TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Bologna FC 1909 vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 5.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$115,548
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$145,853

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $115,548 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over9c20,000$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,20018923.8%45 W · 144 L-13.2wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-30.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under49c11,134$5,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,409.6432650.6%165 W · 161 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2eae…ac27backed Over48c10,147$4,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,266.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+107.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde19…3c92backed Under75c4,696$3,525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,52520%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbed3…2811backed Under78c4,009$3,139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,138.86666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick68cpaid+10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over35c3,910$1,368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,541.751,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30d5…36bfbacked Over49c3,751$1,838 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,913.19837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-23.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e33…afb3backed Over66c3,030$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,030.427145.1%32 W · 39 L-5.2wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-17.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1b73…8688backed Under41c2,415$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-57.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under62c2,397$1,487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,486.642,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Under57c2,272$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3003863.2%24 W · 14 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Over9c1,937$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,761.22666.7%4 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.35per pick32cpaid+242.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xfff3…e2c5backed Under52c1,878$977 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$976.5640%0 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Over66c1,824$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$624.464647.8%22 W · 24 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-10.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Over10c1,651$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,485.129862.4%186 W · 112 L+34.5wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+31.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under79c1,256$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$989.5734239.2%134 W · 208 L+0.7wins0.00per pick39cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd881…af24backed Under1c1,200$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121040%4 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-23.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under46c1,197$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$550387.9%3 W · 35 L-5.0wins-0.13per pick21cpaid-56.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under57c862.45$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.6819042.6%81 W · 109 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Over37c756.35$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$476.54339.5%17 W · 26 L-3.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-17.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x683a…274ebacked Over30c500$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3503023.3%7 W · 23 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-29.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e61…0e06backed Over7c499.99$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$464.995721.1%12 W · 45 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick23cpaid+64.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7a6…aed7backed Under54c474.82$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.642360.9%14 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7066…50e5backed Over66c454.55$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.552065%13 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Over60c400$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16015450%77 W · 77 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d06…755bbacked Under61c393.52$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.0530%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8d4a…e7cabacked Under63c317.59$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Over22c300$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2349826.5%26 W · 72 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-13.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over62c300$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11414748.3%71 W · 76 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x237e…a5f0backed Over47c296.01$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.093357.6%19 W · 14 L+7.3wins+0.22per pick35cpaid+44.6%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x133b…5856backed Over9c277.78$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.781833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick39cpaid+13.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4789…994abacked Over61c276.19$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.72742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-38.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0176…910ebacked Under39c256.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005166.7%34 W · 17 L+8.8wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+42.5%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x0bf0…72cebacked Over47c239.45$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.481346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-17.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a9a…a9c7backed Under79c223.94$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over8c210$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.28242.7%35 W · 47 L-0.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid+13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d63…2e49backed Over34c199.99$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.992450%12 W · 12 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+54.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Over8c198.58$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.6915946.5%74 W · 85 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe41f…99febacked Over55c179.27$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.67540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-14.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x83d4…ad01backed Under54c175.52$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.78955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+18%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b6b…ec86backed Over46c169.26$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.481618.8%3 W · 13 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick30cpaid-45.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0a59…ba82backed Over65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.853151.6%16 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Under52c126.92$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-33.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under50c123.12$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.5619952.8%105 W · 94 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4c9…9ee4backed Over57c114.18$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.183847.4%18 W · 20 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+14.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf40a…ea0abacked Under53c105.54$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.9875%6 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+32.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf3b9…70aebacked Over58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+33.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa516…235cbacked Under41c97.56$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-0.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under50c92.25$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.053441.2%14 W · 20 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+21.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa639…f5e8backed Over41c90.24$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.2411955.5%66 W · 53 L+12.4wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+25.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Under44c88.6$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.7121748.8%106 W · 111 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5981…3934backed Over17c81.65$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.133050%15 W · 15 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+29.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5fb0…20b4backed Over30c80.99$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.31442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x12d2…17afbacked Under80c72.59$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.05450%2 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a2c…32bcbacked Over64c70.43$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.42616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.30per pick46cpaid-73.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4fad…fdc0backed Over21c67.93$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.542222.7%5 W · 17 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick19cpaid-19.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Under57c53.39$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.177556%42 W · 33 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0501…61ecbacked Over47c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.51650%8 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+28.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7737…7851backed Under65c50$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick64cpaid-54.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a7a…7f10backed Under60c48.33$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-19.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6945…729cbacked Over53c46.2$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.861258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+3.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb435…b97cbacked Over31c45.49$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.291464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+33.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa1f4…2df9backed Under45c44.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ea9…5b98backed Over41c43.77$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.881369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+37.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4a05…754abacked Over50c41.73$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.873852.6%20 W · 18 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8634…1b5bbacked Under72c36.69$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.25333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xafcf…72f6backed Under58c35$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.3633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.29per pick63cpaid-49%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xed67…7122backed Under78c31.86$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25450%2 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick78cpaid-36.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x508b…9c09backed Over66c30.3$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.3580%4 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick70cpaid+12.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x70b2…92d6backed Over61c26.62$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.45580%4 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.38per pick42cpaid+93%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf788…6f86backed Over65c26.15$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.157661.8%47 W · 29 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x491c…b765backed Under80c25.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.25354.7%29 W · 24 L-6.9wins-0.13per pick68cpaid-22.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa658…f93ebacked Under79c25.18$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202272.7%16 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick71cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86da…1cf6backed Under78c25$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6120%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x499c…2f8ebacked Under78c23.08$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick73cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0040…9eb8backed Over61c23$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$911161.3%68 W · 43 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over49c21.93$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.169056.7%51 W · 39 L+10.8wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+20.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf9b5…1212backed Over55c21.82$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.823831.6%12 W · 26 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-31.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfff9…ec5dbacked Over61c20.82$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86a0…bb4ebacked Under68c19.85$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.421163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+20.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under67c19.54$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.139740.6%161 W · 236 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.