TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc64c…e605

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
70
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: NBA, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 54 out of 100; worst Ligue 1 at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT1931.6%6 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-23.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Barcelona Open: Andrey Rublev vs Hamad Medjedovicbacked Hamad Medjedovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$483Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$483.01
Busan: August Holmgren vs Liam Broadybacked August Holmgren · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,142Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,141.83
Santa Cruz: Matias Soto vs Juan Carlos Pradobacked Matias Soto · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$663Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$662.52
Tallahassee: Daniil Glinka vs Jack Kennedybacked Daniil Glinka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$837Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$837.26
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Elena Rybakina vs Leylah Fernandezbacked Leylah Fernandez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$707Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$707.08
Oeiras 3: Frederico Ferreira Silva vs Max Houkesbacked Frederico Ferreira Silva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$1,055Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,055
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Iga Swiatek vs Mirra Andreevabacked Mirra Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$619Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+119.7%+$741.27
BMW Open: Joao Fonseca vs Ben Sheltonbacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$316Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+100%+$315.58
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Karolina Muchova vs Coco Gauffbacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$157.59
Santa Cruz: Juan Bautista Torres vs Juan Carlos Pradobacked Juan Bautista Torres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$956Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$955.6
Santa Cruz: Hugo Dellien vs Santiago Rodriguez Tavernabacked Santiago Rodriguez Taverna · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$319.72
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Leylah Fernandez vs Zeynep Sonmezbacked Leylah Fernandez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$859Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$1,008.79
Tallahassee: Clement Tabur vs Andres Martinbacked Clement Tabur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$837Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+200.9%+$1,681.6
Tallahassee: Oliver Crawford vs Jack Kennedybacked Jack Kennedy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+102.4%+$151.1
Oeiras 3: Roman Safiullin vs Luca Van Asschebacked Luca Van Assche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$676Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$675.58
Barcelona Open: Corentin Moutet vs Lorenzo Musettibacked Corentin Moutet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$238Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$237.88
Wuning 2: Keegan Smith vs Li Tubacked Li Tu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$383Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+215%+$824.19
Wuning 2: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Leo Vithoontienbacked Leo Vithoontien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$191Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$190.7
Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Katie Boulter vs Jaqueline Cristianbacked Jaqueline Cristian · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$154.39
All 19 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick30cpaid-52.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mazatlán FC win on 2026-04-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$329.75
Will Atlético San Luis win on 2026-04-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.07
Will CA Newell's Old Boys win on 2026-04-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$643Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+79.5%+$511.11
Will CA Unión vs. CA Newell's Old Boys end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.99
CA Unión vs. CA Newell's Old Boys: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$482Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+150%+$723
Will CA Peñarol win on 2026-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,914Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,914.26
Will CA Juventud win on 2026-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$170.15
CA Mineiro vs. CA Juventud: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$955Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$954.84
Will Racing Club win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$475Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$474.65
All 9 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick29cpaid+42.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick24cpaid+26.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick35cpaid+81.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Warriors vs. Sunsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$670Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$670.26
Hornets vs. Magic: O/U 218.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$291Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+147.9%+$430.06
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$2,983Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+197.4%+$5,889.15
All 3 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick16cpaid+32%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick26cpaid-9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick16cpaid+163.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Austin FC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Toronto FC vs. Austin FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+427.3%+$1,281.77
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick19cpaid+166.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$571Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+433.3%+$2,473.09
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$879Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$879.3
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kings vs. Flamesbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$185.18
Stars vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,024Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,023.81
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$2,541Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,541.09
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sydney FC vs. Perth Glory FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$499.75
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.