Fifa International · resolved market
Spread: Slovakia (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x59c0bcd411820cacfba72bebcd90b9cc2138ddb5cb70413a4901ed948e3e0fad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Montenegroof Slovakia, Montenegro
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,046
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,209
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,046 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Slovakia | 53c | 1,402$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736.47 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d85…197fbacked Montenegro | 47c | 800$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Slovakia | 52c | 540$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.12 | 150 | 59.3%89 W · 61 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Slovakia | 55c | 512.29$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.62 | 343 | 30%103 W · 240 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b7…3267backed Montenegro | 46c | 312.33$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.66 | 270 | 58.1%157 W · 113 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Montenegro | 46c | 300$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.35 | 935 | 42.2%395 W · 540 L | -27.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Montenegro | 46c | 203.61$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.27 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Montenegro | 66c | 180.49$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.07 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb93f…4160backed Montenegro | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 96 | 62.5%60 W · 36 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a9…87e2backed Slovakia | 31c | 124.5$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.59 | 413 | 44.1%182 W · 231 L | -16.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Montenegro | 67c | 107.79$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.98 | 244 | 48.4%118 W · 126 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf16…7428backed Slovakia | 33c | 90.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Slovakia | 34c | 88.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,388 | 15.1%210 W · 1,178 L | -16.0wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Slovakia | 32c | 74.49$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.84 | 418 | 57.9%242 W · 176 L | +14.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65f4…5222backed Slovakia | 34c | 74.03$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 268 | 35.4%95 W · 173 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Montenegro | 69c | 64.99$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.36 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Slovakia | 31c | 63.24$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 200 | 47%94 W · 106 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x166c…6d5abacked Slovakia | 36c | 50.86$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.06 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Montenegro | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 327 | 40.7%133 W · 194 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xede5…5300backed Montenegro | 48c | 43.25$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.49 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Slovakia | 36c | 41.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 823 | 40.9%337 W · 486 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Montenegro | 68c | 41.03$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.13 | 831 | 53.3%443 W · 388 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Montenegro | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 242 | 57.9%140 W · 102 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Montenegro | 65c | 27.71$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.7 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…2e02backed Slovakia | 64c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 396 | 48.7%193 W · 203 L | -23.6wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa807…cc2ebacked Montenegro | 69c | 21.51$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65c9…0d57backed Montenegro | 67c | 20.59$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Montenegro | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb700…5a62backed Slovakia | 55c | 19.36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Slovakia (-1.5)this page
- Slovakia vs. Montenegro: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Slovakia vs. Montenegro: O/U 0.5Over won
- Slovakia vs. Montenegro: O/U 1.5Over won
- Slovakia vs. Montenegro: O/U 2.5Over won
- Slovakia vs. Montenegro: O/U 3.5Over won
- Slovakia vs. Montenegro: O/U 4.5Under won
- Slovakia vs. Montenegro: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Montenegro (-1.5)Slovakia won
- Spread: Slovakia (-2.5)Montenegro won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.