264 L+23.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6c16…66cebacked Spurs60c471.04$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.5721953.4%117 W · 102 L+0.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Spurs35c427.89$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.761,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Knicks22c399.81$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.8518140.3%73 W · 108 L+24.4wins+0.13per pick27cpaid+60.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed Spurs42c386.17$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.6425150.6%127 W · 124 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Knicks77c386.01$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.7813161.8%81 W · 50 L+13.4wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+16.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6383…6e28backed Spurs35c351.6$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.066038.3%23 W · 37 L-9.6wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-28.5%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Knicks77c342.51$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.7830448.4%147 W · 157 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03f0…63e0backed Knicks77c324.68$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.6811239.3%44 W · 68 L-11.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-31%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Spurs42c318$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.7419548.2%94 W · 101 L+12.4wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1d13…643cbacked Knicks77c300$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6914338.5%55 W · 88 L-18.4wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-28.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x5e51…42cebacked Spurs22c300$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$678355.4%46 W · 37 L+6.7wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Knicks63c287.47$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.361,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x31b7…21fbbacked Knicks32c284.71$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.61877.8%14 W · 4 L+5.2wins+0.29per pick49cpaid+79.8%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Spurs33c272.45$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.264948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Spurs23c264$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.721,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Knicks69c250$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.517946.4%83 W · 96 L+8.8wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Spurs37c245$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.6568838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Spurs47c238.13$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.3255251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf5e…95e3backed Spurs36c229.26$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.2121046.2%97 W · 113 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x75dc…4f82backed Spurs40c208.03$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.2155751.9%289 W · 268 L+1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e2f…f9babacked Spurs72c206.77$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.8912055.8%67 W · 53 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Knicks27c202.93$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.1462144%273 W · 348 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Knicks60c194.8$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.0430842.9%132 W · 176 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Knicks30c193.95$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.9260250.5%304 W · 298 L+14.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Spurs52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,57353.4%840 W · 733 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13cc…962bbacked Knicks56c160$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.47100%7 W · 0 L+3.7wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+126%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xea10…a070backed Spurs51c157.15$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.9437652.4%197 W · 179 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2cd6…3806backed Spurs72c156.9$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.752532%8 W · 17 L-6.9wins-0.28per pick60cpaid-41.8%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Knicks37c156.27$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.6932654.6%178 W · 148 L+22.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xba34…c745backed Spurs66c151.52$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001833.3%6 W · 12 L-5.1wins-0.28per pick62cpaid-47.1%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Spurs36c142.07$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.1589048.8%434 W · 456 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Spurs23c135.9$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.261,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Knicks41c132.74$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.1992750.6%469 W · 458 L-1.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb27b…5d6ebacked Knicks63c130.51$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.928048.8%39 W · 41 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa11f…1252backed Spurs75c113.87$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.420247.5%96 W · 106 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1c6…2d29backed Spurs46c109.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504431.8%14 W · 30 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-16.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x750c…d430backed Knicks51c105$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.211258.9%66 W · 46 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Knicks13c102$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.7445445.2%205 W · 249 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f14…ca5abacked Spurs56c101.01$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.1212150.4%61 W · 60 L-0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Spurs72c100.93$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.9852861.9%327 W · 201 L+32.3wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x43c0…51ffbacked Spurs56c89.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Knicks29c89.14$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.482,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa7c4…256ebacked Spurs25c80.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20205%1 W · 19 L-5.8wins-0.29per pick34cpaid-89.2%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Spurs53c75.08$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.7984443%363 W · 481 L-40.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa90e…30efbacked Spurs67c74.63$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+27.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafae…ca54backed Spurs47c73.48$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.673333.3%11 W · 22 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-20.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Knicks31c70.71$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.1252053.3%277 W · 243 L+29.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0f12…c916backed Spurs63c62.98$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.576747.8%32 W · 35 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Knicks31c58.03$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.131,20051.6%619 W · 581 L+66.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Knicks75c56.14$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.0325954.4%141 W · 118 L+34.1wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+68.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x33af…c288backed Knicks77c55.95$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.87475%3 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick76cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Spurs68c55$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.463746.6%297 W · 340 L-16.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x982c…0d6ebacked Spurs59c54.29$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.811145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick57cpaid-14.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc6c3…a6e8backed Knicks49c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.520144.8%90 W · 111 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f97…6aafbacked Spurs51c49.82$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.235151%26 W · 25 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x316f…795abacked Spurs46c46$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.1617237.2%64 W · 108 L+0.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca08…c267backed Spurs53c45.35$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.92825%2 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-26.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Spurs59c45$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.3725554.5%139 W · 116 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x89b9…118ebacked Spurs65c45$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.2571752%373 W · 344 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1992…30e2backed Spurs45c44.29$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.095839.7%23 W · 35 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf610…741cbacked Spurs36c42.8$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.417154.9%39 W · 32 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick57cpaid+9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbafe…33a6backed Knicks58c41.14$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.148100%8 W · 0 L+4.4wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+132%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0xa05a…4635backed Spurs74c41$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.321827.8%5 W · 13 L-4.9wins-0.27per pick55cpaid-44.3%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Spurs48c40$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.331866.7%12 W · 6 L+4.0wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+53.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9a00…6994backed Spurs25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb91c…ed66backed Knicks40c39.34$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.755058%29 W · 21 L+8.2wins+0.16per pick42cpaid+42.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x4f99…5936backed Knicks76c39.22$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.221060%6 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+13.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3894…decfbacked Spurs72c37.94$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.275350.9%27 W · 26 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-17.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5587…6d07backed Spurs43c34.94$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159966.7%66 W · 33 L+8.4wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+14.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf3c8…e340backed Spurs46c31$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2633030.9%102 W · 228 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x49d5…2b39backed Knicks77c30$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.91485.7%12 W · 2 L+3.6wins+0.26per pick60cpaid+54.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 98. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.