TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will Racing Club de Lens vs. Toulouse FC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$167,802
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$162,906

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $167,802 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 193 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked No57c15,701$8,904 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,796.931,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Yes1c11,310$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.15642.9%24 W · 32 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-27.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a67…e403backed Yes36c10,666$3,836 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,836.4210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b59…13cdbacked No79c8,000$6,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,679.98366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick77cpaid-12.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes21c7,614$1,566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,566.1987344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No59c7,465$4,428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,037.1271140.2%286 W · 425 L-26.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes43c7,138$3,073 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,073.2262648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29ab…a640backed Yes41c4,705$1,929 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,929.2333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-28.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes35c3,922$1,382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,381.8415071.3%107 W · 43 L+10.5wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+11.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes60c3,382$2,031 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,030.9226346.4%122 W · 141 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2913…d241backed Yes1c2,822$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.22366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick33cpaid+47.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd78d…81e0backed Yes26c2,197$579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$578.892133.3%7 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c9…4386backed Yes32c2,121$671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$671.441330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.18per pick48cpaid-48.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes43c1,783$758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$757.9333145%149 W · 182 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No77c1,718$1,327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39118046.7%84 W · 96 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e3e…7857backed Yes27c1,448$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.921457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes53c1,431$759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$758.679450%47 W · 47 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+20.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No66c1,404$931 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$473.071,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd1f…f0d8backed Yes67c1,354$907 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$907.4944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.15per pick59cpaid-34.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x56e0…1a3bbacked Yes23c1,302$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.661250%6 W · 6 L+2.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+65.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No80c1,262$1,009 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.36443.8%28 W · 36 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed No80c1,194$953 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.9112738.6%49 W · 78 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-16.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Yes17c1,191$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.472352.2%12 W · 11 L+6.5wins+0.28per pick24cpaid+330.5%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked No66c1,100$725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.356943.5%30 W · 39 L-5.5wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-18.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Yes21c1,086$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.638644.2%38 W · 48 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes19c1,048$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.4752550.1%263 W · 262 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe33d…9512backed Yes66c1,020$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$674.751513.3%2 W · 13 L-3.7wins-0.25per pick38cpaid-64%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4be7…8e91backed Yes20c1,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick20cpaid+150%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f42…c40bbacked Yes30c993.18$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.84250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed No80c988.12$790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.624250%21 W · 21 L-4.9wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-20.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes55c974.55$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533.126040.4%105 W · 155 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-33.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes44c907.29$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.136936.2%25 W · 44 L-6.1wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-28.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd121…50c8backed Yes21c907.24$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.523850%19 W · 19 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+40.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaa6c…a9b3backed Yes21c907.24$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.52333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-44.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes41c874.91$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.1724349.4%120 W · 123 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc64c…e605backed Yes60c815.26$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.9630%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No80c800$636 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16430448%146 W · 158 L-10.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes21c773.64$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.4629637.5%111 W · 185 L+15.9wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+46.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Yes54c759.5$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410.1312556%70 W · 55 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Yes20c754.32$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.863246.9%15 W · 17 L+3.0wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+29.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Yes66c752.09$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.64330.2%13 W · 30 L-5.0wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-38%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbbdd…c26abacked Yes20c714$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.83438.2%13 W · 21 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes35c703.16$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.112445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No35c671.68$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436.5912963.6%82 W · 47 L+12.6wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+14.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No64c640.42$409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.5748649%238 W · 248 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf2f6…679ebacked Yes67c554.47$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.5560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Yes63c552.36$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.827953.2%42 W · 37 L+6.7wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+18.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x73f4…a16fbacked Yes27c541.85$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.3333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-43.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39f6…abe1backed No57c538.97$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.341283.3%10 W · 2 L+4.2wins+0.35per pick48cpaid+66.6%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xc1de…6ce9backed Yes20c535.61$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.9120%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xefa5…b417backed No80c486.1$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.22666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34e8…100fbacked No80c461.93$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.39728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick56cpaid-53%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Yes55c448.35$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.610938.5%42 W · 67 L-11.4wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-40.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Yes25c439.09$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.823324.2%8 W · 25 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6a2c…32bcbacked Yes35c429.16$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.2771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked No80c420$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8426354%142 W · 121 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3be…c163backed Yes40c415.74$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.141936.8%7 W · 12 L-4.0wins-0.21per pick58cpaid-46.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0833…bc88backed Yes71c402.75$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.131241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No44c389.71$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.1924052.9%127 W · 113 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcee6…6ca1backed Yes27c354.15$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.62425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-49%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x071c…bab9backed Yes27c350.43$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.623225%8 W · 24 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x213e…faf8backed Yes56c344.79$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.7910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4347…690abacked Yes16c332.36$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.18560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-18.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Yes74c326.45$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.431346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick55cpaid+476.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x591f…f067backed Yes58c318.51$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.7310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9055…12cebacked Yes26c300$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$781827.8%5 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.13per pick41cpaid-41.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b33…044ebacked Yes24c300$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57f7…ae57backed Yes16c300$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481030%3 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick17cpaid+179.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xedf7…5ac3backed Yes58c300$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1741030%3 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed No39c296.67$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.759558.9%56 W · 39 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+2.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes27c295$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.4715649.4%77 W · 79 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa64c…34f2backed Yes29c291.6$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.512944.8%13 W · 16 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-20.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x86be…4490backed Yes21c272.17$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.163256.3%18 W · 14 L+4.5wins+0.14per pick42cpaid+34.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xabe0…5adbbacked Yes54c270.11$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.86520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.35per pick55cpaid-68.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe196…0ab5backed Yes21c258.56$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.33336.4%12 W · 21 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+27.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes27c247.9$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.937343.8%32 W · 41 L+5.5wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+34.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x569b…c66ebacked Yes31c242.4$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.38450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b78…473dbacked No70c235.67$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.862944.8%13 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Yes54c230$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.241656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-8.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1df5…1e18backed Yes34c229.23$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.813360.6%20 W · 13 L+4.1wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+10.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2fca…819abacked Yes25c227.53$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.3130%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed No75c224.62$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.487060%42 W · 28 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick62cpaid+6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99f4…6e5dbacked Yes36c223.28$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.38366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+10.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x54a2…1d43backed No52c220.67$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.921546.7%7 W · 8 L+3.7wins+0.25per pick22cpaid+705.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Yes27c208.95$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.422536%9 W · 16 L-2.8wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-36.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Yes54c201$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.814062.5%25 W · 15 L+3.5wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d17…55f1backed Yes34c196.1$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.64616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick34cpaid-71.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Yes62c194.87$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.497149.3%35 W · 36 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-18.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c06…726bbacked Yes20c192.3$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.4610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbaa2…1973backed Yes27c183.13$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.457632.9%25 W · 51 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Yes21c180$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.813844.2%61 W · 77 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Yes27c177.07$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.819920.2%20 W · 79 L-10.4wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-28.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6e8d…a2acbacked Yes27c177.07$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.812445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick53cpaid0%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb269…6adebacked Yes27c177.07$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.816142.6%26 W · 35 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb15…5fefbacked Yes27c177.07$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.811163.6%7 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick64cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfb7…c6e4backed Yes73c175.21$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.910%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x86a6…1b3ebacked Yes28c172.33$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.831526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.9wins-0.19per pick46cpaid-48%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No54c165.85$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.6615951.6%82 W · 77 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6fd2…f9aebacked Yes23c162.61$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.161346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-31.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9720…2c24backed Yes25c160$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.41566.7%10 W · 5 L+5.7wins+0.38per pick29cpaid+134.5%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.