TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1b73…8688

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
98
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: South American Leagues, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category South American Leagues at 56 out of 100; worst Serie A at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT4161%25 W · 16 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 41 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$2,287Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,286.82
Seattle Mariners vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,400Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$933.33
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$2,687Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$3,284.04
Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,908Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,908.43
Kansas City Royals vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,692Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+101.8%+$2,740
Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$2,423Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,422.9
Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$3,931Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,930.63
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$2,428Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,428.19
New York Mets vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,892Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$735.73
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Houston Astrosbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,000
San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationalsbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$2,491Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+130.9%+$3,259.47
Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$306.45
Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,909Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,908.5
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,000
Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$3,994Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+102%+$4,072.39
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
New York Yankees vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$3,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$2,084.75
Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,500
Seattle Mariners vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+66.3%+$662.93
Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$612.98
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$315.79
Seattle Mariners vs. Athletics: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,003Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,003
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$1,173.91
Showing 25 of 41 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT3351.5%17 W · 16 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-20.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Birmingham: Nikola Bartunkova vs Mika Stojsavljevicbacked Nikola Bartunkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$968Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$791.71
Jakub Mensik vs. Alexander Zverev: Total Sets O/U 3.5backed Under 3.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$3,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,000
Set 1 Winner: Mensik vs Zverevbacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+78.8%+$787.95
Roland Garros WTA: Anna Kalinskaya vs Maja Chwalinskabacked Anna Kalinskaya · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$6,244Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,243.73
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonsecabacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,750Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,750
Birmingham: Mackenzie McDonald vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaerbacked Mackenzie McDonald · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$4,245Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+35.9%+$1,523.02
Prostejov: Roberto Bautista Agut vs Hynek Bartonbacked Roberto Bautista Agut · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Matteo Arnaldi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,394Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+47.8%+$666.91
Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osakabacked Naomi Osaka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonsecabacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$6,516Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,515.66
Roland Garros ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Rafael Jodarbacked Alex Michelsen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Roland Garros ATP: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Pablo Carreno Bustabacked Thiago Agustin Tirante · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,000
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Stefanos Tsitsipas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,690Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,689.9
Roland Garros ATP: Luca Van Assche vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Luca Van Assche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Roland Garros ATP: Raphael Collignon vs Ben Sheltonbacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$534Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$533.89
Set Handicap: Auger-Aliassime (-1.5) vs Burruchaga (+1.5)backed Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$3,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$1,347.83
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Roman Andres Burruchagabacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+34.3%+$685.65
Roland Garros WTA: Yulia Putintseva vs Camila Osoriobacked Camila Osorio · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$9,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+30.9%+$2,783.74
Roland Garros ATP: Hubert Hurkacz vs Frances Tiafoebacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$4,426Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+126.1%+$5,582.03
Roland Garros ATP: Adolfo Vallejo vs Moise Kouamebacked Adolfo Vallejo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,263Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,262.65
Roland Garros ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Juan Manuel Cerundolobacked Jannik Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Hamad Medjedovicbacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$470.59
Roland Garros WTA: Jasmine Paolini vs Solana Sierrabacked Jasmine Paolini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Roland Garros ATP: Thanasi Kokkinakis vs Pablo Carreno Bustabacked Pablo Carreno Busta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+37%+$740
Roland Garros ATP: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Andrey Rublevbacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$298.7
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+17.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 213.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+67.3%+$672.77
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,000
Spread: Thunder (-2.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,600Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+100%+$1,600
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$3,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+37.5%+$1,123.57
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$376.47
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$648Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+69.1%+$447.47
All 7 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.35per pick45cpaid+97.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-57.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick72cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$2,177Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$725.83
Mexico vs. Serbia: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$249Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$248.98
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$2,875Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+48.9%+$1,404.78
All 3 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-33.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,000
Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+33.6%+$90.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jon Rahm win the 2026 PGA Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indiana Fever vs. Golden State Valkyriesbacked Indiana Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. SK Brann: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.