La Liga · resolved market
Spread: Málaga CF (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5009aeaaf322217f738d9f080c36a01d898cedb1a00992656b954a09904e6e14
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Málaga CFof Málaga CF, Real Zaragoza
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,831
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,440
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,831 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb10b…0b04backed Málaga CF | 35c | 3,836$1,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,482.7 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Real Zaragoza | 65c | 2,171$1,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,417.96 | 1,186 | 51.7%613 W · 573 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x800a…0b4dbacked Málaga CF | 34c | 998.49$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.6 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Real Zaragoza | 60c | 957.57$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.94 | 4,753 | 47.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L | -21.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Real Zaragoza | 64c | 869.16$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.35 | 693 | 50.2%348 W · 345 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Real Zaragoza | 63c | 374.16$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.72 | 102 | 30.4%31 W · 71 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -28%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2666…ade6backed Málaga CF | 48c | 368.75$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +120.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Real Zaragoza | 69c | 357.31$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.08 | 890 | 50%445 W · 445 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f74…f2a6backed Málaga CF | 33c | 304.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.99 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe8c…664cbacked Málaga CF | 36c | 269.44$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.44 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98bd…8a55backed Málaga CF | 42c | 260.37$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.37 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Real Zaragoza | 64c | 256$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.84 | 482 | 51.2%247 W · 235 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Real Zaragoza | 67c | 197.97$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.7 | 2,347 | 48.5%1,138 W · 1,209 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Real Zaragoza | 72c | 181$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.74 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cff…15d1backed Málaga CF | 25c | 153.27$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.95 | 228 | 39.9%91 W · 137 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Real Zaragoza | 75c | 150.6$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.95 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Real Zaragoza | 67c | 125$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.75 | 234 | 55.1%129 W · 105 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a8…6764backed Málaga CF | 29c | 123.17$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.72 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.23per pick | 41cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Real Zaragoza | 62c | 97.49$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.85 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16dd…c382backed Málaga CF | 27c | 83$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +273.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Real Zaragoza | 65c | 74.18$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.22 | 166 | 60.8%101 W · 65 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Real Zaragoza | 65c | 60$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 130 | 59.2%77 W · 53 L | +11.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed Málaga CF | 47c | 53.13$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Real Zaragoza | 65c | 52.74$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.28 | 91 | 67%61 W · 30 L | +8.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Real Zaragoza | 67c | 50$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 1,577 | 51.4%811 W · 766 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Real Zaragoza | 65c | 48$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.26 | 148 | 56.8%84 W · 64 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Real Zaragoza | 65c | 45$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef2…fdb6backed Málaga CF | 26c | 42$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.08 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Málaga CF | 42c | 39.82$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 3,461 | 43%1,489 W · 1,972 L | +31.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Real Zaragoza | 68c | 39$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.52 | 90 | 60%54 W · 36 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Real Zaragoza | 65c | 28.71$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.66 | 198 | 65.2%129 W · 69 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4910…1f9ebacked Real Zaragoza | 73c | 25.75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb0…dbc2backed Real Zaragoza | 65c | 23.07$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2827…64f6backed Real Zaragoza | 65c | 23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 69 | 69.6%48 W · 21 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed Real Zaragoza | 65c | 16.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 97 | 58.8%57 W · 40 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b7…3267backed Real Zaragoza | 70c | 16.86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Málaga CF (-1.5)this page
- Real Zaragoza vs. Málaga CF: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Real Zaragoza vs. Málaga CF: O/U 0.5Over won
- Real Zaragoza vs. Málaga CF: O/U 1.5Over won
- Real Zaragoza vs. Málaga CF: O/U 2.5Under won
- Real Zaragoza vs. Málaga CF: O/U 3.5Under won
- Real Zaragoza vs. Málaga CF: O/U 4.5Under won
- Real Zaragoza vs. Málaga CF: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Málaga CF (-2.5)Real Zaragoza won
- Spread: Real Zaragoza (-1.5)Málaga CF won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.