TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Bologna FC 1909 vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$247,635
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$289,514

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $247,635 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 205 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa36f…180bbacked Over55c62,892$34,537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,355.54450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Over58c35,000$20,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,699.9210952.3%57 W · 52 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Under42c25,246$10,604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,603.56155.7%34 W · 27 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+18.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under28c12,981$3,662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,662.232,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over57c12,880$7,318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,561.2713839.9%55 W · 83 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under43c11,783$5,087 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,086.8798544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f3c…2f57backed Over57c10,516$5,994 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,521.981952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under42c8,108$3,415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,414.934239.2%134 W · 208 L+0.7wins0.00per pick39cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Under43c7,000$3,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0109952.5%52 W · 47 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Under45c6,400$2,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,8806165.6%40 W · 21 L+7.9wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+30.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under43c6,201$2,645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,645.3719952.8%105 W · 94 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under42c5,933$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5009650%48 W · 48 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c74…4ef0backed Under43c5,564$2,392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,392.362445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked Under45c4,800$2,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1604971.4%35 W · 14 L+9.6wins+0.20per pick52cpaid+45.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under43c4,684$2,026 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,026.0227453.3%146 W · 128 L+18.0wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+11.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xefd4…51b1backed Under46c4,328$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000850%4 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-22.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over61c4,091$2,486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,604.521,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2444…4252backed Under45c3,587$1,614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,614.09837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-17.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over57c3,438$1,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,478.4318923.8%45 W · 144 L-13.2wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-30.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x54a3…1c90backed Under51c3,317$1,688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,688.320%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed Under45c2,800$1,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2606365.1%41 W · 22 L+7.3wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+27.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under48c2,551$1,224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,224.453441.2%14 W · 20 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Under44c2,506$1,108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,107.926936.2%25 W · 44 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-19.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Under45c2,400$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0805862.1%36 W · 22 L+6.0wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+23.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed Under45c2,368$1,066 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,065.65151%26 W · 25 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over56c2,158$1,217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$941.4141954.7%229 W · 190 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Over60c2,050$1,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$829.9924953.8%134 W · 115 L+20.7wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+12%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xe706…89bcbacked Over55c2,017$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$916.571838.9%7 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed Under45c2,000$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9004170.7%29 W · 12 L+7.4wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+41.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x5634…d81abacked Under49c2,000$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9803243.8%14 W · 18 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under22c1,925$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425387.9%3 W · 35 L-5.0wins-0.13per pick21cpaid-56.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc62d…8fd8backed Over52c1,892$975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$917.031346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4d0…8814backed Over57c1,705$972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$733.43540%2 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.25per pick65cpaid-35.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Under45c1,600$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7206369.8%44 W · 19 L+11.2wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+37.9%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed Under45c1,600$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7206170.5%43 W · 18 L+11.0wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+37.5%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xac1a…813ebacked Under45c1,317$593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$592.562240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-23.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Over56c1,218$682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$535.964339.5%17 W · 26 L-3.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-17.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under45c1,200$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5406666.7%44 W · 22 L+9.2wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+34.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed Under45c1,200$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5405666.1%37 W · 19 L+7.5wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+32.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under44c1,115$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492.0232854.3%178 W · 150 L+14.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcba5…cd88backed Under45c1,100$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+63%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd54a…f538backed Under46c1,078$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.34944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-19.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed Under45c1,040$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4686465.6%42 W · 22 L+8.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+28.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Under45c1,040$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4686070%42 W · 18 L+10.2wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+36.4%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under44c1,028$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454.7639354.2%213 W · 180 L+17.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+13.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Over57c1,000$565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$435.064955.1%27 W · 22 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+18.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked Under45c1,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4508360.2%50 W · 33 L+5.8wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+18.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0def…4ddbbacked Under44c1,000$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4401741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa374…9709backed Under42c1,000$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4204242.9%18 W · 24 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20a8…d960backed Under46c1,000$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-47.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2db…a60dbacked Over57c999.99$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$430366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+32.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Over59c999.98$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.9912357.7%71 W · 52 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbdcd…0fe6backed Over57c999.92$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.97475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+46.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked Under45c900$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4057358.9%43 W · 30 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+15.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked Under45c900$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4056861.8%42 W · 26 L+5.8wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+20.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Under45c813.95$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.5512351.2%63 W · 60 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under21c712.53$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.1139740.6%161 W · 236 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over58c671.37$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.3168750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed Under45c640$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2885367.9%36 W · 17 L+8.3wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+36.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked Under45c624$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.86167.2%41 W · 20 L+9.0wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+34.5%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked Under45c624$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.85867.2%39 W · 19 L+8.4wins+0.15per pick53cpaid+32.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Under43c600$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2584860.4%29 W · 19 L+6.8wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+34.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed Under45c560$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2525168.6%35 W · 16 L+8.1wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+34.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xc045…92f1backed Under3c542.06$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.2540%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under48c526$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.5610759.8%64 W · 43 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8266…e882backed Over56c503.77$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+79.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Under42c500$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.954242.9%18 W · 24 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab4d…3f0bbacked Over54c499.98$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.99366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+37.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Under45c485.15$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.777045.7%32 W · 38 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea32…8870backed Over56c484.96$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.38944.4%4 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Over63c474.23$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.187762.3%48 W · 29 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x256b…cd5dbacked Under44c444$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.366155.7%34 W · 27 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Over50c434$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21713826.1%36 W · 102 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9238…b73ebacked Under40c400$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1612948.3%14 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed Under45c400$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1804669.6%32 W · 14 L+8.0wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+36.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed Under45c400$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1804866.7%32 W · 16 L+6.9wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+33.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdd59…2e2fbacked Under45c400$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1804472.7%32 W · 12 L+8.9wins+0.20per pick53cpaid+44.8%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xd96a…d8cebacked Under9c379.74$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.342321.7%5 W · 18 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick18cpaid-22%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8942…1e76backed Over57c375.44$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.447954.4%43 W · 36 L-0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed Under42c357.14$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1506852.9%36 W · 32 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+31.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6de…3db6backed Under44c351$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.44850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc52…dfcebacked Under45c340$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1531241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Under43c335.18$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.223847.4%18 W · 20 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-19.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde56…c2f9backed Under42c335.12$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.754856.3%27 W · 21 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xec8d…dd71backed Under43c328$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.044146.3%19 W · 22 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa494…4a1fbacked Under45c320$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1442373.9%17 W · 6 L+5.3wins+0.23per pick51cpaid+53.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over68c308.32$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.6632650.6%165 W · 161 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Under44c300$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.53655.6%20 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83d4…ad01backed Over54c300$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+18%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xee19…555ebacked Under11c299.98$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336048.3%29 W · 31 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Under20c297$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.4414651.4%75 W · 71 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe762…064bbacked Under40c284.98$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.421963.2%12 W · 7 L+3.0wins+0.16per pick48cpaid+30.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xfa5b…9b61backed Under42c280.86$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.961741.2%7 W · 10 L-2.3wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-26.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1362…f403backed Over57c250.18$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.582100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+119.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2965…0dedbacked Under44c249.49$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Over52c229.18$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1109826.5%26 W · 72 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-13.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb7ed…6fb8backed Over50c225.02$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.51875%6 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+43.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1851…7016backed Under45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd239…2083backed Under46c220$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.22161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+29.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8709…7d3dbacked Under54c218.76$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.134847.9%23 W · 25 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.