La Liga · resolved market
Real Zaragoza vs. Málaga CF: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x56b71a56ab183a307043b7a25ace173d2e736c9720d151ab8e52761cb7f1de39
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,044
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,935
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,044 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 24c | 2,400$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.21 | 108 | 20.4%22 W · 86 L | -9.6wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 75c | 1,337$1,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.84 | 684 | 50.6%346 W · 338 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 76c | 1,137$858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.45 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 68c | 939.47$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.59 | 1,176 | 51.9%610 W · 566 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21e8…b85ebacked Over | 35c | 863.4$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28e2…d3abbacked Over | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 33c | 300.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 171 | 28.1%48 W · 123 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Over | 33c | 285.76$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.2 | 102 | 30.4%31 W · 71 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -28%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 69c | 179.94$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.78 | 124 | 60.5%75 W · 49 L | +12.7wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x414c…f10bbacked Under | 80c | 166.78$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.36 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 78cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 186 | 53.8%100 W · 86 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 26c | 94.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 492 | 28.9%142 W · 350 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Under | 69c | 85.32$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.45 | 187 | 47.1%88 W · 99 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 25c | 83.87$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.61 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 73c | 73.12$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.67 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked Under | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 73c | 63$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.03 | 454 | 50%227 W · 227 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Under | 65c | 61.54$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 180 | 46.7%84 W · 96 L | +11.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 73c | 61$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.58 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Over | 20c | 55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 68c | 35$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.13 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…8453backed Under | 73c | 32$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 69cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 73c | 27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.29 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Under | 67c | 22.2$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.27 | 198 | 65.2%129 W · 69 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bba…e4a7backed Under | 73c | 21.92$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Real Zaragoza vs. Málaga CF: O/U 3.5this page
- Real Zaragoza vs. Málaga CF: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Real Zaragoza vs. Málaga CF: O/U 0.5Over won
- Real Zaragoza vs. Málaga CF: O/U 1.5Over won
- Real Zaragoza vs. Málaga CF: O/U 2.5Under won
- Real Zaragoza vs. Málaga CF: O/U 4.5Under won
- Real Zaragoza vs. Málaga CF: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Málaga CF (-1.5)Málaga CF won
- Spread: Málaga CF (-2.5)Real Zaragoza won
- Spread: Real Zaragoza (-1.5)Málaga CF won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.