MLB · resolved market
Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4d52da32e6d57f5429609fcb5692665144009e2aa873d9b6443f2da76359e997
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chicago Cubsof Chicago Cubs, Pittsburgh Pirates
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $797,440
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $949,383
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $797,440 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 459 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Chicago Cubs | 40c | 147,327$58,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88,501.57 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 39c | 55,860$21,619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,619.09 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d6…be17backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 62c | 54,301$33,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,666.52 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1136…0c2ebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 61c | 41,037$25,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,032.77 | 133 | 40.6%54 W · 79 L | -14.4wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 60c | 29,256$17,414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,414.35 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 42c | 23,443$9,894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,894 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Chicago Cubs | 39c | 20,000$7,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,200 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Chicago Cubs | 38c | 15,984$6,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,909.94 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 49c | 14,335$7,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,035.35 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Chicago Cubs | 40c | 13,819$5,514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,304.87 | 449 | 53.7%241 W · 208 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Chicago Cubs | 39c | 13,329$5,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,130.69 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Chicago Cubs | 38c | 13,157$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,157.34 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 53c | 12,644$6,752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,752 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 61c | 12,483$7,615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,614.7 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 51c | 9,598$4,889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,889.16 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 0c | 9,160$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.14 | 406 | 29.1%118 W · 288 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 61c | 8,300$5,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,103 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 62c | 8,065$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59f4…c1f1backed Chicago Cubs | 39c | 6,667$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,066.67 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Chicago Cubs | 39c | 6,197$2,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,805.95 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 22c | 5,632$1,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,236.59 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Chicago Cubs | 42c | 5,489$2,321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,167.85 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a2…14b8backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 40c | 5,100$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 37c | 5,087$1,903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,902.77 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -4.6wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 19c | 5,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 249 | 46.2%115 W · 134 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b73…8688backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 39c | 4,953$1,909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,908.5 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 61c | 4,918$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 61c | 4,599$2,811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,811.5 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 0c | 4,350$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 60c | 4,271$2,544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,544.3 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Chicago Cubs | 38c | 4,257$1,628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,628.5 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb333…c7eebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 43c | 4,190$1,784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,783.63 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +3.3wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x462d…ce9bbacked Chicago Cubs | 61c | 4,098$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,598.36 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Chicago Cubs | 66c | 4,000$2,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,360 | 603 | 50.1%302 W · 301 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 13c | 4,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Chicago Cubs | 37c | 3,292$1,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,073.89 | 135 | 34.1%46 W · 89 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed Chicago Cubs | 40c | 3,250$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,950 | 192 | 50%96 W · 96 L | +12.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Chicago Cubs | 38c | 3,000$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,860 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa252…dbf4backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 61c | 3,000$1,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,830 | 50 | 70%35 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 30c | 2,975$893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$892.5 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Chicago Cubs | 57c | 2,870$1,632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,237.14 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 59c | 2,563$1,512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,511.88 | 299 | 48.8%146 W · 153 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacf8…e791backed Chicago Cubs | 38c | 2,520$957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,562.14 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f09…1f55backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 5c | 2,514$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.57 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +189.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x034b…b22bbacked Chicago Cubs | 80c | 2,502$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.56 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 43c | 2,422$1,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,041.35 | 319 | 58.6%187 W · 132 L | +27.3wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Chicago Cubs | 61c | 2,371$1,441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930.35 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…ceb2backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 33c | 2,200$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726 | 252 | 40.1%101 W · 151 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21b5…1db6backed Chicago Cubs | 76c | 2,094$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.73 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 75cpaid | -17%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Chicago Cubs | 71c | 2,044$1,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.49 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…e03cbacked Chicago Cubs | 78c | 2,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +29%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 51c | 1,842$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940.35 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x415a…cea5backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 61c | 1,803$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 38c | 1,662$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.3 | 462 | 39.6%183 W · 279 L | -17.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Chicago Cubs | 38c | 1,637$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,014.9 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Chicago Cubs | 39c | 1,594$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$972.62 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52e3…3337backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 60c | 1,500$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 432 | 53.9%233 W · 199 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Chicago Cubs | 60c | 1,397$838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.75 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 60c | 1,358$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$815.02 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Chicago Cubs | 39c | 1,325$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$803.44 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Chicago Cubs | 45c | 1,255$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684.82 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…91c4backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 62c | 1,239$762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$762.23 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 61c | 1,100$669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668.54 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 61c | 1,086$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.43 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77ad…ba8abacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 36c | 1,024$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.43 | 64 | 15.6%10 W · 54 L | -8.0wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 46c | 1,009$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.85 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 32c | 1,007$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…83f9backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Chicago Cubs | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5006…48cabacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25d8…a71fbacked Chicago Cubs | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 177 | 68.9%122 W · 55 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8004…d0f1backed Chicago Cubs | 40c | 990.26$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.26 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Chicago Cubs | 38c | 962.7$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.87 | 515 | 47%242 W · 273 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed Chicago Cubs | 40c | 875$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 62c | 871$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.02 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3304…1c1cbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 62c | 865.08$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.35 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32e3…3a5cbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 41c | 865$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.65 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 61c | 819.67$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 347 | 56.5%196 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8180…208bbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 62c | 806.45$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 181 | 51.4%93 W · 88 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 26c | 782.42$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.44 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 33c | 746.99$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.13 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad7f…d0d4backed Chicago Cubs | 78c | 710.46$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.3 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…2dd7backed Chicago Cubs | 39c | 704.99$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.64 | 1,277 | 43.1%550 W · 727 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 61c | 698.77$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.25 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked Chicago Cubs | 39c | 689.94$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.47 | 1,310 | 43.6%571 W · 739 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b1…e904backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 61c | 688.1$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.74 | 693 | 51.9%360 W · 333 L | +26.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58d5…8898backed Chicago Cubs | 39c | 654.98$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.34 | 1,205 | 43%518 W · 687 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dcc…e8ccbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 29c | 616.65$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.78 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb71e…641abacked Chicago Cubs | 60c | 577.66$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.68 | 141 | 42.6%60 W · 81 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Chicago Cubs | 75c | 572.41$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.65 | 791 | 47.9%379 W · 412 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Chicago Cubs | 40c | 545.24$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.14 | 384 | 44.3%170 W · 214 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Chicago Cubs | 39c | 519.98$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.19 | 890 | 53.1%473 W · 417 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d29…8264backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 61c | 516.39$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 61c | 500$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 550 | 52.4%288 W · 262 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf35a…ce87backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 27c | 491.15$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.61 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32de…ce27backed Chicago Cubs | 39c | 490$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.2 | 636 | 44.7%284 W · 352 L | +13.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1252…e6e0backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 62c | 483.87$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 62c | 483.87$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 407 | 53.6%218 W · 189 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Piratesthis page
- Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 10.5Under won
- Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 4.5Over won
- Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 5.5Over won
- Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 6.5Over won
- Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 7.5Over won
- Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5Over won
- Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-2.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-3.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-4.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-2.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-3.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh PiratesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.