NBA · resolved market
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc9b62a28ec4063d70a45d72529c02aab79a526050b7523883ff41b1ff47d035a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spursof Thunder, Spurs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $227,268
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $239,059
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $227,268 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 138 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Thunder | 43c | 95,960$41,546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,545.85 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Spurs | 56c | 62,160$35,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,160.28 | 99 | 45.5%45 W · 54 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Thunder | 2c | 18,929$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.11 | 464 | 26.1%121 W · 343 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Thunder | 43c | 18,143$7,877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,877.15 | 552 | 51.3%283 W · 269 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Spurs | 56c | 17,500$9,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,699.99 | 492 | 44.3%218 W · 274 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Thunder | 44c | 11,238$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,999.99 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…fec6backed Spurs | 58c | 10,345$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,344.83 | 107 | 47.7%51 W · 56 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x479e…91c3backed Spurs | 56c | 9,000$5,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,960 | 147 | 66%97 W · 50 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f8…d85abacked Spurs | 58c | 6,897$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,896.55 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +3.2wins | +0.25per pick | 60cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Spurs | 58c | 6,052$3,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,550.12 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Thunder | 44c | 5,726$2,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,519.62 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafe4…f3f7backed Spurs | 57c | 5,653$3,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,450.39 | 158 | 50.6%80 W · 78 L | +10.3wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x791e…9bdabacked Spurs | 56c | 5,000$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,200 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb693…cfc9backed Thunder | 46c | 4,397$2,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,022.77 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86e7…613ebacked Spurs | 57c | 4,000$2,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,719.97 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Thunder | 43c | 3,780$1,624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,624.12 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Spurs | 64c | 3,763$2,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,348.57 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3af…3f9cbacked Spurs | 57c | 3,620$2,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,573.49 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1136…0c2ebacked Spurs | 55c | 2,447$1,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,101.31 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Spurs | 57c | 2,163$1,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940.01 | 663 | 52.6%349 W · 314 L | +30.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Thunder | 43c | 2,152$921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$921.16 | 620 | 51.1%317 W · 303 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c0…24eebacked Thunder | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.99 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Spurs | 59c | 1,695$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.92 | 115 | 58.3%67 W · 48 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +88.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Spurs | 56c | 1,500$833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.51 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0b…bfc2backed Spurs | 58c | 1,500$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48cf…c7dfbacked Spurs | 71c | 1,500$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 364 | 53%193 W · 171 L | -17.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Thunder | 19c | 1,384$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.43 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2061…8ec9backed Thunder | 39c | 1,292$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.97 | 60 | 28.3%17 W · 43 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69e4…9bacbacked Spurs | 58c | 1,291$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.21 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe504…600ebacked Spurs | 56c | 1,188$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.71 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Thunder | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 201 | 55.7%112 W · 89 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Thunder | 2c | 1,038$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.53 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27d2…a66cbacked Spurs | 59c | 1,020$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.37 | 214 | 50%107 W · 107 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Thunder | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 256 | 51.2%131 W · 125 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9b…a5ebbacked Thunder | 23c | 1,000$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 135 | 44.4%60 W · 75 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x162c…d511backed Thunder | 21c | 906$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.26 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2003…af6fbacked Thunder | 2c | 890$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 58 | 29.3%17 W · 41 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c0…8746backed Spurs | 58c | 874.81$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.42 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Spurs | 58c | 862.07$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.07 | 295 | 54.6%161 W · 134 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82f2…27d4backed Spurs | 58c | 790.95$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.2 | 30 | 80%24 W · 6 L | +8.9wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +61.2%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Thunder | 43c | 660.9$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.98 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Thunder | 44c | 601.32$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.58 | 320 | 45.3%145 W · 175 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Thunder | 2c | 595.39$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7677…37c0backed Thunder | 42c | 555.26$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.21 | 141 | 48.2%68 W · 73 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Thunder | 43c | 548.55$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.44 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…4464backed Spurs | 58c | 502.91$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.22 | 201 | 54.2%109 W · 92 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Thunder | 20c | 502.91$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.77 | 538 | 42%226 W · 312 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…d3ebbacked Spurs | 56c | 416.07$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.07 | 125 | 48%60 W · 65 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc87…dd68backed Thunder | 46c | 346.41$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.35 | 94 | 30.9%29 W · 65 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5b…5d3abacked Spurs | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a7a…7f10backed Spurs | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78a2…9d46backed Spurs | 58c | 341.91$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.91 | 66 | 62.1%41 W · 25 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e70…9a38backed Spurs | 58c | 341.38$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.38 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.38per pick | 58cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6cbb…8a37backed Thunder | 45c | 337.38$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.82 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Thunder | 44c | 327$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.84 | 348 | 50.9%177 W · 171 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Thunder | 43c | 325.58$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 219 | 50.2%110 W · 109 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7106…1caabacked Spurs | 58c | 322.41$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.41 | 117 | 43.6%51 W · 66 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Spurs | 55c | 310.69$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.81 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec5…257ebacked Spurs | 57c | 300$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70ef…e25dbacked Spurs | 67c | 294.82$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.29 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | -8.3wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe944…650cbacked Spurs | 65c | 274.33$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.73 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -36%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa537…ebd0backed Spurs | 58c | 258.62$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.62 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Spurs | 59c | 252$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.18 | 612 | 53.1%325 W · 287 L | -20.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc1b…3b5bbacked Spurs | 56c | 250$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 249 | 46.6%116 W · 133 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b6…ef54backed Spurs | 58c | 241.38$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.38 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac15…dd90backed Thunder | 43c | 227.86$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.98 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…4f6dbacked Thunder | 45c | 202.38$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.07 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…8a71backed Thunder | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 178 | 48.3%86 W · 92 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe592…74adbacked Spurs | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Thunder | 42c | 194.49$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.59 | 1,322 | 49.9%660 W · 662 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Thunder | 43c | 186.05$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 931 | 45.8%426 W · 505 L | -25.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…763bbacked Spurs | 56c | 176.78$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.78 | 337 | 48.1%162 W · 175 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35c9…bc74backed Spurs | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 346 | 61.6%213 W · 133 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Spurs | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 364 | 50.8%185 W · 179 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x041f…4af7backed Spurs | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x156e…cf6fbacked Thunder | 45c | 155.56$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x614b…ca37backed Spurs | 68c | 152.94$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.94 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -4.1wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe2df…ca29backed Thunder | 42c | 130.25$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.7 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Thunder | 43c | 127.91$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Thunder | 42c | 127.51$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.55 | 600 | 49.8%299 W · 301 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd190…e445backed Spurs | 56c | 124.88$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.94 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5492…9776backed Spurs | 56c | 120$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.8 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe337…1f6fbacked Spurs | 58c | 120$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf58…2bf4backed Thunder | 43c | 117.82$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.18 | 194 | 45.9%89 W · 105 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Spurs | 56c | 112.35$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.01 | 186 | 53.2%99 W · 87 L | +9.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a1…7c9dbacked Spurs | 58c | 110$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.6 | 137 | 64.2%88 W · 49 L | +15.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Thunder | 42c | 104.76$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd45…a81dbacked Spurs | 58c | 103.45$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.45 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66e5…d3c7backed Spurs | 59c | 101.69$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.69 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x86e6…e722backed Thunder | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Thunder | 44c | 91.5$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.26 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e79…10c0backed Spurs | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +5.0wins | +0.22per pick | 57cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xea52…fd7abacked Thunder | 41c | 84$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc37e…9e64backed Thunder | 44c | 83.64$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.75 | 114 | 46.5%53 W · 61 L | -7.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Spurs | 58c | 80$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 372 | 53.5%199 W · 173 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0095…42c1backed Thunder | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 219 | 52.5%115 W · 104 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe743…ce0fbacked Thunder | 43c | 69.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -8.5wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd155…8250backed Thunder | 44c | 69.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 488 | 52%254 W · 234 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b3…4756backed Thunder | 43c | 66.32$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.52 | 107 | 43.9%47 W · 60 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…835cbacked Thunder | 43c | 65$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.17 | 274 | 50%137 W · 137 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Thunder (-8.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-3.5)Spurs won
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-4.5)Spurs won
- De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 15.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Devin Vassell: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Jalen Williams: Points O/U 2.5Yes won
- Julian Champagnie: Points O/U 8.5Yes won
- Luguentz Dort: Points O/U 2.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 29.5No won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Spread: Spurs (-3.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-11.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-14.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-2.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-5.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-6.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-7.5)Spurs won
- Spurs vs. ThunderSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 112.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 113.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 213.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 217.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 218.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 219.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 220.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 221.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 222.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 225.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 228.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: Odd/Even ScoreOdd won
- Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Stephon Castle: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 24.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 12.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.