Fifa International · resolved market
Slovakia vs. Montenegro: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc6a99d81fe6688319c77f692697faa92e89c8ffbfb490a018bfb6eb6c6df00c5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,336
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,809
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,336 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 54c | 6,992$3,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,241.84 | 454 | 28%127 W · 327 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b75…433bbacked Over | 53c | 5,706$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,706.33 | 135 | 44.4%60 W · 75 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 46c | 3,206$1,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,460.12 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4064…f741backed Over | 48c | 2,084$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,084.44 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc482…b505backed Under | 36c | 1,644$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.72 | 49 | 67.3%33 W · 16 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 44c | 1,579$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688.64 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 49c | 1,570$769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$769.33 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d0…8814backed Over | 61c | 1,384$845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.94 | 38 | 73.7%28 W · 10 L | +5.0wins | +0.13per pick | 61cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 48c | 1,239$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.46 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa374…9709backed Under | 53c | 799.98$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.99 | 144 | 33.3%48 W · 96 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 51c | 799.53$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.77 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 47c | 748.15$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.15 | 217 | 47.9%104 W · 113 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 51c | 698.97$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.57 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x962e…3c2dbacked Under | 34c | 698$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.32 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Under | 51c | 684.99$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.6 | 244 | 48.4%118 W · 126 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…ce0abacked Over | 61c | 681.9$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.94 | 50 | 74%37 W · 13 L | +5.9wins | +0.12per pick | 62cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2d7b…e2cebacked Over | 50c | 651.3$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.65 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 38c | 642.63$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.14 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x140e…cf85backed Under | 50c | 600.02$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 161 | 53.4%86 W · 75 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 51c | 599.99$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x814e…40b1backed Over | 60c | 594.43$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.77 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 49c | 576.92$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.29 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a0…aee2backed Under | 46c | 547.06$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 121 | 40.5%49 W · 72 L | +7.2wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb052…7adabacked Over | 47c | 531.91$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.91 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc65a…2e83backed Under | 55c | 464.57$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 52c | 457.5$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.9 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8230…5121backed Under | 14c | 436.3$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.42 | 83 | 21.7%18 W · 65 L | +7.8wins | +0.09per pick | 12cpaid | +81.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3d74…0324backed Over | 51c | 436.18$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.73 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…6789backed Over | 48c | 398.66$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.35 | 272 | 55.9%152 W · 120 L | +36.1wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…307dbacked Over | 50c | 396.17$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.17 | 282 | 58.2%164 W · 118 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 52c | 359.07$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.43 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Under | 40c | 272.79$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.12 | 343 | 30%103 W · 240 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 76c | 245.72$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 254 | 55.9%142 W · 112 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdabd…6adabacked Under | 25c | 236.35$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.61 | 444 | 35.4%157 W · 287 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 50c | 223.3$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.82 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Over | 49c | 218$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.92 | 765 | 51.6%395 W · 370 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7736…c991backed Over | 52c | 210.62$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.93 | 132 | 53%70 W · 62 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Under | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Over | 51c | 199.99$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 141 | 46.1%65 W · 76 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa209…ffbebacked Over | 66c | 194.97$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.29 | 594 | 53.4%317 W · 277 L | +43.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 50c | 180.5$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.25 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd881…af24backed Over | 52c | 153.23$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.55 | 224 | 50.4%113 W · 111 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65a0…2a86backed Over | 78c | 126.54$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.84 | 82 | 74.4%61 W · 21 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 69cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Over | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa0…aa66backed Over | 75c | 104.39$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.1 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 71cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5283…b53cbacked Over | 66c | 101.52$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.52 | 98 | 29.6%29 W · 69 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed Under | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 377 | 53.8%203 W · 174 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98cb…26bcbacked Over | 54c | 99$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.54 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Under | 42c | 94.71$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.79 | 631 | 51.5%325 W · 306 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 33c | 86.13$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.67 | 908 | 40.9%371 W · 537 L | -64.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xede5…5300backed Under | 23c | 86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.78 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6859…f7c2backed Over | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e26…ecc5backed Over | 56c | 70.95$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.95 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 70c | 69.71$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.04 | 740 | 34.1%252 W · 488 L | -36.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6531…cc88backed Over | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9982…8b06backed Under | 49c | 62.61$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.68 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -4.3wins | -0.11per pick | 62cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 39c | 62.06$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.97 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Under | 55c | 60.94$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.44 | 315 | 50.8%160 W · 155 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27ec…579dbacked Under | 35c | 52.08$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.29per pick | 39cpaid | -78.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Under | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 548 | 59.5%326 W · 222 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 823 | 40.9%337 W · 486 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09f4…dac0backed Over | 48c | 46$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.92 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 43c | 46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.78 | 935 | 42.2%395 W · 540 L | -27.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ac5…d1f9backed Under | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 176 | 47.7%84 W · 92 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1171…16cfbacked Over | 66c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 311 | 47.9%149 W · 162 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 51c | 37.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.07 | 1,001 | 53.9%540 W · 461 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd3…14b2backed Under | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 66c | 35.6$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.1 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c26…3456backed Over | 69c | 34.68$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7891…c020backed Under | 48c | 32.21$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.61 | 48 | 70.8%34 W · 14 L | +5.7wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb700…5a62backed Over | 72c | 27.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.45 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…7b3fbacked Over | 68c | 23.53$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.53 | 150 | 46.7%70 W · 80 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Under | 51c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 266 | 31.2%83 W · 183 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9355…038dbacked Over | 77c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.84 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 72cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b08…ab3ebacked Over | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1b…106cbacked Over | 77c | 14.05$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.17 | 91 | 74.7%68 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 76cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Slovakia vs. Montenegro: O/U 2.5this page
- Slovakia vs. Montenegro: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Slovakia vs. Montenegro: O/U 0.5Over won
- Slovakia vs. Montenegro: O/U 1.5Over won
- Slovakia vs. Montenegro: O/U 3.5Over won
- Slovakia vs. Montenegro: O/U 4.5Under won
- Slovakia vs. Montenegro: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Montenegro (-1.5)Slovakia won
- Spread: Slovakia (-1.5)Montenegro won
- Spread: Slovakia (-2.5)Montenegro won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.