NBA · resolved market
Spread: Thunder (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x956c43654aee9b3dcafe05fe7788d4f3d5b9e505c638c329e633e18b8e485d90
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spursof Thunder, Spurs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $294,752
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $302,540
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $294,752 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 204 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2d7b…e2cebacked Spurs | 46c | 78,677$36,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42,508.52 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Thunder | 54c | 57,469$31,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,131.06 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5234…4c4fbacked Thunder | 34c | 40,000$13,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,799.93 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Spurs | 43c | 27,881$12,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,813.44 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Thunder | 54c | 23,948$12,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,969.53 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Spurs | 67c | 17,904$11,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,908.21 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Thunder | 54c | 15,147$8,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,179.4 | 458 | 50.4%231 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Thunder | 57c | 10,841$6,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,223.86 | 201 | 55.7%112 W · 89 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…8d9bbacked Thunder | 58c | 10,086$5,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,850 | 203 | 52.7%107 W · 96 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Spurs | 62c | 7,704$4,812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,891.75 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Spurs | 64c | 7,459$4,773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,685.33 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Spurs | 43c | 6,416$2,759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,656.94 | 292 | 45.5%133 W · 159 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a54…7191backed Spurs | 46c | 4,696$2,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,536.06 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed Spurs | 43c | 4,048$1,741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,307.35 | 286 | 43%123 W · 163 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0de…8048backed Thunder | 56c | 3,905$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -8.6wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…e7a9backed Spurs | 59c | 3,300$1,947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,353 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Thunder | 52c | 3,300$1,728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,728.49 | 552 | 51.3%283 W · 269 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Spurs | 45c | 2,800$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,540.01 | 866 | 41.5%359 W · 507 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Spurs | 76c | 2,588$1,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.98 | 342 | 55.6%190 W · 152 L | +28.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +36%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…4004backed Thunder | 56c | 2,522$1,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,422 | 219 | 57.1%125 W · 94 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ba…3c6cbacked Spurs | 45c | 2,350$1,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,292.49 | 237 | 42.6%101 W · 136 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57f9…bcd9backed Spurs | 44c | 2,273$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,272.73 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Spurs | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 587 | 40%235 W · 352 L | +24.3wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Thunder | 54c | 1,944$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.76 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Spurs | 45c | 1,800$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$989.98 | 659 | 39.5%260 W · 399 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Thunder | 54c | 1,770$958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$957.84 | 434 | 38.5%167 W · 267 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1543…baafbacked Thunder | 43c | 1,750$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 127 | 41.7%53 W · 74 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5df…382dbacked Spurs | 45c | 1,710$772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$938.77 | 163 | 35.6%58 W · 105 L | -12.2wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Spurs | 64c | 1,687$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.32 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Spurs | 46c | 1,571$717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$853.93 | 663 | 52.6%349 W · 314 L | +30.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e86…fce6backed Thunder | 54c | 1,464$791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790.68 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Spurs | 48c | 1,100$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571 | 170 | 52.4%89 W · 81 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…2345backed Thunder | 54c | 1,100$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.99 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +4.2wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd52d…412dbacked Spurs | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.96 | 535 | 39.6%212 W · 323 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Thunder | 29c | 1,016$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.78 | 538 | 42%226 W · 312 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1c…5f43backed Thunder | 46c | 968.33$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c39…56dcbacked Spurs | 58c | 873$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.66 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…5554backed Spurs | 45c | 800$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 689 | 44%303 W · 386 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Spurs | 64c | 717.51$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.3 | 255 | 54.5%139 W · 116 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0706…f25dbacked Spurs | 70c | 710.3$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.09 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Thunder | 53c | 661$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.33 | 313 | 54.3%170 W · 143 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Thunder | 28c | 632.59$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5715…1616backed Thunder | 57c | 605.26$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345 | 63 | 33.3%21 W · 42 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…18a0backed Thunder | 54c | 600$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324 | 125 | 36%45 W · 80 L | -13.0wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xda44…2b09backed Spurs | 59c | 600$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf05d…ac5ebacked Thunder | 54c | 600$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324 | 251 | 55%138 W · 113 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Spurs | 45c | 599.99$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.27 | 620 | 51.1%317 W · 303 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe944…650cbacked Thunder | 29c | 577.25$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.22 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -36%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Spurs | 46c | 555.85$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.7 | 521 | 50.9%265 W · 256 L | +18.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…405cbacked Spurs | 47c | 553.19$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.19 | 434 | 53.2%231 W · 203 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Spurs | 63c | 546$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.7 | 454 | 45.2%205 W · 249 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Thunder | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 690 | 49.4%341 W · 349 L | -30.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Spurs | 47c | 526.02$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.79 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -5.2wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Spurs | 45c | 508.34$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.59 | 616 | 38.5%237 W · 379 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked Thunder | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 59 | 37.3%22 W · 37 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Spurs | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8644…ad01backed Thunder | 55c | 499.99$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.99 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x750c…d430backed Thunder | 58c | 498.69$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.24 | 112 | 58.9%66 W · 46 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Spurs | 46c | 455.86$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.16 | 688 | 38.5%265 W · 423 L | -26.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71ed…67c2backed Thunder | 55c | 448.36$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.6 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf484…0e02backed Thunder | 56c | 446.43$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -5.2wins | -0.35per pick | 48cpaid | -74.3%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Spurs | 45c | 400.04$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.35 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a47…3b21backed Spurs | 46c | 400$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +19%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Thunder | 8c | 396.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.77 | 1,170 | 50.3%588 W · 582 L | +46.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x156e…cf6fbacked Thunder | 57c | 385.96$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdaaa…ca7dbacked Thunder | 56c | 357.26$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Spurs | 65c | 354$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.74 | 452 | 51.1%231 W · 221 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Spurs | 73c | 343.84$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.47 | 195 | 48.2%94 W · 101 L | +12.4wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Thunder | 9c | 337.42$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.37 | 766 | 53.5%410 W · 356 L | +65.5wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Spurs | 61c | 332.97$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.65 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Spurs | 42c | 316.93$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.82 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee4d…5413backed Spurs | 65c | 308.91$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.91 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Spurs | 44c | 296.15$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.5 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70ef…e25dbacked Spurs | 65c | 295.94$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.29 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | -8.3wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3839…e2eebacked Spurs | 60c | 294.44$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.44 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Thunder | 56c | 282.29$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.69 | 1,322 | 49.9%660 W · 662 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd963…fd5abacked Thunder | 58c | 272.41$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad1a…283ebacked Spurs | 44c | 223.27$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.03 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32f9…9725backed Spurs | 46c | 211.83$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.39 | 127 | 53.5%68 W · 59 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e82…4cfbbacked Spurs | 46c | 210.83$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.85 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Thunder | 54c | 200.38$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.04 | 348 | 50.9%177 W · 171 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f3…73e6backed Thunder | 30c | 199.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 50 | 16%8 W · 42 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -39%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09b5…fd79backed Spurs | 46c | 195.65$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.65 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Spurs | 44c | 186.48$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.11 | 186 | 53.2%99 W · 87 L | +9.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed Spurs | 47c | 185.74$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.44 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -6.4wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed Spurs | 47c | 185.53$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.33 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -5.6wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8857…4b5bbacked Thunder | 55c | 183$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.65 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf92f…1a35backed Thunder | 27c | 176.21$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Spurs | 66c | 170$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.22 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8593…8cfbbacked Thunder | 57c | 168.42$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x461c…f74bbacked Spurs | 59c | 168.39$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.39 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Thunder | 55c | 163.64$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2061…8ec9backed Thunder | 29c | 160.08$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.42 | 60 | 28.3%17 W · 43 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab4…b569backed Spurs | 65c | 153.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.03 | 48 | 64.6%31 W · 17 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1907…3413backed Thunder | 55c | 145.45$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Thunder | 8c | 131.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.52 | 894 | 44.4%397 W · 497 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb19…60e6backed Thunder | 55c | 127.27$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…4698backed Thunder | 55c | 127.27$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee62…bc6abacked Thunder | 33c | 125$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.25 | 267 | 45.3%121 W · 146 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed Spurs | 47c | 118.61$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.11 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Thunder (-5.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-3.5)Spurs won
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-4.5)Spurs won
- De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 15.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Devin Vassell: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Jalen Williams: Points O/U 2.5Yes won
- Julian Champagnie: Points O/U 8.5Yes won
- Luguentz Dort: Points O/U 2.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 29.5No won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Spread: Spurs (-3.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-11.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-14.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-2.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-6.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-7.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-8.5)Spurs won
- Spurs vs. ThunderSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 112.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 113.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 213.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 217.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 218.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 219.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 220.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 221.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 222.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 225.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 228.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: Odd/Even ScoreOdd won
- Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Stephon Castle: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 24.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 12.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.