Other European Leagues · resolved market
CD Santa Clara vs. CD Nacional: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2ec1d6ea82e92542bf5eb1ce7ba6a358045e911baa6e263b518fab4e36d624a8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,511
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,618
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,511 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4064…f741backed Over | 45c | 7,895$3,585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,584.88 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -5.1wins | -0.43per pick | 51cpaid | -83.6%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 55c | 2,477$1,351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125.98 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 54c | 1,950$1,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$901.42 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Under | 53c | 1,312$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.46 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 54c | 1,214$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.48 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 55c | 1,111$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.21 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 71 | 28.2%20 W · 51 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 56c | 1,012$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.62 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 53c | 500$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.5 | 398 | 52.5%209 W · 189 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 63c | 494.32$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.21 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed Over | 47c | 361.7$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 51c | 331.52$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.03 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 77c | 323.69$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.45 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Over | 39c | 300$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.55 | 115 | 27%31 W · 84 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 54c | 215.85$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.74 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 132 | 51.5%68 W · 64 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 54c | 203.99$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.07 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Over | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 54c | 194.41$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.59 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf57c…66febacked Over | 46c | 184.78$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -3.3wins | -0.24per pick | 31cpaid | -87%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 54c | 178.62$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.62 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 55c | 147.85$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.99 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Under | 53c | 135.51$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.25 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 51c | 107.52$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.68 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 42c | 101$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.42 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…95d1backed Under | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed Under | 54c | 75$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.25 | 63 | 61.9%39 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Over | 46c | 63.04$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 143 | 32.2%46 W · 97 L | -12.9wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Under | 54c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 244 | 54.9%134 W · 110 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf689…3e3fbacked Under | 55c | 25.86$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.64 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2444…4252backed Over | 49c | 25.69$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.59 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed Under | 54c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.96 | 68 | 66.2%45 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…30a8backed Under | 55c | 23.8$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 48c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x442a…e8f8backed Under | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CD Santa Clara vs. CD Nacional: O/U 2.5this page
- CD Santa Clara vs. CD Nacional: O/U 0.5Over won
- CD Santa Clara vs. CD Nacional: O/U 1.5Over won
- CD Santa Clara vs. CD Nacional: O/U 3.5Under won
- CD Santa Clara vs. CD Nacional: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CD Santa Clara (-1.5)CD Santa Clara won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.