TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0ec7…f874

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
110
Categories scored
20
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Bundesliga, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Bundesliga at 54 out of 100; worst NHL at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT2334.8%8 W · 15 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+47.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$266Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$266
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$147
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+1,900%+$474.95
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$116.6
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$41
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$57.6
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+72.4%+$46.2
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+108.3%+$57.2
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+104.1%+$102
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$17
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$843Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+150%+$1,263.95
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,432Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$1,431.69
Will Juventus FC win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$264Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+127.3%+$335.83
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-11-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$680Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+47.1%+$320
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2025-11-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$21.5
Will Liverpool FC vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$24
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-11-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$20.79
Will Arsenal win on 2025-05-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will Barcelona win on 2025-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$84
Will Arsenal vs. Paris Saint Germain end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
All 23 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT2352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-14%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,140Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$360
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$280
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$2,275Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,275
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$5,374Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,373.99
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,852Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+57.7%+$1,067.79
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,250Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+36%+$450
Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$200
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,535Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+30.3%+$465
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$350
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$224Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$126
US forces enter Iran by March 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$300
Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.6
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$156
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$280
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
Will another country strike Iran by March 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$90
US forces enter Iran by March 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,945Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+49.1%+$955
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+85.2%+$69
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+47.1%+$64
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$69.8
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$43.16
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$99
All 23 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+42.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Spain O/U 4.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$177
Spain vs. Argentina: Spain O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$336Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$336
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.5
France vs. Morocco: France O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$104
Will England win on 2026-06-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$996
Portugal vs. DR Congo: DR Congo O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Portugal vs. DR Congo: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$100.8
Australia vs. Türkiye: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$96
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$108
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$242Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$108.5
All 10 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 27, 2025, EST933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-33.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 30, 2025, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick51cpaid-49.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2025, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+51.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jets vs. Saintsbacked Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+38.9%+$4.16
Bengals vs. Ravensbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$2,400Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+316.7%+$7,600
Jaguars vs. Cardinalsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$255Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$255.27
Eagles vs. Packersbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+100%+$14.85
Cardinals vs. Cowboysbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$60
All 5 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+51.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick17cpaid-26.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick34cpaid+111.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 8, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
College Football — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UAB Blazers vs. Ricebacked UAB Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$15.44
Bowling vs. Eastern Michiganbacked Eastern Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+78.6%+$13.07
BYU vs. Texas Tech Red Raidersbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+26.6%+$6.24
All 3 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Nov 27, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3)backed Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,815Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$1,814.78
Counter-Strike: NRG vs Imperial (BO3)backed NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$517Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$517.34
All 2 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Nov 27, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Natus Vincere (BO1)backed Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+100%+$184.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,050Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$450
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Inter win on 2025-11-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$355Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+40.8%+$145
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.8
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.