TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Slovakia vs. Montenegro: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$46,336
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$56,809

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,336 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over54c6,992$3,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,241.8445428%127 W · 327 L-2.0wins0.00per pick28cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b75…433bbacked Over53c5,706$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,706.3313544.4%60 W · 75 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under46c3,206$1,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,460.123,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4064…f741backed Over48c2,084$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,084.441250%6 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc482…b505backed Under36c1,644$592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$591.724967.3%33 W · 16 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+5.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under44c1,579$689 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$688.642,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under49c1,570$769 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$769.331,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4d0…8814backed Over61c1,384$845 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$539.943873.7%28 W · 10 L+5.0wins+0.13per pick61cpaid+22.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under48c1,239$595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$595.462,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa374…9709backed Under53c799.98$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423.9914433.3%48 W · 96 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over51c799.53$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.778,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Over47c748.15$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396.1521747.9%104 W · 113 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Under51c698.97$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.571,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x962e…3c2dbacked Under34c698$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.323650%18 W · 18 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Under51c684.99$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.624448.4%118 W · 126 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa163…ce0abacked Over61c681.9$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.945074%37 W · 13 L+5.9wins+0.12per pick62cpaid+19%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2d7b…e2cebacked Over50c651.3$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.658440.5%34 W · 50 L-6.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under38c642.63$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.144,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x140e…cf85backed Under50c600.02$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30016153.4%86 W · 75 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under51c599.99$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3041,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x814e…40b1backed Over60c594.43$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.773060%18 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick54cpaid-4.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under49c576.92$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.293,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7a0…aee2backed Under46c547.06$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25012140.5%49 W · 72 L+7.2wins+0.06per pick35cpaid-2.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb052…7adabacked Over47c531.91$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.916845.6%31 W · 37 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc65a…2e83backed Under55c464.57$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2555232.7%17 W · 35 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-20.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under52c457.5$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.94,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8230…5121backed Under14c436.3$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.428321.7%18 W · 65 L+7.8wins+0.09per pick12cpaid+81.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3d74…0324backed Over51c436.18$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.732669.2%18 W · 8 L+3.1wins+0.12per pick57cpaid+17.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc9db…6789backed Over48c398.66$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.3527255.9%152 W · 120 L+36.1wins+0.13per pick43cpaid+49.8%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x20ad…307dbacked Over50c396.17$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.1728258.2%164 W · 118 L+10.0wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under52c359.07$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.433,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Under40c272.79$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.1234330%103 W · 240 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Over76c245.72$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.7325455.9%142 W · 112 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdabd…6adabacked Under25c236.35$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.6144435.4%157 W · 287 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under50c223.3$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.821,68854.4%918 W · 770 L+31.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Over49c218$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.9276551.6%395 W · 370 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7736…c991backed Over52c210.62$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.9313253%70 W · 62 L-0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Under49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$981,00544.3%445 W · 560 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd147…ecbdbacked Over51c199.99$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9814146.1%65 W · 76 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa209…ffbebacked Over66c194.97$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.2959453.4%317 W · 277 L+43.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under50c180.5$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.253,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd881…af24backed Over52c153.23$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.5522450.4%113 W · 111 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x65a0…2a86backed Over78c126.54$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.848274.4%61 W · 21 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick69cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9013…e7e0backed Over47c106.38$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.3816437.2%61 W · 103 L+0.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2fa0…aa66backed Over75c104.39$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.12259.1%13 W · 9 L-2.5wins-0.12per pick71cpaid-16.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5283…b53cbacked Over66c101.52$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.529829.6%29 W · 69 L+7.3wins+0.07per pick22cpaid+20.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed Under43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4337753.8%203 W · 174 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98cb…26bcbacked Over54c99$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.542937.9%11 W · 18 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-22.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Under42c94.71$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.7963151.5%325 W · 306 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Under33c86.13$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.6790840.9%371 W · 537 L-64.0wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-24.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xede5…5300backed Under23c86$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.783636.1%13 W · 23 L-3.6wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-32.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6859…f7c2backed Over66c75.76$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.762958.6%17 W · 12 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e26…ecc5backed Over56c70.95$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.954156.1%23 W · 18 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over70c69.71$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.0474034.1%252 W · 488 L-36.1wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6531…cc88backed Over47c63.83$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.83475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+34.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9982…8b06backed Under49c62.61$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.683951.3%20 W · 19 L-4.3wins-0.11per pick62cpaid-22.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under39c62.06$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.971,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb46…56e7backed Under55c60.94$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.4431550.8%160 W · 155 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27ec…579dbacked Under35c52.08$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.31010%1 W · 9 L-2.9wins-0.29per pick39cpaid-78.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed Under49c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.554859.5%326 W · 222 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over53c47.17$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.1782340.9%337 W · 486 L-2.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09f4…dac0backed Over48c46$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.9210744.9%48 W · 59 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under43c46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7893542.2%395 W · 540 L-27.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ac5…d1f9backed Under48c41.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2017647.7%84 W · 92 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1171…16cfbacked Over66c40$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.66355.6%35 W · 28 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-10.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under52c40$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.82,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Over51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.2231147.9%149 W · 162 L-0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Under51c37.67$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.071,00153.9%540 W · 461 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5dd3…14b2backed Under55c36.36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204456.8%25 W · 19 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over66c35.6$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.12,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c26…3456backed Over69c34.68$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.751540%6 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-36.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7891…c020backed Under48c32.21$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.614870.8%34 W · 14 L+5.7wins+0.12per pick59cpaid+19.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb700…5a62backed Over72c27.05$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.459852%51 W · 47 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd43…7b3fbacked Over68c23.53$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.5315046.7%70 W · 80 L+10.4wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+8.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc846…c413backed Under51c22$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2226631.2%83 W · 183 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick29cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9355…038dbacked Over77c21$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.842564%16 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick72cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b08…ab3ebacked Over67c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.64856.3%27 W · 21 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e1b…106cbacked Over77c14.05$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.179174.7%68 W · 23 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick76cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.