TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x62ea…b955

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
67
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: NBA, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 55 out of 100; worst UFC at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT3534.3%12 W · 23 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick26cpaid+46.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$700
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+1,053.3%+$263.33
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$229Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$229
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+1,219.4%+$1,463.33
Spread: Spurs (-8.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$563.83
Spread: Spurs (-12.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$662.79
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$281Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$281
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.41
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 225.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$146
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 222.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$575.61
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 212.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+154.1%+$308.21
Spread: Thunder (-12.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Thunder (-10.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 212.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$461.54
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$730Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$730
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT1533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-29.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
UFC — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Ilia Topuria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.38
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Alex Pereira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will Bo Nickal win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+195.2%+$195.2
UFC Freedom 250: Steve Garcia vs. Diego Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Diego Lopes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$100
UFC Fight Night: Alexander Hernandez vs. Rafa Garcia (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Alexander Hernandez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.88
UFC Fight Night: Gilbert Burns vs. Mike Malott (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Gilbert Burns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.69
UFC Fight Night: Kyler Phillips vs. Charles Jourdain (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Kyler Phillips · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$144.48
UFC 327: Jirí Procházka vs. Carlos Ulberg (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Jirí Procházka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$97
UFC 327: Paulo Costa vs. Azamat Murzakanov (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Azamat Murzakanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$245.35
UFC 327: Curtis Blaydes vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Curtis Blaydes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$249.79
UFC 327: Johnny Walker vs. Dominick Reyes (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Johnny Walker · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.36
UFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Charles Oliveira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$252Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$447.45
UFC 326: Reinier de Ridder vs. Caio Borralho (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Caio Borralho · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$331Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+51.5%+$170.52
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Volkanovski · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$642Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+68.2%+$437.81
UFC 325: Dan Hooker vs. Benoit Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Hooker · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 15 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-57.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick26cpaid-27.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-36.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.87per pick13cpaid+680.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Electionbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+680.8%+$204.24
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.85per pick15cpaid+566.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Utah vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$283.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$450Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$275.89
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$1,164Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,164.37
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$4,771Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,771.36
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Drake officially release Iceman by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.