Australian A League · resolved market
Sydney FC vs. Perth Glory FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xddb6600a618e381ab5b36c14d2813031307502e3fd38daa2bb4849876c899fcd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,244
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,366
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,244 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 61c | 3,041$1,861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,180.22 | 130 | 49.2%64 W · 66 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 50c | 1,954$979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$978.79 | 466 | 44.8%209 W · 257 L | -23.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc37…bac6backed Under | 60c | 1,523$914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 39c | 1,110$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.74 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 48c | 1,037$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.87 | 151 | 40.4%61 W · 90 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6af9…a022backed Under | 22c | 1,000$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.24per pick | 45cpaid | +170%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa2dc…b624backed Over | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…57b8backed Over | 54c | 920.94$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +206.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b0…7b16backed Over | 66c | 757.5$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.95 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Under | 15c | 665.54$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.71 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 26cpaid | +104.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Under | 18c | 554.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.69 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96b4…c2f1backed Over | 28c | 312$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.6 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +4.1wins | +0.34per pick | 41cpaid | +117.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 51c | 293.72$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.13 | 478 | 50.8%243 W · 235 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Over | 48c | 277.05$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.94 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2461…f240backed Over | 52c | 253$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 70c | 235.38$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.23 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4035…5e54backed Over | 71c | 230$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.88 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe41f…99febacked Over | 38c | 197.37$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe997…88aabacked Over | 44c | 183.8$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07f5…d680backed Over | 77c | 177$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 57c | 174$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 67cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 68c | 155.01$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Over | 37c | 138.23$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +4.3wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7106…867dbacked Over | 34c | 135$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 34cpaid | +136.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3248…8ba9backed Over | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 80c | 125$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a88…3dadbacked Over | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81b5…56cdbacked Over | 56c | 110$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.2 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under | 14c | 109.38$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.07 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf4…40fabacked Over | 46c | 108.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…572dbacked Over | 52c | 105.77$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32df…cce8backed Over | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 74c | 100$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…97b8backed Under | 17c | 100$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa79d…ee14backed Under | 17c | 85.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.83per pick | 17cpaid | +488.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa1…a420backed Over | 52c | 80.77$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.21per pick | 32cpaid | -70%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Under | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2413…2442backed Under | 70c | 80$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.3 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0722…fceebacked Over | 53c | 78.92$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.83 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c7…c8e5backed Over | 52c | 77.12$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 16c | 68.74$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.74 | 437 | 48.3%211 W · 226 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd03…df4abacked Over | 38c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.14per pick | 34cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 40c | 60$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 108 | 39.8%43 W · 65 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 41c | 46.9$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 81 | 29.6%24 W · 57 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 66c | 45.21$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -3.5wins | -0.27per pick | 65cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c3…a6e8backed Over | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Over | 79c | 30$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.7 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46d2…6805backed Over | 70c | 29.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.89 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -4.8wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Over | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -9.7wins | -0.20per pick | 59cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…fd6ebacked Over | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72ee…a848backed Over | 53c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe868…7c4fbacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2831…e84dbacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x562f…a7d3backed Under | 78c | 19.14$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a80…f05abacked Over | 74c | 17.23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sydney FC vs. Perth Glory FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Spread: Perth Glory FC (-1.5)Sydney FC won
- Spread: Sydney FC (-1.5)Perth Glory FC won
- Spread: Sydney FC (-2.5)Perth Glory FC won
- Sydney FC vs. Perth Glory FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Sydney FC vs. Perth Glory FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Sydney FC vs. Perth Glory FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Sydney FC vs. Perth Glory FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.