La Liga · resolved market
Real Zaragoza vs. Málaga CF: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xab9528e15d9679c675e9ef905db78c15a4c12106dc77b5a33ccbe8149820d49f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,035
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,757
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,035 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 53c | 2,193$1,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160.94 | 1,017 | 33.4%340 W · 677 L | -8.3wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed No | 46c | 2,009$924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,084.68 | 135 | 45.2%61 W · 74 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc72d…fc21backed Yes | 51c | 740.47$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.69 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.3wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +50%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcd1f…f0d8backed No | 73c | 470.82$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.12 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes | 43c | 298.75$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.39 | 102 | 30.4%31 W · 71 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -28%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 61c | 237.68$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.9 | 4,753 | 47.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L | -21.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0267…7f7ebacked No | 58c | 233$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.86 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed No | 49c | 209.88$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.04 | 224 | 55.8%125 W · 99 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 49c | 209.88$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.04 | 403 | 57.1%230 W · 173 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 49c | 205.53$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.8 | 693 | 50.2%348 W · 345 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 96 | 41.7%40 W · 56 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57bb…9302backed Yes | 54c | 182.63$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.62 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 49c | 180.84$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.23 | 2,347 | 48.5%1,138 W · 1,209 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf92f…1a35backed Yes | 18c | 144.44$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked No | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…7eb2backed No | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 48c | 44.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.22 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed No | 48c | 33.79$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 148 | 56.8%84 W · 64 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb0…dbc2backed Yes | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…03e5backed No | 63c | 29.46$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 52c | 27.47$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 1,577 | 51.4%811 W · 766 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed No | 49c | 27.06$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 224 | 56.3%126 W · 98 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c5b…c6e4backed No | 58c | 25.17$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes | 43c | 24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 1,662 | 43.7%727 W · 935 L | -23.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Real Zaragoza vs. Málaga CF: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Real Zaragoza vs. Málaga CF: O/U 0.5Over won
- Real Zaragoza vs. Málaga CF: O/U 1.5Over won
- Real Zaragoza vs. Málaga CF: O/U 2.5Under won
- Real Zaragoza vs. Málaga CF: O/U 3.5Under won
- Real Zaragoza vs. Málaga CF: O/U 4.5Under won
- Real Zaragoza vs. Málaga CF: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Málaga CF (-1.5)Málaga CF won
- Spread: Málaga CF (-2.5)Real Zaragoza won
- Spread: Real Zaragoza (-1.5)Málaga CF won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.