TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd4b7…3267

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
294
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Champions League, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 53 out of 100; worst NBA at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2026, EDT27058.1%157 W · 113 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 270 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$5.09
Will Austria win on 2026-06-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$6.39
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$10.49
Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+35.9%+$6.4
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+34.3%+$4.08
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+87%+$20.58
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$6.96
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$6.96
Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$6.33
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.78
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$7.9
Türkiye vs. United States: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$7.9
Will Australia win on 2026-06-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$3.76
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+37%+$4.4
Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.82
South Africa vs. Korea Republic: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$808Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+117.7%+$950.89
Czechia vs. Mexico: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$11.36
Czechia vs. Mexico: O/U 7.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$231Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$282.56
South Africa vs. Korea Republic: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$278Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$277.67
South Africa vs. Korea Republic: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$8.94
South Africa vs. Korea Republic: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+28.9%+$4.02
Czechia vs. Mexico: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+37%+$4.4
Spread: Korea Republic (-1.5)backed South Africa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$633Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$297.96
Czechia vs. Mexico: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.83
Spread: Mexico (-1.5)backed Czechia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$169Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$169.47
Showing 25 of 270 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT875%6 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+15.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Foggia: Giorgia Pedone vs Lucia Bronzettibacked Lucia Bronzetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$6.27
ITF Sumter: Eryn Cayetano vs Kristina Liutovabacked Kristina Liutova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$3.97
Makarska: Andrea Lazaro Garcia vs Darja Semenistajabacked Andrea Lazaro Garcia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.84
Prostejov: Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo vs Lautaro Midonbacked Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+80.5%+$9.53
Set 1 Winner: Mensik vs Zverevbacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$6.11
Birmingham: Rebeka Masarova vs Mary Stoianabacked Rebeka Masarova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$3.97
Birmingham: Arthur Fery vs Rinky Hijikatabacked Rinky Hijikata · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.83
Centurion 2: Arda Azkara vs Khololwam Montsibacked Khololwam Montsi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$10.49
All 8 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick59cpaid+2.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+40.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SE Palmeiras vs. Associação Chapecoense de Futebol: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$6.39
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$5.34
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-35.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kashima Antlers vs. Vissel Kōbe end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.75
Spread: Beijing Guoan FC (-1.5)backed Chongqing Tonglianglong FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$3.56
All 2 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Shanghai Sharks vs. Zhejiang Lionsbacked Shanghai Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+33.1%+$4.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.81
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.