TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x04e3…69d1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
272
Categories scored
36
Categories below 50
22

Best Category: Commodities, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Commodities at 59 out of 100; worst NHL at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT4454.5%24 W · 20 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 44 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Spirit (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$43.87
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$31.71
Counter-Strike: 9z vs magic (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$207Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$207.45
Will Liquid Win the Stake Pulse Beat 1 tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$118.31
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$60.5
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$12.49
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs 9z (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$261Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$261.17
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs MIBR (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+100%+$131.05
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$295Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$205
Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$275Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$224.99
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO5) - PGL Astana Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$195
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$370Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$130
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$365Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+37%+$135
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Playoffsbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$255Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$255
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$335Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$165
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$335Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$334.99
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$240
Counter-Strike: 9z vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffsbacked magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$305
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$150
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$520Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$520
Counter-Strike: Monte vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$449.99
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$410Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$590
Counter-Strike: paiN vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Abacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$490Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$489.98
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Abacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$350
Showing 25 of 44 picks, newest first.
Fifa Internationallast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT2240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-31.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Joao Felix attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$121
Will Diogo Dalot attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.68
Will Jorge Jesus attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.52
Will Rio Ferdinand attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.2
Will Karim Benzema attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.85
Argentina vs. Egypt: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.33
Will Cristiano Ronaldo score 4+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$178Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+37%+$65.68
Norway vs. France: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$341Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$341.27
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$390Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$390
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$14
Jordan vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$245
Jordan vs. Algeria: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,260Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$739.84
Poland vs. Ukraine: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$817Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$817.05
Egypt vs. Russia: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$295Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$204.98
Cyprus vs. Belarus: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$208Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$192
Will France win on 2025-09-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$187Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$187.29
Will Sweden win on 2025-09-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2025, EDT+62.7%+$71.79
Will the match between Scotland and Portugal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2024, EDT+100%+$153
Will France beat Belgium?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$470Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2024, EDT+53.8%+$252.87
Will Germany beat Netherlands?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$452Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2024, EDT+100%+$451.55
Will Austria beat Norway?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2024, EDT-100%-$121.57
Will Slovenia beat Kazakhstan?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2024, EDT-100%-$500.04
All 22 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jun 26, 2026, EDT2055%11 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+23%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO in 2025? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$108.5
Ukraine hits Moscow by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+26.3%+$44.74
Will Trump impose more sanctions on Russia by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$424Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$423.6
Successful Ukrainian counterattack in Donbass by September 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$21
Will Trump impose more sanctions on Russia by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+171.8%+$243.91
Russia x Ukraine prisoner exchange by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT+49.4%+$65.87
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$48
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$171Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$129
Trump meets with Zelenskyy in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$82.35
Trump announces cutting all military aid to Ukraine aid before April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$231Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2025, EST-100%-$231.29
Trump ends Ukraine war before inauguration?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$109.29
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$30.68
Ukraine strike on Moscow before November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2024, EDT+112.8%+$12.41
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk before November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2024, EDT+112.8%+$92.05
Ukraine strike on Moscow by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2024, EDT+144.3%+$162.3
Ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine before October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$10.08
Will Zelensky meet with Trump in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2024, EDT+35.3%+$28.47
Ukraine hits Moscow by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2024, EDT+510.1%+$167.76
All 20 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2025, EDT1764.7%11 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$162Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT+64.6%+$104.66
Israel strikes Yemen by Monday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$27
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$38
Khamenei seen in public before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$63.33
Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST+51.5%+$71.38
Assad leaves Syria before 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$579Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST+43.4%+$251.4
Iran strike on Israel before December?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$484Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST+53.8%+$260.81
Israel strike on Iranian nuclear facility in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$979Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2024, EST-100%-$978.81
U.S. military action against Iran before November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$174Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2024, EDT+32.4%+$56.26
Israel military action against Iran by end of 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2024, EDT-100%-$209.8
Israel military response against Iran in October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$457Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2024, EDT-100%-$457.41
Israel military response against Iran by Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$510Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2024, EDT+26.6%+$135.67
Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2024, EDT+175.8%+$168.66
Israel military action against Yemen before November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2024, EDT-100%-$43.4
Will Israel invade Lebanon before September?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$258Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2024, EDT+28.4%+$73.29
Iran military response by Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2024, EDT+33.3%+$33.25
Iran military response by Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2024, EDT+31.6%+$28.8
All 17 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT1752.9%9 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-15.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Everton FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+25%+$20.35
AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$934Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+61.5%+$574.15
AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$310Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$190
West Ham United FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,513Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+55.4%+$837.48
Manchester City FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$553Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+80.7%+$446.41
Everton FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$228Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$227.87
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$319Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$319.15
Newcastle United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$202.69
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$160
Chelsea vs. Arsenal: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$367Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+69.5%+$254.85
Nottingham Forest vs. Brighton: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$206Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+78.6%+$162.19
Liverpool wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,039Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT+30.5%+$317.39
Will Brighton win on 2025-02-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$482Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2025, EST-100%-$482.4
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2024-10-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2024, EDT-100%-$204
Will England win the 2024 Euros?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2024, EDT-100%-$84.23
Will the Netherlands win the 2024 Euros?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2024, EDT-100%-$200
Uruguay wins Copa America 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2024, EDT-100%-$43.05
All 17 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT1533.3%5 W · 10 L-3.3wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-42.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
NHL — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$212.49
World Championships: Sweden vs. Czechiabacked Sweden · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$335Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$334.99
Avalanche vs. Kings: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$995Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$994.68
Sabres vs. Bruins: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$812Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$811.99
Senators vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$545Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$428.38
Penguins vs. Capitalsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$210
Canucks vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$51.33
Avalanche vs. Capitals: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$220
Avalanche vs. Capitals: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$142.28
Lightning vs. Islandersbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$236Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$235.71
Ducks vs. Blackhawksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$136.92
Capitals vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Lightning vs. Rangersbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$189Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+112.8%+$213.61
Lightning vs. Capitalsbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$311Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST+49.3%+$153.21
Islanders vs. Blackhawksbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$446Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2024, EST-100%-$446.23
All 15 picks, newest first.
Tweetslast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-38.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from August 7 to August 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.79
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from August 7 to August 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.1
Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from August 7 to August 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.42
Will White House post 180-199 posts from August 7 to August 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+55%+$14.2
Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.3
Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.34
Will CZ post 20-39 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+70.4%+$19.46
Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.1
Will White House post 200+ posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.74
Will Ted Cruz post 120-139 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+125.4%+$77.91
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+29.2%+$5.5
All 11 picks, newest first.
MLBlast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.18per pick55cpaid-36.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
MLB — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 13.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$260
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,560Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,560
San Diego Padres vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 12.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$987Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$986.88
Houston Astros vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 13.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,503Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,503.36
Los Angeles Angels vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$285Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$285
Miami Marlins vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$305Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$195
Detroit Tigers vs. New York Mets: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$530Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$470
Athletics vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,523Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$933.82
New York Mets vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$258Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$258
New York Mets vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$216Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$216
San Francisco Giants vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$100
All 11 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1070%7 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick55cpaid+17.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$94
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$109.98
Will FC Kopenhagen win on 2025-09-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$685Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$684.83
Will Bayern Munich win on 2025-09-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$499Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$499.4
Will Olympiakos Piraeus vs. Pafos FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$16.9
FIFA Club World Cup: Fluminense vs. Chelsea (To Advance) backed Chelsea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$24.58
FIFA Club World Cup: PSG vs. Bayern (To Advance) backed PSG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$42
FIFA Club World Cup: Dortmund vs. Monterrey (To Advance) backed Dortmund · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$28
FIFA Club World Cup: Flamengo vs. Bayern Munich (To Advance)backed Bayern Munich · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$25
Will Atalanta beat Shakhtar Donetsk?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$480Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2024, EDT-100%-$479.58
All 10 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT1070%7 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick66cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$380Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$120
Will Ethereum dip to $3600 in September?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$560Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$240
Will Solana reach $270 in September?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$798Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$280.3
Will Solana reach $250 in September?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$161.85
Will Ethereum reach $4800 September 1–7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$710Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$290
Will Ethereum reach $5200 in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$257Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+98.8%+$253.87
Will Ethereum reach $5400 in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$835Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+25.9%+$216.06
Will Ethereum reach $5000 in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$578Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+80.4%+$464.56
Will Ethereum reach $4400 in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$79
All 10 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Andrey Rublevbacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Roland Garros WTA: Mirra Andreeva vs Jil Teichmannbacked Mirra Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,088Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$362.5
Barcelona Open: Andrey Rublev vs Hamad Medjedovicbacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$228Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$172
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Elena Rybakina vs Leylah Fernandezbacked Elena Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$327Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+67.5%+$220.9
Australian Open Women's: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakinabacked Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Carlos Alcaraz win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$49
Wimbledon: Sabalenka vs. Mertens (W) backed Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT+25%+$20
Australian Open Final (M): Sinner vs. Zverevbacked Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$750Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2025, EST+33.3%+$250
Will Djokovic win a gold medal in Paris?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2024, EDT-100%-$51
Will Elena Rybakina win Wimbledon Women's?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2024, EDT+212.5%+$100
All 10 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SK Brann vs. Rosenborg BK end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+77.5%+$13.1
Will Rosenborg BK win on 2026-08-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+55.4%+$10.7
Will Motherwell FC win on 2026-08-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.07
Will Hibernian FC vs. Motherwell FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.05
Will Hibernian FC win on 2026-08-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.7
Will Sarpsborg 08 FF win on 2026-08-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+58.3%+$7.37
Kristiansund BK vs. IK Start: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$487Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$486.84
IK Start vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$750Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$750
AFC Ajax vs. FC Utrecht: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,027Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,027.12
PSV vs. FC Volendam: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+170.3%+$130.05
All 10 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-67.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$95
Will GPT-5 be released on August 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$103.81
Will GPT-5 be released by August 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$153.51
Will GPT-5 be released by August 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$26
Will GPT-5 be released by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
Will GPT-5 be released by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$24
Will GPT-5 be released by August 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$40.98
Will GPT-5 be released by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$32
Will Google have the top AI model on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2025, EDT+47.8%+$33.81
All 9 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT6100%6 W · 0 L+2.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+73.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Commodities — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-45.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.32per pick49cpaid-76.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Weather — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+80%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-38.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-26.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Aug 11, 2024, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Olympics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Asian League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+39.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie Alast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+14.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Venezia FC vs. US Lecce: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$16.15
US Cremonese vs. Pisa SC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$590Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$589.99
US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Como 1907: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$253Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$233.09
All 3 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick63cpaid-52.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Chess Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Chess — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-34.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro out in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$106.25
Maduro out before September?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$364Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2024, EDT+30.6%+$111.47
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first 100 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$563Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST-100%-$563.29
TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST-100%-$100.05
All 2 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Yakult Brothers win the 2026 Games of the Future tournamentbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+39.5%+$11.32
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Oct 17, 2024, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump launch a coin before the election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2024, EDT-100%-$144.12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Oct 7, 2024, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 'Joker: Folie à Deux' gross less than $105m opening weekend?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2024, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Nov 30, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
India ODI Series: India vs South Africa (Game 1)backed South Africa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$164.14
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Oct 13, 2024, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cardinals vs. Packersbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2024, EDT-100%-$250
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 3, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Thunder (-11.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$299.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Space Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Space — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will stranded astronauts leave the ISS in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$98.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nongshim RedForce Win KeSPA Cup 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will ISM Services PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.16
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.