Fifa International · resolved market
Slovakia vs. Montenegro: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2ecb1d3ef61c40482c4c86841e784694f4cfd1f8bbe78c422925dd21f36cdad0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,357
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,430
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,357 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb184…b6c6backed Over | 44c | 2,249$992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$992.09 | 67 | 28.4%19 W · 48 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 55c | 1,456$797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.07 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 70c | 1,401$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.07 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Over | 22c | 1,336$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.84 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 48c | 630.33$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301 | 217 | 47.9%104 W · 113 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 12c | 519.29$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.67 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 67c | 428.57$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.22 | 1,144 | 39.2%448 W · 696 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 72c | 398.3$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.44 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 68c | 362.2$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.68 | 414 | 51.4%213 W · 201 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 79c | 348.94$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.3 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 14c | 332$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.4 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…e900backed Under | 66c | 315.69$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.93 | 364 | 37.1%135 W · 229 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x012a…c01dbacked Over | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 67c | 312.3$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.28 | 355 | 49.9%177 W · 178 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Over | 12c | 299.08$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.58 | 343 | 30%103 W · 240 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed Over | 14c | 280$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.9 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 58c | 232.21$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.35 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 44c | 220.45$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 107 | 40.2%43 W · 64 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Over | 49c | 204.38$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 83 | 34.9%29 W · 54 L | -8.9wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdd35…17debacked Over | 49c | 199.1$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…307dbacked Over | 53c | 189.05$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 282 | 58.2%164 W · 118 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Over | 12c | 170.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,388 | 15.1%210 W · 1,178 L | -16.0wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f9…b000backed Under | 56c | 170.36$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.96 | 101 | 31.7%32 W · 69 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf0…72cebacked Under | 47c | 169.15$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.65 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 45c | 146.67$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 551 | 53%292 W · 259 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc049…48abbacked Over | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 107 | 34.6%37 W · 70 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2333…88f8backed Over | 23c | 128.63$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 9c | 120$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x814e…40b1backed Over | 34c | 115.41$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.16 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92dd…96d3backed Over | 34c | 114.63$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.97 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 50c | 102.36$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.21 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 823 | 40.9%337 W · 486 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7736…c991backed Over | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 132 | 53%70 W · 62 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49fa…4575backed Over | 21c | 90.48$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 32c | 90.31$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.78 | 908 | 40.9%371 W · 537 L | -64.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x70b2…92d6backed Over | 41c | 63.44$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa681…8b89backed Over | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 270 | 28.9%78 W · 192 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…ab9fbacked Over | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x630c…f294backed Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cfc…ab38backed Over | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0d…9d1abacked Under | 80c | 49.3$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.92 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc34…799dbacked Over | 25c | 47.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c6c…1d5dbacked Over | 44c | 41.33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e35…3655backed Over | 54c | 37.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.24 | 61 | 23%14 W · 47 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…965abacked Under | 77c | 31.2$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.23 | 122 | 52.5%64 W · 58 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Under | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 242 | 57.9%140 W · 102 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa7c…9e02backed Under | 68c | 26.31$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.49 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Under | 60c | 22.67$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.02 | 177 | 60.5%107 W · 70 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2a3…761abacked Under | 80c | 22.5$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb207…839bbacked Under | 61c | 17.46$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.81 | 75 | 65.3%49 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7885…1173backed Under | 74c | 15.75$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.09 | 114 | 50.9%58 W · 56 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee84…becbbacked Under | 66c | 15.53$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 114 | 48.2%55 W · 59 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9eb…a3fbbacked Under | 70c | 14.88$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.43 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 72cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Slovakia vs. Montenegro: O/U 4.5this page
- Slovakia vs. Montenegro: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Slovakia vs. Montenegro: O/U 0.5Over won
- Slovakia vs. Montenegro: O/U 1.5Over won
- Slovakia vs. Montenegro: O/U 2.5Over won
- Slovakia vs. Montenegro: O/U 3.5Over won
- Slovakia vs. Montenegro: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Montenegro (-1.5)Slovakia won
- Spread: Slovakia (-1.5)Montenegro won
- Spread: Slovakia (-2.5)Montenegro won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.