TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 222.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$167,284
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$184,383

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $167,284 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4df3…788fbacked Over44c11,975$5,314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,661.386,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under55c11,629$6,341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,340.8164948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb184…b6c6backed Over47c9,644$4,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,143.853729.7%11 W · 26 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-26%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf559…f462backed Under54c9,259$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00011654.3%63 W · 53 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ca9…ea67backed Over45c7,717$3,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,236.73636.1%13 W · 23 L-3.9wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-25.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1ba1…1ce4backed Under53c7,437$3,941 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,941.416045%27 W · 33 L-4.2wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked Over44c6,791$2,988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,803.0435744.3%158 W · 199 L+1.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Under54c5,900$3,186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,185.8345850.4%231 W · 227 L+11.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe169…4653backed Under52c4,845$2,519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,519.4812450.8%63 W · 61 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Under55c3,500$1,925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,924.9817052.4%89 W · 81 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked Under55c3,498$1,924 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,924.035269.2%36 W · 16 L+8.7wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+32.4%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Over46c3,435$1,580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,854.769848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc2fb…610cbacked Over35c3,188$1,104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,084.472748.1%13 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9034…f7dfbacked Under56c3,000$1,690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,689.7536243.9%159 W · 203 L-9.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-28.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x689c…6b1ebacked Under56c2,707$1,506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,505.6512451.6%64 W · 60 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under54c2,510$1,362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,362.3955251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe7c0…24eebacked Over46c2,500$1,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3508451.2%43 W · 41 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Over46c2,457$1,130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,326.8586641.5%359 W · 507 L-2.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4ad…795cbacked Over45c2,222$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,222.2252461.6%323 W · 201 L-0.3wins0.00per pick62cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7669…f58cbacked Over50c2,188$1,094 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,093.4852052.3%272 W · 248 L+31.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+19%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over46c2,000$915 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,08566352.6%349 W · 314 L+30.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed Over42c1,664$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$963.97342.5%31 W · 42 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd8ee…5506backed Over43c1,567$674 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$893.44850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f28…ff9abacked Under52c1,466$767 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$767633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-29%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over25c1,457$359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,097.988,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa66d…6daabacked Under57c1,053$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6002356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Over49c1,010$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.3556646.5%263 W · 303 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7805…1baebacked Under72c1,000$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7203767.6%25 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over44c999.98$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$559.9984342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x62ea…b955backed Over41c975.61$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$575.613534.3%12 W · 23 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick26cpaid+46.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over43c975.04$419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$556.2732045.3%145 W · 175 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Over15c960.32$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$816.271,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Over46c959.99$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.862051.1%317 W · 303 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xac1a…813ebacked Over46c923.35$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498.6117250.6%87 W · 85 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over46c899.99$411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$488.641,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Under53c899.66$479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$478.7865939.5%260 W · 399 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over41c783.72$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$459.721,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Under54c761.04$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410.9625651.2%131 W · 125 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over9c600$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5462,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under54c592.59$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32095452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5555…2af1backed Under53c555$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.1521446.7%100 W · 114 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7677…37c0backed Over46c534.38$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.5714148.2%68 W · 73 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x45b5…2d74backed Under54c500$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2706543.1%28 W · 37 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-16.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Over49c458.62$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.6976054.6%415 W · 345 L+56.7wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+33.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over33c422.39$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.161,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fac…b89abacked Over47c421.68$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.685550.9%28 W · 27 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+36.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x24bc…1b77backed Under54c388.89$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.21per pick51cpaid+34.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a74…de59backed Over56c377.81$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.4111048.2%53 W · 57 L-6.6wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-9.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x48ec…8f36backed Under44c340$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.64734%16 W · 31 L-4.5wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-15%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Under54c266.98$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.177643.4%33 W · 43 L-5.1wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-12.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xefd1…c520backed Over47c248.77$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.858654.7%47 W · 39 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8968…c3c1backed Under55c243.25$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.6529449.7%146 W · 148 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Under53c200$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.5443438.5%167 W · 267 L-1.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddc4…0270backed Under53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10027745.8%127 W · 150 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf182…4d61backed Under54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Over42c180.88$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.081,26445.8%579 W · 685 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32f9…9725backed Under54c180.87$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.6712753.5%68 W · 59 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a26…937ebacked Under56c179.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011558.3%67 W · 48 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+88.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over46c178.44$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.681,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6041…3326backed Under52c173.7$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.321952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c32…7156backed Under56c168$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.0836153.5%193 W · 168 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6cb1…1002backed Over45c153.73$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.848846.6%41 W · 47 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xbcc6…095fbacked Over47c145$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.8510545.7%48 W · 57 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7970…eccabacked Under56c143$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.082560%15 W · 10 L+3.5wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+38.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfc4b…c865backed Over47c129.79$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.798350.6%42 W · 41 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x23e4…e501backed Under54c103.86$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.093557.1%20 W · 15 L+4.9wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+29.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xee00…0b46backed Over49c102.55$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.558149.4%40 W · 41 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Over46c100.09$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.0560049.8%299 W · 301 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb52a…31a2backed Under53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539950.5%50 W · 49 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+1.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d8c…35b0backed Over45c94.93$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.216950.7%35 W · 34 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e79…10c0backed Under54c92.59$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502378.3%18 W · 5 L+5.0wins+0.22per pick57cpaid+38.9%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x9ae4…e4a2backed Over42c78.92$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.671650%8 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Under54c75$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.1366143.4%287 W · 374 L-32.6wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2f76…9798backed Under54c64.81$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3513554.8%74 W · 61 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Over42c61.05$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.4116048.8%78 W · 82 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc392…595dbacked Over46c60$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.440548.4%196 W · 209 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe092…d209backed Under54c60$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.41833.3%6 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over46c57.95$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.421,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Under36c56.97$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.5178639.2%308 W · 478 L+27.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2796…2aedbacked Under53c56.6$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303250%16 W · 16 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x41d8…7233backed Over47c53.15$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.176344.4%28 W · 35 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe299…761bbacked Over45c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.531540.3%127 W · 188 L-15.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Under55c50$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.565855.6%366 W · 292 L+27.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7468…3d24backed Over47c46.66$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.739437.2%35 W · 59 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd22f…d0eebacked Under54c46.3$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2540853.7%219 W · 189 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Over46c45$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.1530448.4%147 W · 157 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec45…6c6dbacked Under56c43$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.089156%51 W · 40 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Under55c40.01$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.011,63448.1%786 W · 848 L+5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0ad…b23ebacked Over44c40$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.415961%97 W · 62 L+8.1wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x28e6…0210backed Under54c40$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.61154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-14.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x23bc…5487backed Over43c37.84$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.6114851.4%76 W · 72 L+0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x807a…3be2backed Under54c37.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201729.4%5 W · 12 L-3.4wins-0.20per pick49cpaid-37.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc185…7020backed Under32c36.48$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.582245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Over43c34.99$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.7917043.5%74 W · 96 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa34d…b57fbacked Under47c34.48$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.0615662.8%98 W · 58 L+10.4wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+7.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x05e5…1dd0backed Under54c33.33$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1841654.8%228 W · 188 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb66c…a0f5backed Over44c32.95$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.458247.6%39 W · 43 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ee0…d74abacked Under54c31.48$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172544%11 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Under54c30$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.259650.3%300 W · 296 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3eb4…9cb8backed Over47c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.91947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.