La Liga · resolved market
Real Zaragoza vs. Málaga CF: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x39ba8a8ca661d21b9911d3ba37643347b5aa22124f4b612fe973191e1a33bb5f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,261
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,292
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,261 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4852…67c4backed Under | 51c | 7,965$4,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,890.62 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc72d…fc21backed Over | 50c | 6,030$3,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,008.2 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.6wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under | 48c | 4,028$1,933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,094.46 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Over | 50c | 3,800$1,913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,912.9 | 73 | 37%27 W · 46 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21e8…b85ebacked Over | 57c | 2,284$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 51c | 2,022$1,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,036.43 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf89…075bbacked Over | 52c | 1,915$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Over | 47c | 991.29$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.9 | 138 | 44.9%62 W · 76 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa36f…180bbacked Over | 49c | 750$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 50c | 724.91$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.73 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 48c | 680.56$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.9 | 684 | 50.6%346 W · 338 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 45c | 635.53$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.88 | 697 | 50.8%354 W · 343 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99e2…ffd9backed Over | 53c | 615.51$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 45c | 563.79$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.44 | 754 | 51.2%386 W · 368 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Over | 50c | 563.36$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.36 | 224 | 55.8%125 W · 99 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 50c | 558.88$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.36 | 403 | 57.1%230 W · 173 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked Under | 51c | 549.97$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.49 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32aa…c56ebacked Under | 50c | 506$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +91.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Under | 45c | 499.92$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.96 | 116 | 36.2%42 W · 74 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 47c | 462.45$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.17 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 55c | 447.78$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.37 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 51c | 400$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5634…d81abacked Over | 56c | 387.99$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.17 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa31a…d023backed Over | 49c | 319.33$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.47 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 53c | 257.15$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.35 | 1,176 | 51.9%610 W · 566 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8987…02f3backed Over | 47c | 248.96$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.01 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Over | 44c | 245.99$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.34 | 102 | 30.4%31 W · 71 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -28%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Over | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 96 | 41.7%40 W · 56 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 45c | 199.97$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.98 | 186 | 53.8%100 W · 86 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 49c | 193$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.28 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 49c | 163.07$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.12 | 454 | 50%227 W · 227 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…dd26backed Under | 50c | 158.45$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.23 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Over | 52c | 124.61$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.52 | 91 | 67%61 W · 30 L | +8.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 48c | 120$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.8 | 124 | 60.5%75 W · 49 L | +12.7wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Under | 50c | 119.99$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 50c | 116.09$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.77 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 50c | 111.78$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.71 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Over | 53c | 108.99$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.7 | 166 | 60.8%101 W · 65 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4061…dde5backed Over | 31c | 95.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -3.9wins | -0.19per pick | 29cpaid | -76.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Under | 57c | 68.53$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.53 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Over | 54c | 64.37$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.63 | 198 | 65.2%129 W · 69 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce0f…5c9ebacked Over | 55c | 57.29$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.69 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 48c | 56.15$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.06 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 492 | 28.9%142 W · 350 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed Under | 46c | 50.58$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.12 | 77 | 61%47 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Over | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Under | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 204 | 41.7%85 W · 119 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Over | 48c | 43.4$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.83 | 148 | 56.8%84 W · 64 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Over | 48c | 41.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c9e…8e90backed Over | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x056b…5a03backed Under | 46c | 39.53$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.15 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc119…7d4dbacked Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 324 | 44.8%145 W · 179 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Under | 47c | 38.59$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.6 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d70…d0a6backed Under | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +3.6wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 224 | 56.3%126 W · 98 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54d0…8e20backed Over | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcadd…c7e6backed Over | 49c | 35.1$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.35 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0351…d8e8backed Over | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Under | 43c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed Over | 52c | 29.77$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.53 | 97 | 58.8%57 W · 40 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Over | 53c | 29.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.39 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4502…9eedbacked Under | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +3.9wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +58%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x443f…4539backed Over | 54c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.47 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2827…64f6backed Over | 55c | 27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 69 | 69.6%48 W · 21 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Under | 52c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +7.1wins | +0.31per pick | 43cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Over | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0e…accebacked Over | 54c | 22.14$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.86 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 66cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over | 53c | 20.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Over | 52c | 20.51$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked Under | 57c | 17.88$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.69 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Real Zaragoza vs. Málaga CF: O/U 2.5this page
- Real Zaragoza vs. Málaga CF: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Real Zaragoza vs. Málaga CF: O/U 0.5Over won
- Real Zaragoza vs. Málaga CF: O/U 1.5Over won
- Real Zaragoza vs. Málaga CF: O/U 3.5Under won
- Real Zaragoza vs. Málaga CF: O/U 4.5Under won
- Real Zaragoza vs. Málaga CF: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Málaga CF (-1.5)Málaga CF won
- Spread: Málaga CF (-2.5)Real Zaragoza won
- Spread: Real Zaragoza (-1.5)Málaga CF won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.