NHL · resolved market
Lightning vs. Rangers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2ec5afe0b15012c044b45de6f70f502731afba384a6ed2607371235b082a22c4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lightningof Lightning, Rangers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $464,457
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $490,874
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $464,457 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 286 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xef54…d1eebacked Rangers | 55c | 130,645$71,945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71,944.74 | 177 | 49.2%87 W · 90 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x869b…c625backed Rangers | 53c | 116,743$61,371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61,370.82 | 46 | 65.2%30 W · 16 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9165…5b98backed Lightning | 45c | 75,988$34,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,793.17 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Lightning | 46c | 64,364$29,703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,661.24 | 485 | 49.7%241 W · 244 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Rangers | 55c | 48,992$26,945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,945.26 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Lightning | 47c | 34,855$16,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,625.62 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Rangers | 55c | 30,000$16,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,500 | 105 | 54.3%57 W · 48 L | +8.7wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Lightning | 44c | 21,740$9,566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,174.66 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed Lightning | 47c | 12,565$5,906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,659.45 | 246 | 54.5%134 W · 112 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Lightning | 45c | 10,746$4,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,910.38 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | +7.9wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Lightning | 47c | 10,500$4,935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,565 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Lightning | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,200 | 425 | 52.2%222 W · 203 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa37b…cabbbacked Rangers | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Lightning | 44c | 10,000$4,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,600 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Lightning | 45c | 9,019$4,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,960.26 | 170 | 57.6%98 W · 72 L | +15.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Lightning | 45c | 8,239$3,705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,534.83 | 217 | 55.3%120 W · 97 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Lightning | 45c | 7,717$3,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,210.14 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c82…1f13backed Lightning | 46c | 7,000$3,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,780 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Lightning | 44c | 4,703$2,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,633.67 | 322 | 51.9%167 W · 155 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Lightning | 45c | 4,500$2,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,475 | 304 | 47.4%144 W · 160 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…92a7backed Lightning | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,080 | 275 | 48.7%134 W · 141 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b3…40d4backed Rangers | 56c | 4,000$2,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,240 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -4.5wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd339…d3a1backed Rangers | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,039.99 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7922…00f3backed Lightning | 10c | 3,888$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,499.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.90per pick | 10cpaid | +900%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Lightning | 47c | 3,617$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,917.02 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Lightning | 46c | 3,402$1,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,837.09 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Lightning | 48c | 3,333$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,733.16 | 225 | 46.2%104 W · 121 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Lightning | 45c | 3,212$1,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,781.91 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Lightning | 48c | 3,200$1,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,664 | 229 | 46.3%106 W · 123 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Rangers | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Lightning | 45c | 2,797$1,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,536.41 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb322…2179backed Lightning | 50c | 2,627$1,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,317.07 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Lightning | 47c | 2,463$1,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,311.05 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Lightning | 48c | 2,135$1,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,102.36 | 622 | 49.4%307 W · 315 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x920d…38adbacked Lightning | 49c | 2,025$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,025.29 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcca…c460backed Lightning | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ee…b3aabacked Lightning | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.8wins | -0.42per pick | 53cpaid | -75.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8f…1ee2backed Lightning | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Lightning | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,099.96 | 217 | 50.2%109 W · 108 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Rangers | 48c | 1,981$953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$952.9 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Rangers | 25c | 1,917$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.3 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Rangers | 54c | 1,811$978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$978.03 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Lightning | 46c | 1,652$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$892.17 | 185 | 47%87 W · 98 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56c6…f706backed Lightning | 48c | 1,625$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$845 | 159 | 54.1%86 W · 73 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Rangers | 23c | 1,534$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.12 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Lightning | 70c | 1,524$1,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.93 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Rangers | 50c | 1,466$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.08 | 329 | 46.8%154 W · 175 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Rangers | 55c | 1,450$797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$797.49 | 225 | 50.2%113 W · 112 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Rangers | 34c | 1,351$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.35 | 162 | 41.4%67 W · 95 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Rangers | 1c | 1,304$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Lightning | 48c | 1,200$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Lightning | 48c | 1,129$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.18 | 574 | 53.8%309 W · 265 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Rangers | 45c | 1,083$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.16 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3f…99c4backed Lightning | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.67 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5f…d795backed Lightning | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 149 | 45%67 W · 82 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac0c…3d88backed Lightning | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Lightning | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 390 | 47.9%187 W · 203 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec7…f874backed Rangers | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ebf…a9d3backed Lightning | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeca1…abc0backed Rangers | 53c | 920.06$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.63 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 51cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4446…1fd0backed Rangers | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Rangers | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 437 | 43%188 W · 249 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…1b96backed Rangers | 53c | 854.72$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453 | 200 | 47.5%95 W · 105 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Lightning | 46c | 846.7$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.1 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4602…3315backed Lightning | 48c | 800$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416 | 89 | 56.2%50 W · 39 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Lightning | 48c | 800$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d37…eecdbacked Lightning | 46c | 780$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.2 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Lightning | 45c | 750$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.5 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b14…f343backed Rangers | 55c | 740$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2f…77bbbacked Rangers | 55c | 710$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.5 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…bd86backed Lightning | 46c | 700$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd642…c499backed Rangers | 54c | 700$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x381e…3f00backed Lightning | 46c | 690$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.6 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…0aa3backed Rangers | 55c | 680$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x923d…dea6backed Lightning | 46c | 660$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.4 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.4wins | -0.26per pick | 49cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Rangers | 43c | 643.78$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.3 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1f7…c4e5backed Lightning | 50c | 630$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 74 | 59.5%44 W · 30 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Rangers | 44c | 600.01$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe16c…6909backed Rangers | 35c | 571.43$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Lightning | 48c | 559.69$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.04 | 301 | 52.5%158 W · 143 L | +17.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Lightning | 61c | 554.8$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.84 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Rangers | 11c | 545$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.95 | 294 | 12.9%38 W · 256 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a2…4a13backed Rangers | 47c | 533.3$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Lightning | 47c | 500.01$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.67 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Rangers | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Lightning | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 759 | 46.6%354 W · 405 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea5…2af9backed Rangers | 56c | 500$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 154 | 56.5%87 W · 67 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Lightning | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 326 | 50%163 W · 163 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb9…c20dbacked Lightning | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9871backed Rangers | 55c | 499.99$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 324 | 51.2%166 W · 158 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0280…7305backed Rangers | 32c | 487.5$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.41 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +84.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x259c…b11ebacked Lightning | 48c | 450$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c79…c2c2backed Rangers | 53c | 450$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.5 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 45cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Lightning | 58c | 435$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.15 | 818 | 46%376 W · 442 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Lightning | 76c | 414.61$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.51 | 60 | 61.7%37 W · 23 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Lightning | 50c | 414.56$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.28 | 288 | 42%121 W · 167 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Lightning | 56c | 411.65$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.35 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4c3…6630backed Lightning | 76c | 406.54$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.57 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -4.3wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x04e3…69d1backed Lightning | 47c | 403.03$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.61 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.3wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeb89…46f1backed Lightning | 45c | 399.44$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.69 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lightning vs. Rangersthis page
- Lightning vs. Rangers: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Lightning (-1.5)Lightning won
- Spread: Rangers (-1.5)Lightning won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.