Australian A League · resolved market
Sydney FC vs. Perth Glory FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x55058d35a104f24dc91306a34927af3b89041d2f826c0bee50ae838f422d6eef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,219
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,611
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,219 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xea32…8870backed Over | 63c | 15,380$9,688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,687.89 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 46c | 13,290$6,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,222.1 | 130 | 49.2%64 W · 66 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00a0…bf76backed Over | 39c | 6,388$2,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,491.3 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 58c | 6,112$3,557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,554.31 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Over | 44c | 2,649$1,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,178.62 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Under | 52c | 2,617$1,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,256.16 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 47c | 2,341$1,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,233.33 | 466 | 44.8%209 W · 257 L | -23.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77a3…0e3fbacked Under | 45c | 2,208$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,208.46 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 37c | 1,453$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$916.51 | 437 | 48.3%211 W · 226 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0def…4ddbbacked Over | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 30c | 800$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd411…7a18backed Over | 16c | 750$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 19cpaid | +69.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 57c | 571.87$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.93 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa54d…deb8backed Over | 50c | 550$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95ef…ff92backed Over | 25c | 541$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.2 | 36 | 16.7%6 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9660…ba56backed Over | 66c | 454.55$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 63cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 55c | 391.6$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.99 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 48c | 369.58$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.37 | 151 | 40.4%61 W · 90 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Under | 37c | 352.54$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.12 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 37c | 310$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.36 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +4.2wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Over | 29c | 300$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde28…8d20backed Over | 50c | 261.28$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…184fbacked Under | 38c | 259.99$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.19 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 49c | 240.82$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04e3…69d1backed Under | 47c | 228.28$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.88 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Under | 37c | 216.68$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.64 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked Over | 41c | 199.99$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ed…6fb8backed Over | 64c | 156.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under | 55c | 132.96$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.83 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 57c | 128.99$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.37 | 478 | 50.8%243 W · 235 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 61c | 123.11$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c04…9715backed Over | 26c | 106.06$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 37c | 106$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.78 | 324 | 53.1%172 W · 152 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Over | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Over | 63c | 99.98$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.99 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1243…2a64backed Over | 49c | 94.82$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.46 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 57c | 92.37$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.03 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa23f…a64ebacked Over | 62c | 81.26$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.38 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb51f…b7dbbacked Under | 41c | 72.32$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.32 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked Under | 37c | 67.57$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.57 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…7eb2backed Under | 37c | 67.57$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.57 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 64c | 66.41$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.89 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf3…55b6backed Over | 16c | 66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 74c | 65.38$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.29 | 107 | 57.9%62 W · 45 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 36c | 53.9$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.57 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Under | 51c | 52.94$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.94 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +4.3wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf676…b039backed Over | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1f…f5eabacked Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 77 | 39%30 W · 47 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Over | 58c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Under | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Under | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Over | 65c | 46.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed Under | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Under | 37c | 45.41$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.61 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb09a…7fc7backed Under | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +23%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 64c | 37.48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Under | 37c | 35.88$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.6 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…fd6ebacked Over | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Under | 72c | 34.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x819b…6a57backed Over | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -3.4wins | -0.16per pick | 69cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67b1…63ecbacked Over | 49c | 30.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdca9…0898backed Over | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x654d…ba8fbacked Under | 35c | 28.6$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.59 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Under | 43c | 27.43$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.54 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0154…30f7backed Under | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e24…24fbbacked Over | 49c | 25.63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.35per pick | 68cpaid | -50%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa7…303dbacked Under | 68c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b4…01fdbacked Over | 61c | 24.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc255…62f8backed Under | 64c | 24.39$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e42…844cbacked Over | 67c | 23.22$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e96…1e75backed Over | 54c | 22.21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Over | 56c | 20.21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.32 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -9.7wins | -0.20per pick | 59cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…7f72backed Over | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 69cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sydney FC vs. Perth Glory FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: Perth Glory FC (-1.5)Sydney FC won
- Spread: Sydney FC (-1.5)Perth Glory FC won
- Spread: Sydney FC (-2.5)Perth Glory FC won
- Sydney FC vs. Perth Glory FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Sydney FC vs. Perth Glory FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Sydney FC vs. Perth Glory FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Sydney FC vs. Perth Glory FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.