TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x4064…f741

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
69
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Asian League, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category Asian League at 61 out of 100; worst Other European Leagues at 35.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 26, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+107.7%+$107,690.37
Brazil leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$3,717Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+90.4%+$3,358.67
Morocco vs. Haiti: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11,397Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+98.6%+$11,235.85
Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-1.5)backed Qatar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$60,540Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$60,540.18
Spread: Croatia (-1.5)backed Panama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$39,556Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$27,487.9
Spread: Japan (-1.5)backed Tunisia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$167,154Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$167,154.23
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$118,422Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$118,422.46
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$131,057Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$131,057.46
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$40,300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$40,300
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$114,110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$114,110.19
Slovakia vs. Montenegro: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$999Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+108.5%+$1,084.44
Georgia vs. Bahrain: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$5,547Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+58.9%+$3,265.55
All 12 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT128.3%1 W · 11 L-5.1wins-0.43per pick51cpaid-83.6%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: NEC (-1.5)backed NEC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,190Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,190
Sparta Rotterdam vs. SBV Excelsior: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$28,300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$28,300
Will Vålerenga Fotball win on 2026-05-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,162Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,162.24
Vitória SC vs. Casa Pia AC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11,163Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+96.3%+$10,748.61
CD Santa Clara vs. CD Nacional: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$3,585Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,584.88
KFUM-Kameratene Oslo vs. Viking FK: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$9,394Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,393.77
Spread: Galatasaray SK (-2.5)backed Galatasaray SK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$2,283Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,282.69
Will Kocaelispor win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$17,684Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$17,684.25
Will Kayserispor win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$7,884Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,884.17
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. IK Start: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$7,587Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,586.54
NAC Breda vs. AFC Ajax: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$9,435Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,434.52
FC Nordsjælland vs. Aarhus GF: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$2,298Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,297.53
All 12 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT1181.8%9 W · 2 L+3.5wins+0.31per pick50cpaid+63.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
Asian League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Shimizu S-Pulse vs. Yokohama F·Marinos: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$6,288Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+74.6%+$4,692
Will Qingdao Hainiu FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$7,294Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,293.91
Will Henan FC win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$23,304Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+133.7%+$31,158.72
Jeju SK FC vs. FC Anyang: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$2,500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$3,452.38
Will Al Kholood Saudi Club win on 2026-05-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$4,938Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,937.81
Al Fayha Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$4,691Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$3,995.82
Cerezo Ōsaka vs. V-Varen Nagasaki: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,255Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$1,026.81
Al Khaleej Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$7,300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+96.6%+$7,053.43
Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$6,600Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+76.8%+$5,069.7
Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club win on 2026-04-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$6,559Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$6,054.07
Will Shandong Taishan FC win on 2026-04-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,161Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$1,363.05
All 11 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-28.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick52cpaid-48.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Mls — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cleveland Guardians vs. Texas Rangersbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$6,200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$7,278.26
San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$9,894Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,894
San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11,030Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$11,029.91
All 3 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+111.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$23,398Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+109.5%+$25,621.15
AJ Auxerre vs. OGC Nice: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$11,036Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$12,445.12
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
DSC Arminia Bielefeld vs. Hertha BSC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$5,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,500
1. FC Union Berlin vs. FC Augsburg: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$61,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+113.8%+$69,443.84
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$39,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$39,400
Southampton FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,500
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$3,019Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$2,372.29
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SC Freiburg vs. SC Braga: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$16,866Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$16,866.29
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.