TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x085b…ab9f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
511
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: NBA, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 53 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT33934.5%117 W · 222 L-9.3wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 339 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.88
Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangersbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.7
Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.5
Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.44
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.1
Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)backed Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.92
Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+400%+$199.76
Spread: Boston Red Sox (-2.5)backed Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.98
Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.99
Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.58
Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$71.92
Spread: Chicago White Sox (-3.5)backed Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.94
Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.89
Spread: Chicago White Sox (-6.5)backed Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.92
Los Angeles Angels vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.95
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5)backed Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.12
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$71.92
Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.92
Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangersbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+191.5%+$95.59
Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Mets: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.91
Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Metsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.86
Spread: New York Yankees (-4.5)backed New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$176.95
Spread: New York Yankees (-2.5)backed Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.68
Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.68
Showing 25 of 339 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT9941.4%41 W · 58 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 99 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Stephon Castle: Rebounds O/U 5.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+168.5%+$26.2
Devin Vassell: Rebounds O/U 1.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+176.1%+$19.98
Spread: Spurs (-2.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.91
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$84.76
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 210.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$134.75
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 213.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+158.6%+$157.82
Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 26.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+111.1%+$36.35
Jalen Williams: Rebounds O/U 3.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.88
Spread: Spurs (-3.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.83
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.95
Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 12.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.73
Thunder vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 106.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.17
Stephon Castle: Points O/U 17.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+131%+$19.6
Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 7.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+136.4%+$19.7
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$19.8
Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 25.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$67.51
Spread: Thunder (-4.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.94
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 207.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.92
Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H Moneylinebacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.91
1H Spread: Thunder (-3.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.98
Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 225.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.7
Spread: Knicks (-12.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.82
Donovan Mitchell: Assists O/U 3.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+138.3%+$69.14
Evan Mobley: Rebounds O/U 8.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 216.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.92
Showing 25 of 99 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT3231.3%10 W · 22 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Canadiens: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+163.5%+$81.43
Hurricanes vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Hurricanes vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.95
Avalanche vs. Golden Knightsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
Avalanche vs. Golden Knights: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+400%+$56
Avalanche vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.24
Hurricanes vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.98
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)backed Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.61
Avalanche vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.98
Canadiens vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+245.4%+$120.6
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)backed Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$59.92
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.84
Golden Knights vs. Avalanchebacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$142.17
Golden Knights vs. Avalanche: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+250.7%+$124.87
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$134.75
Canadiens vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.4
Golden Knights vs. Avalanche: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$69.5
Golden Knights vs. Avalanche: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.5
Sabres vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.82
Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)backed Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.76
Golden Knights vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.68
Golden Knights vs. Ducks: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.91
Golden Knights vs. Ducks: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.91
Spread: Sabres (-1.5)backed Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.69
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$71.88
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT2429.2%7 W · 17 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-29.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
WNBA — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Washington Mysticsbacked Los Angeles Sparks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+145.1%+$72
Indiana Fever vs. Golden State Valkyriesbacked Golden State Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$63.57
Indiana Fever vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 167.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+100%+$19.66
Las Vegas Aces vs. Dallas Wingsbacked Dallas Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+146.2%+$22.99
Spread: New York Liberty (-4.5)backed Phoenix Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.61
Phoenix Mercury vs. New York Liberty: O/U 169.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+156.6%+$77.7
Toronto Tempo vs. Chicago Skybacked Chicago Sky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.7
Washington Mystics vs. Seattle Stormbacked Washington Mystics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Phoenix Mercury vs. Atlanta Dreambacked Atlanta Dream · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$111.11
Dallas Wings vs. New York Libertybacked New York Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.98
Minnesota Lynx vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 167.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.82
Minnesota Lynx vs. Chicago Skybacked Chicago Sky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.8
Connecticut Sun vs. Seattle Stormbacked Connecticut Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.92
Golden State Valkyries vs. Indiana Feverbacked Golden State Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.72
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Phoenix Mercurybacked Phoenix Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.95
Toronto Tempo vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 172.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.34
Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-4.5)backed Minnesota Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.72
Seattle Storm vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 177.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.67
Las Vegas Aces vs. Atlanta Dreambacked Atlanta Dream · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.52
Spread: New York Liberty (-11.5)backed New York Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+100%+$49.98
Minnesota Lynx vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 177.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.77
Chicago Sky vs. Golden State Valkyriesbacked Golden State Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.61
Spread: Atlanta Dream (-2.5)backed Dallas Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.98
Atlanta Dream vs. Dallas Wingsbacked Dallas Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.84
All 24 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.24per pick61cpaid-42.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick31cpaid-62.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick28cpaid+16.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.