TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xcd1f…f0d8

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
141
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Crypto Milestones, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Crypto Milestones at 54 out of 100; worst Tennis at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT9064.4%58 W · 32 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-1.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 90 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Argentina O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$3,138Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,138.06
Switzerland vs. Algeria: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$819Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$351
Will England win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,856Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$554.45
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Mexico O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$440Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+40.4%+$177.59
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$613Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$262.71
France vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+72.7%+$363.25
Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$310
Netherlands vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$956Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+37%+$353.44
Will Germany vs. Paraguay end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$521Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$443.64
Germany vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$788Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$788.08
New Zealand vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$99
Senegal vs. Iraq: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+37%+$54
Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$719Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$226.97
Morocco vs. Haiti: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$510Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$416.99
Switzerland vs. Canada: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$70.59
Norway vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$105
Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$217Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$68.53
Tunisia vs. Japan: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$84.49
Tunisia vs. Japan: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+25%+$23.75
Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+30.2%+$49.54
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$64.74
Brazil vs. Haiti: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$69.49
Showing 25 of 90 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.15per pick59cpaid-34.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+27.5%+$109.93
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$182
Will Stade Brestois 29 vs. Angers SCO end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+37%+$110.96
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$128.79
Will OGC Nice win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.21
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. FC Nantes end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$169Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$168.86
Will AS Monaco FC vs. AJ Auxerre end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+70.1%+$68.41
Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-04-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$193.93
Will Racing Club de Lens vs. Toulouse FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$907Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$907.4
All 9 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT875%6 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-2.5wins-0.32per pick69cpaid-47.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Tennis — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Shnaider vs. Chwalinska: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$282Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$132.62
Kostyuk vs. Andreeva: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$89
Kalinskaya vs. Chwalinska: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+41.1%+$61.69
Set 1 Winner: Auger-Aliassime vs Tabilobacked Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$227Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+35.2%+$79.89
Set 1 Winner: Kostyuk vs Swiatekbacked Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Andrey Rublev vs Nikoloz Basilashvilibacked Nikoloz Basilashvili · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Luciano Darderi vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jacob Fearnley vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricardbacked Jacob Fearnley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$349Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$348.9
All 8 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick64cpaid+39%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+30.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-2.0wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$283Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$282.86
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$194.8
All 3 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick77cpaid-33.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Moreirense FC vs. AVS Futebol end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+33%+$24.09
Will SC Braga win on 2026-05-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
All 2 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.89per pick11cpaid+785%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+785%+$2,354.87
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$360Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$95.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$150
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$550Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$550
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.