Serie A · resolved market
Spread: Bologna FC 1909 (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x10e2dbf866c9a46bac0e52115c3295bad7069591a3425042f85f50203dc3a3cb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FC Internazionale Milanoof Bologna FC 1909, FC Internazionale Milano
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,038
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,374
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,038 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Bologna FC 1909 | 3c | 3,520$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.96 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe80a…cdccbacked Bologna FC 1909 | 5c | 1,178$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5fc…8f4abacked Bologna FC 1909 | 5c | 1,154$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62f2…72afbacked Bologna FC 1909 | 5c | 1,130$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Bologna FC 1909 | 3c | 1,119$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.25 | 298 | 62.4%186 W · 112 L | +34.5wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf069…a2b5backed Bologna FC 1909 | 5c | 1,112$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6309…cf46backed Bologna FC 1909 | 5c | 1,098$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac10…113cbacked Bologna FC 1909 | 5c | 1,058$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4805…d469backed Bologna FC 1909 | 5c | 1,015$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00f2…17bcbacked Bologna FC 1909 | 5c | 1,010$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63b9…650abacked Bologna FC 1909 | 5c | 1,010$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50bd…7d35backed Bologna FC 1909 | 5c | 1,010$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x018d…8d97backed Bologna FC 1909 | 5c | 1,010$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0cb…c986backed Bologna FC 1909 | 5c | 1,010$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6d…5c53backed Bologna FC 1909 | 5c | 997.74$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8085…b8fbbacked Bologna FC 1909 | 5c | 995$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x791b…a88cbacked Bologna FC 1909 | 5c | 995$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7b…4c4abacked Bologna FC 1909 | 5c | 990$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacea…a946backed Bologna FC 1909 | 3c | 990$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xced7…a2b4backed Bologna FC 1909 | 5c | 990$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe29…17b5backed Bologna FC 1909 | 3c | 990$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb362…616fbacked Bologna FC 1909 | 5c | 989$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8284…6b8ebacked Bologna FC 1909 | 5c | 970$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…c7fabacked Bologna FC 1909 | 5c | 970$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb291…265ebacked Bologna FC 1909 | 5c | 960$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x084c…38ebbacked Bologna FC 1909 | 5c | 932$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Bologna FC 1909 | 22c | 929.42$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.75 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa767…78acbacked Bologna FC 1909 | 5c | 927$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44fc…058cbacked Bologna FC 1909 | 5c | 918$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc622…fe40backed Bologna FC 1909 | 5c | 917$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb24…a6b3backed Bologna FC 1909 | 5c | 904$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f80…b29abacked Bologna FC 1909 | 5c | 888$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef9…b5c7backed Bologna FC 1909 | 5c | 872$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…2e02backed FC Internazionale Milano | 79c | 381.64$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.64 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Bologna FC 1909 | 5c | 213.87$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.87 | 342 | 39.2%134 W · 208 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x133b…5856backed Bologna FC 1909 | 8c | 195.68$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.63 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked FC Internazionale Milano | 76c | 102.12$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.51 | 467 | 42.8%200 W · 267 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9cc…59abbacked Bologna FC 1909 | 23c | 52.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.01 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed FC Internazionale Milano | 79c | 21.43$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 96 | 61.5%59 W · 37 L | +10.2wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Bologna FC 1909 (-2.5)this page
- Bologna FC 1909 vs. FC Internazionale Milano: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Bologna FC 1909 vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 0.5Over won
- Bologna FC 1909 vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 1.5Over won
- Bologna FC 1909 vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 2.5Over won
- Bologna FC 1909 vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 3.5Over won
- Bologna FC 1909 vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 4.5Over won
- Bologna FC 1909 vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 5.5Over won
- Spread: Bologna FC 1909 (-1.5)FC Internazionale Milano won
- Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-1.5)Bologna FC 1909 won
- Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-2.5)Bologna FC 1909 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.