TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2444…4252

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
74
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Asian League, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Asian League at 59 out of 100; worst La Liga at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT1968.4%13 W · 6 L+3.7wins+0.19per pick49cpaid+40.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Asian League — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$303.27
Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$551Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$621.84
Kashiwa Reysol vs. JEF United Ichihara Chiba: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$133.27
Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. Al Okhdood SC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$153.24
Spread: Al Riyadh Saudi Club (-1.5)backed Al Okhdood SC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$371Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$291.24
Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Fateh Saudi Club: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$237Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+128.3%+$303.54
Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,400.45
Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC vs. Gimcheon Sangmu FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,311Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+100%+$1,310.87
Cerezo Ōsaka vs. Nagoya Grampus: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,039Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,038.78
Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+100%+$66.52
Incheon United FC vs. Gwangju FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$190.08
Spread: Beijing Guoan FC (-1.5)backed Qingdao Hainiu FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.27
Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Hazem SC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,045Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+109.1%+$1,140.66
Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$261.75
Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Najmah Saudi Club: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$286Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$263.81
Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Okhdood SC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$13.17
Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.65
Spread: Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club (-1.5)backed Al Fayha Saudi Club · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$15.02
Al Najmah Saudi Club vs. Al Hazem SC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$14.91
All 19 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT1741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-18%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Fenerbahçe SK (-1.5)backed Eyüpspor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$396Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$446.58
Odense BK vs. Vejle BK: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$580Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$580.03
FC Famalicão vs. FC Alverca: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$604Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$738.62
SC Braga vs. CF Estrela da Amadora: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.5
Casa Pia AC vs. Rio Ave FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$262Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+100%+$262.17
Samsunspor vs. Göztepe SK: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$496Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$405.76
Gaziantep FK vs. Rams Başakşehir FK: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$513Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$512.5
Fatih Karagümrük SK vs. Alanyaspor: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$446Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$446.5
Çaykur Rizespor vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$201.44
Spread: Heart of Midlothian FC (-1.5)backed Falkirk FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.21
Vitória SC vs. Casa Pia AC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$13.23
Gil Vicente FC vs. FC Arouca: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.16
CD Santa Clara vs. CD Nacional: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.59
CD Tondela vs. Moreirense FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$13.2
Rio Ave FC vs. Sporting CP: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$13.1
Spread: Galatasaray SK (-2.5)backed Galatasaray SK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.93
Alanyaspor vs. Kayserispor: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.4
All 17 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-25.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mirassol FC vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,034Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$661
São Paulo FC vs. Botafogo FR: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.21
Racing Club vs. Caracas FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,931Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,930.87
SE Palmeiras vs. Club Cerro Porteño: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,688Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+97.8%+$1,650.42
Spread: Independiente del Valle (-1.5)backed Club Libertad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$4,699Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,699.31
São Paulo FC vs. Millonarios FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$782Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$693.78
Club Always Ready vs. Mirassol FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.82
Red Bull Bragantino vs. EC Vitória: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.88
CF Pachuca vs. Pumas de la UNAM: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$230.08
CD Guadalajara vs. Tigres de la UANL: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+98.7%+$42.43
All 10 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-17.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-57.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+112.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)backed Burnley FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$3,456Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$3,597.35
Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$183Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$263.19
Millwall FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+88.4%+$26.18
All 3 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+89.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SV Darmstadt 98 vs. SC Paderborn 07: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$524Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$446.75
VfL Wolfsburg vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$14.71
Spread: RB Leipzig (-1.5)backed FC St. Pauli 1910 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$14.54
All 3 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 8, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Raptors (-1.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+117.4%+$54
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Auckland FC vs. Adelaide United FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$137.16
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.