NBA · resolved market
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc4bc6627bb645045992222dad717edda49fe0d1c6aeb13067732b28a736d47f9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spursof Thunder, Spurs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,456,582
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,404,283
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,456,582 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 594 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Spurs | 49c | 303,387$148,659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154,727.13 | 168 | 41.1%69 W · 99 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Thunder | 53c | 189,499$100,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100,434.47 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1136…0c2ebacked Spurs | 50c | 120,000$59,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60,599.84 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Thunder | 51c | 100,000$51,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51,000 | 205 | 45.9%94 W · 111 L | -12.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8c…e275backed Thunder | 51c | 90,000$45,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45,900 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Spurs | 49c | 83,753$41,446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42,306.04 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Thunder | 50c | 81,774$40,887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,886.87 | 145 | 38.6%56 W · 89 L | -12.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Thunder | 9c | 75,048$7,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,118.41 | 267 | 53.2%142 W · 125 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Spurs | 47c | 74,172$34,861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,311.13 | 292 | 45.5%133 W · 159 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c5e…a114backed Thunder | 51c | 72,577$37,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,014.31 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72f8…8ea0backed Thunder | 52c | 59,615$31,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,000 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Thunder | 50c | 56,179$28,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,089.37 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Spurs | 48c | 43,528$20,886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,641.41 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Thunder | 51c | 43,269$22,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,195.03 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Thunder | 51c | 40,000$20,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,400 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f4…544cbacked Thunder | 53c | 40,000$21,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,200 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | -11.0wins | -0.28per pick | 49cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…d62abacked Thunder | 50c | 40,000$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,000 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf689…9d83backed Thunder | 50c | 39,973$19,987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,986.5 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Spurs | 47c | 30,191$14,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,951.57 | 398 | 42.5%169 W · 229 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef0…df4abacked Thunder | 52c | 29,907$15,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,600.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x966c…9b1abacked Thunder | 51c | 29,412$15,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,000 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Spurs | 49c | 27,975$13,708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,267.34 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Spurs | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,000 | 492 | 44.3%218 W · 274 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x418d…88a3backed Spurs | 48c | 20,000$9,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,399.99 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf559…f462backed Thunder | 51c | 19,608$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Spurs | 49c | 18,515$9,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,464.46 | 552 | 51.3%283 W · 269 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf284…b9f9backed Spurs | 50c | 17,786$8,893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,893.01 | 186 | 51.1%95 W · 91 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Thunder | 52c | 15,000$7,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,800 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2003…af6fbacked Thunder | 18c | 14,150$2,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,610.16 | 58 | 29.3%17 W · 41 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4c…1f30backed Thunder | 51c | 13,000$6,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,630 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Spurs | 47c | 12,737$5,986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,750.61 | 316 | 44.6%141 W · 175 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e77…8c33backed Spurs | 50c | 12,471$6,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,235.31 | 159 | 52.8%84 W · 75 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2734…6d9ebacked Thunder | 52c | 9,615$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked Spurs | 48c | 9,500$4,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,939.99 | 357 | 44.3%158 W · 199 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Spurs | 51c | 9,071$4,651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,420.11 | 488 | 45.3%221 W · 267 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Thunder | 51c | 9,000$4,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,589.98 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Spurs | 50c | 8,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,000 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2114…84c5backed Thunder | 51c | 7,843$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -8.3wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2c39…56dcbacked Thunder | 5c | 7,181$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.15 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Thunder | 50c | 7,000$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Spurs | 47c | 6,000$2,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,180 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…80c3backed Spurs | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1788…0994backed Spurs | 50c | 5,841$2,921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,920.64 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Thunder | 11c | 5,755$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.9 | 1,200 | 51.6%619 W · 581 L | +66.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Spurs | 48c | 5,629$2,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,926.96 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Spurs | 47c | 5,624$2,643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,980.86 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa538…12c3backed Thunder | 51c | 5,616$2,873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,872.97 | 29 | 75.9%22 W · 7 L | +7.1wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Spurs | 49c | 5,489$2,715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,774.24 | 650 | 45.1%293 W · 357 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Thunder | 52c | 4,430$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 201 | 55.7%112 W · 89 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Thunder | 5c | 4,321$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a54…7191backed Spurs | 50c | 4,046$2,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,023.14 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Spurs | 61c | 4,024$2,439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,584.36 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Spurs | 50c | 4,001$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000.27 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6111…4742backed Spurs | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,960 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09f4…dac0backed Thunder | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040 | 169 | 46.7%79 W · 90 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…5019backed Thunder | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8180…f4dabacked Spurs | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 433 | 52.2%226 W · 207 L | +19.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Spurs | 48c | 4,000$1,929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,071.09 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Spurs | 48c | 3,999$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,079.61 | 579 | 50.1%290 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Spurs | 47c | 3,982$1,872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,110.7 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc5b…5443backed Thunder | 53c | 3,774$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 125 | 42.4%53 W · 72 L | -11.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Thunder | 11c | 3,614$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.88 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x250e…e864backed Spurs | 48c | 3,562$1,717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,844.99 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Spurs | 50c | 3,461$1,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,730.4 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Thunder | 51c | 3,266$1,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,665.66 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e64…89c3backed Spurs | 50c | 3,164$1,582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,582.22 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca5…73bcbacked Spurs | 49c | 3,061$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,561.22 | 404 | 51.5%208 W · 196 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb177…1914backed Spurs | 50c | 3,030$1,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,515 | 248 | 47.6%118 W · 130 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Spurs | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Spurs | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58aa…a481backed Spurs | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76b4…ca9bbacked Spurs | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 442 | 52.3%231 W · 211 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cc…0b39backed Thunder | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Spurs | 49c | 3,000$1,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,540 | 503 | 46.5%234 W · 269 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Spurs | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,469.99 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Thunder | 10c | 2,983$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.43 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Spurs | 49c | 2,742$1,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,407.67 | 866 | 41.5%359 W · 507 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2061…8ec9backed Thunder | 51c | 2,590$1,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,310.09 | 60 | 28.3%17 W · 43 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Thunder | 51c | 2,500$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,274.99 | 197 | 47.7%94 W · 103 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Spurs | 49c | 2,497$1,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,281.78 | 434 | 38.5%167 W · 267 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Spurs | 48c | 2,377$1,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,235.81 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Thunder | 11c | 2,254$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.13 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Thunder | 5c | 2,180$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.38 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac6…a8cebacked Spurs | 49c | 2,110$1,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,076.08 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x791e…9bdabacked Spurs | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.33 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed Spurs | 49c | 2,040$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.4 | 160 | 50%80 W · 80 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef5…8898backed Thunder | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Spurs | 51c | 2,000$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990 | 663 | 52.6%349 W · 314 L | +30.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f5…c161backed Spurs | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 114 | 40.4%46 W · 68 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7cc…791fbacked Thunder | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Thunder | 6c | 1,969$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.72 | 454 | 45.2%205 W · 249 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb6…a0f6backed Spurs | 50c | 1,958$979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$978.82 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1c…5f43backed Spurs | 48c | 1,866$889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$976.78 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Thunder | 50c | 1,842$921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$921 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Thunder | 8c | 1,841$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.95 | 360 | 51.7%186 W · 174 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0de…8048backed Thunder | 53c | 1,698$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -8.6wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3673…2d13backed Spurs | 49c | 1,682$824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$857.82 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Spurs | 49c | 1,665$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$845.07 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ba…3c6cbacked Spurs | 49c | 1,500$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$769.96 | 237 | 42.6%101 W · 136 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea48…c596backed Thunder | 51c | 1,486$758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$757.86 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Thunder (-6.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-3.5)Spurs won
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-4.5)Spurs won
- De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 15.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Devin Vassell: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Jalen Williams: Points O/U 2.5Yes won
- Julian Champagnie: Points O/U 8.5Yes won
- Luguentz Dort: Points O/U 2.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 29.5No won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Spread: Spurs (-3.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-11.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-14.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-2.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-5.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-7.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-8.5)Spurs won
- Spurs vs. ThunderSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 112.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 113.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 213.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 217.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 218.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 219.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 220.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 221.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 222.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 225.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 228.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: Odd/Even ScoreOdd won
- Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Stephon Castle: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 24.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 12.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.