TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,792
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,917

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,792 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xce2b…08fabacked Yes60c318.34$190 inWon+$128.3419951.8%103 W · 96 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9caf…e8bdbacked No45c258.54$115 inLost-$115.1433049.1%162 W · 168 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2baf…8023backed No41c229.99$94 inLost-$94.0943752.6%230 W · 207 L+18.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa7c0…dadabacked Yes57c173.22$99 inWon+$73.8412541.6%52 W · 73 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed No37c137.65$51 inLost-$50.612,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked No42c110$46 inLost-$46.245445.2%205 W · 249 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca7c…e994backed No40c99.52$40 inLost-$39.8119352.8%102 W · 91 L+11.7wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+13%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x322e…a2cebacked Yes64c99$63 inWon+$35.641668.8%11 W · 5 L+4.2wins+0.26per pick43cpaid+67.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe80f…b81bbacked Yes65c76.92$50 inWon+$26.927562.7%47 W · 28 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02c0…be65backed Yes58c62$36 inWon+$26.02580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.23per pick57cpaid+47.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc314…3501backed Yes45c49$22 inWon+$26.951435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-32.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x085b…ab9fbacked Yes49c34.81$17 inWon+$17.689941.4%41 W · 58 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x03c8…becfbacked Yes59c33.98$20 inWon+$13.983458.8%20 W · 14 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+13.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed No42c31.72$13 inLost-$13.3733356.2%187 W · 146 L+9.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Yes49c30.61$15 inWon+$15.6160346.4%280 W · 323 L-12.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b09…3be1backed Yes56c30.36$17 inWon+$13.361258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9422…f273backed No51c27.45$14 inLost-$1419555.4%108 W · 87 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6cf…1025backed Yes60c26.67$16 inWon+$10.674744.7%21 W · 26 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.