TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Australian A League · resolved market

Sydney FC vs. Perth Glory FC: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$35,361
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$36,478

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,361 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Australian A League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf5f9…87b0backed Under58c21,253$12,323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,930.831464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+32.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Over42c4,000$1,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6801968.4%13 W · 6 L+3.1wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+31.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked Over42c3,000$1,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2601758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+15.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc95b…f819backed Over42c2,250$946 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9461361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+33%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf341…33e3backed Over42c2,035$845 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$844.8410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed Over42c1,750$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7352568%17 W · 8 L+2.9wins+0.11per pick57cpaid+24.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Over42c1,500$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6301855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc64c…e605backed Over41c1,218$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a66…ae5ebacked Over43c1,163$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50030%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over31c895.43$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.3398844.4%439 W · 549 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Over33c849.38$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.9646644.8%209 W · 257 L-23.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Over40c805.98$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.394341.9%18 W · 25 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Over42c500$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2102070%14 W · 6 L+3.1wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+34.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed Over42c500$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2101770.6%12 W · 5 L+2.8wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+31.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa529…677ebacked Under58c470.98$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.811764.7%11 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick71cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Over42c450$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1892157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed Over42c400$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1682263.6%14 W · 8 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+20.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed Over42c400$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1681776.5%13 W · 4 L+3.7wins+0.22per pick54cpaid+42.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Over42c400$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1681675%12 W · 4 L+3.6wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+45.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1966…da9ebacked Over36c340$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.81040%4 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Over32c312.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008129.6%24 W · 57 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Under59c300$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1237162%44 W · 27 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+12.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed Over42c282$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.441764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+27.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Over38c279.01$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.021741.2%7 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick36cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3cf…493bbacked Under61c278$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.422470.8%17 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick70cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21db…2a42backed Over37c269.01$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004337.2%16 W · 27 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over42c257$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.948747.1%41 W · 46 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002846.4%13 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked Over42c250$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1052065%13 W · 7 L+2.8wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+22.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked Over42c250$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1051872.2%13 W · 5 L+3.9wins+0.22per pick51cpaid+42.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under60c227.82$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.1313049.2%64 W · 66 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d51…0232backed Over42c215.6$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.5510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x91f4…be4dbacked Under58c214.99$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd285…29aebacked Over42c209.69$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.0710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x54de…f127backed Under58c207$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.941100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1911…5326backed Under58c205$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8488…d7c4backed Over42c202.01$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.8410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x54d5…77d4backed Under62c200$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$761154.5%6 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick66cpaid-22.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Under59c200$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$822548%12 W · 13 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd411…edc6backed Under58c191.62$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ff7…2157backed Over42c191.31$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.3510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked Over42c185$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.72864.3%18 W · 10 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+14.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Under57c180$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.410448.1%50 W · 54 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Under59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.492650%13 W · 13 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+2.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed Over42c150$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$631758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+16.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed Over42c150$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$631560%9 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+20.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x57bf…0169backed Over43c139.53$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c73…dd8fbacked Under60c133.13$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.47683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.16per pick68cpaid+23.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over41c114.41$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.4432453.1%172 W · 152 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3e1…f17fbacked Under61c108.2$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.2785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.32per pick54cpaid+50.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under59c107.95$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.2611752.1%61 W · 56 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x154b…c63dbacked Over40c104.53$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.8110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over42c102.7$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.1347850.8%243 W · 235 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c15…9667backed Over37c100$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375853.4%31 W · 27 L-0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Under63c100$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374944.9%22 W · 27 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed Over42c100$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.6wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+33.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdd59…2e2fbacked Over42c100$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.2wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+33.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x94d8…8835backed Under62c97.29$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.293259.4%19 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under58c94.24$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.585246.2%24 W · 28 L-6.1wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-27.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Under58c94.24$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.586352.4%33 W · 30 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under58c94.24$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.584553.3%24 W · 21 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc629…5e51backed Over43c93.02$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403754.1%20 W · 17 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b35…7e1dbacked Over42c75$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.51266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+27.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Over42c75$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.53473.5%25 W · 9 L+5.9wins+0.17per pick56cpaid+37.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over42c75$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.56563.1%41 W · 24 L+7.6wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+23.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed Over42c70$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.41866.7%12 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+17.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under65c63.77$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.6315140.4%61 W · 90 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd28e…a78fbacked Over40c62.5$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+20.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8acc…cc29backed Over42c60$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.21668.8%11 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+18.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9637…a576backed Over43c58.14$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253327.3%9 W · 24 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-27.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1a29…16c5backed Over43c58.14$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252740.7%11 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6aa1…a420backed Over31c51.48$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.96911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.21per pick32cpaid-70%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7879…3653backed Over39c48.72$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+32.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Over42c47.73$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.813070%21 W · 9 L+6.2wins+0.21per pick49cpaid+45.2%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Under68c39.74$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.8110757.9%62 W · 45 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over43c34.88$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Over42c33.33$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142748.1%13 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd443…5f71backed Over38c31$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.78850%4 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-32.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1105…09d0backed Under58c30.42$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.782972.4%21 W · 8 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick65cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Over39c30$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.74252.4%22 W · 20 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33eb…b07ebacked Under64c29.41$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.591435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.8wins-0.20per pick56cpaid-41.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0e65…d1d3backed Under62c27.42$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.42250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Over42c25$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.56460.9%39 W · 25 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over42c25$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.53174.2%23 W · 8 L+6.0wins+0.19per pick55cpaid+41.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xa2d3…aafbbacked Under61c21.84$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.521050%5 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+81.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bfe…0741backed Under59c19.02$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.81346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.