Australian A League · resolved market
Sydney FC vs. Perth Glory FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x23885cf63a1490e7e869d490d26050957263d1ba1648a4c57942da2ed8deb812
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,268
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,706
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,268 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 72c | 2,336$1,693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.43 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes | 15c | 1,826$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.7 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2461…f240backed Yes | 48c | 1,325$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 50c | 1,029$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.11 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 59c | 216.98$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.56 | 309 | 54.7%169 W · 140 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…97b8backed No | 41c | 200$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9531…18ffbacked Yes | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…d743backed Yes | 62c | 145.77$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.38 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -32%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c3…c2e6backed Yes | 62c | 144.58$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc003…47a8backed No | 71c | 125.74$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.65 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2e…a948backed Yes | 44c | 112.68$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.58 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -5.3wins | -0.30per pick | 46cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4e95…0fefbacked Yes | 64c | 102.25$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.44 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 39c | 102$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.72 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7d…866bbacked Yes | 57c | 87.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.81 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed No | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.73 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 59c | 64.71$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.18 | 437 | 48.3%211 W · 226 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 38c | 62.09$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 324 | 53.1%172 W · 152 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd03…df4abacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.14per pick | 34cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed Yes | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed No | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x472c…5ae2backed Yes | 59c | 39.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.54 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0079…b852backed Yes | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78d8…cffcbacked No | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…bd5bbacked Yes | 49c | 29.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb71…434dbacked Yes | 61c | 24.89$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 36 | 72.2%26 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…c8ccbacked Yes | 63c | 23.89$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 61cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46ea…d849backed Yes | 64c | 23.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb14…0da7backed Yes | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sydney FC vs. Perth Glory FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Spread: Perth Glory FC (-1.5)Sydney FC won
- Spread: Sydney FC (-1.5)Perth Glory FC won
- Spread: Sydney FC (-2.5)Perth Glory FC won
- Sydney FC vs. Perth Glory FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Sydney FC vs. Perth Glory FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Sydney FC vs. Perth Glory FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Sydney FC vs. Perth Glory FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.