TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Rockets vs. Spurs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Spursof Rockets, Spurs
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$440,091
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$523,139

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $440,091 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 385 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1117…3532backed Rockets60c37,426$22,455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,455.491,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Spurs64c35,820$22,914 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,905.7947448.7%231 W · 243 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Rockets30c27,181$8,284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,284.3426038.1%99 W · 161 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-24%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa925…e1c8backed Rockets50c23,400$11,705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,704.658744.8%39 W · 48 L-5.3wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-21.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0cb6…3009backed Spurs40c22,000$8,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,2005442.6%23 W · 31 L-3.8wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3eac…4c8cbacked Rockets1c16,000$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16011558.3%67 W · 48 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcddd…166cbacked Spurs76c12,380$9,468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,911.956953.6%37 W · 32 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+17.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Rockets60c11,250$6,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,7501,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked Spurs40c11,250$4,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,75010930.3%33 W · 76 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdeaf…dbaabacked Spurs30c10,000$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,00037930.6%116 W · 263 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick29cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9b6…630cbacked Spurs43c9,041$3,888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,153.486352.4%33 W · 30 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2dd1…8cadbacked Spurs38c8,624$3,289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,335.28450%2 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+67.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x03d5…66b7backed Rockets57c8,532$4,863 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,863.2910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1a9…52f7backed Spurs43c8,526$3,666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,859.58366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+37%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Rockets32c7,422$2,411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,410.882,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a59…770cbacked Rockets69c7,206$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0006665.2%43 W · 23 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick63cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Spurs38c7,200$2,737 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,463.699,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94d7…bef5backed Spurs38c5,225$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,225.4125925.9%67 W · 192 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick23cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Rockets27c4,955$1,321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,320.731,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c1c…a0a4backed Rockets58c4,283$2,492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,491.927739%30 W · 47 L-5.6wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-23.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Spurs78c4,000$3,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8804868.8%33 W · 15 L+3.3wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+14%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Rockets26c3,996$1,057 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,056.581,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3e78…4d28backed Rockets35c3,867$1,372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,372.272343.5%10 W · 13 L+3.8wins+0.16per pick27cpaid+74.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Rockets3c3,806$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.181,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x683a…274ebacked Spurs53c3,776$2,017 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,758.818536.8%68 W · 117 L-11.8wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6cff…c3dabacked Rockets3c3,730$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.1518518.4%34 W · 151 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x946c…9afbbacked Spurs40c3,500$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,100742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Rockets24c3,305$791 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$791.32,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe916…4563backed Spurs70c3,045$2,118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$926.638846.6%41 W · 47 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xea80…7296backed Rockets29c3,000$870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$870316.5%2 W · 29 L-3.6wins-0.12per pick18cpaid-77.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Rockets36c2,774$1,004 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,004.071,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Spurs37c2,502$926 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,576.422,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Rockets38c2,470$948 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$947.561,40940.2%567 W · 842 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Spurs39c2,385$937 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,447.7478445.8%359 W · 425 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x219d…db61backed Spurs75c2,348$1,769 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$579.243043.3%13 W · 17 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-11.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Spurs45c2,229$1,007 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,222.533,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Spurs40c2,200$875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,324.9861835.4%219 W · 399 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7a7…d3abbacked Rockets26c2,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52020034%68 W · 132 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid+28.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Spurs38c2,000$770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,23075347.5%358 W · 395 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22af…ca2fbacked Spurs40c1,693$677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,016.07862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+18.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9be…a7edbacked Rockets61c1,693$1,033 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,033450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1a2…372abacked Rockets62c1,654$1,026 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,025.582352.2%12 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-21%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Spurs40c1,626$648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$978.252,26543.4%982 W · 1,283 L-26.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60cc…f0dfbacked Rockets63c1,590$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010852.8%57 W · 51 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Rockets28c1,532$436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$436.248046%221 W · 259 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Spurs40c1,436$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$866.073,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Rockets24c1,394$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.61,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x538e…c195backed Spurs77c1,392$1,072 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.132070%14 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+15.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe61f…8beebacked Spurs74c1,352$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.621060%6 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick49cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3ae5…53c8backed Rockets50c1,300$652 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$652.4317141.5%71 W · 100 L-6.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f8c…eaa2backed Spurs35c1,211$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$790.35541.8%23 W · 32 L+5.0wins+0.09per pick33cpaid+33.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x991e…f4abbacked Rockets17c1,180$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001442.9%6 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick34cpaid+44.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ab5…d611backed Rockets26c1,149$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3041145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c82…e0cbbacked Rockets19c1,079$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.8227041.5%112 W · 158 L+10.7wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+2.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa1a7…b4babacked Rockets43c1,031$447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$446.67425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-63.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xac2a…7418backed Rockets25c1,021$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2555729.8%17 W · 40 L-3.9wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-23.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Rockets53c1,000$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5301,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Spurs33c1,000$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67044337.9%168 W · 275 L-0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0caf…91adbacked Spurs42c1,000$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5806764.2%43 W · 24 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5c9…1477backed Rockets27c1,000$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27040%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5ef2…f473backed Spurs39c1,000$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6105736.8%21 W · 36 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick38cpaid+5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddfc…38e5backed Spurs33c1,000$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6702236.4%8 W · 14 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-32.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2b13…66edbacked Rockets52c1,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52030%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x98e3…c80fbacked Spurs75c999.59$753 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.9757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick65cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Spurs40c987.31$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$596.322,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12ef…83c4backed Rockets26c985.25$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.71714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.15per pick29cpaid-56.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x405f…45cebacked Rockets56c970.59$543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$543.482250%11 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcce0…9fbcbacked Rockets58c862.07$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002356.5%13 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0eb3…f766backed Rockets57c846.51$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486.4248944.2%216 W · 273 L-12.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xde2f…7601backed Rockets24c833.33$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20060%0 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x06c0…e618backed Rockets57c821$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$467.9713455.2%74 W · 60 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09ec…427dbacked Rockets36c777.84$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.4316439.6%65 W · 99 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa5c…be69backed Rockets39c769.21$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.9927939.8%111 W · 168 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53ee…700bbacked Rockets3c754.7$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2012830.5%39 W · 89 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4762…dc1bbacked Rockets58c740$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$430.48846.6%41 W · 47 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Rockets5c732.01$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.498783%26 W · 852 L-22.3wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-62%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Rockets40c730.19$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.931,69544.7%758 W · 937 L-30.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85b3…18fcbacked Rockets37c701.92$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.712020%4 W · 16 L-4.0wins-0.20per pick40cpaid-68.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x520a…ab8abacked Spurs44c700$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39251037.5%191 W · 319 L+1.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Spurs56c685.96$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.8959743.6%260 W · 337 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x504f…3ddcbacked Rockets74c675.42$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50017356.6%98 W · 75 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+15.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f51…e179backed Rockets6c666.67$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404814.6%7 W · 41 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick12cpaid-9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Spurs75c666.67$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.6776850.3%386 W · 382 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa359…4387backed Spurs39c628.03$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.1560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+40.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb6b…943abacked Spurs66c606.06$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.0615461.7%95 W · 59 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3d64…01fabacked Spurs40c575.19$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.1124634.1%84 W · 162 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Rockets37c557.97$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.471,11341.6%463 W · 650 L-10.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Rockets58c556.01$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.4995049.4%469 W · 481 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Spurs51c516.2$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2532,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa851…7219backed Rockets58c494$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.5250%0 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x377c…91aebacked Rockets54c455.04$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.7247535.8%170 W · 305 L+41.1wins+0.09per pick27cpaid+26.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x908d…1d99backed Rockets26c450.37$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.17640.8%31 W · 45 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ddb…420bbacked Spurs63c419.17$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.0929458.5%172 W · 122 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1e…d5dfbacked Spurs75c413.33$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.3317153.8%92 W · 79 L+8.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe732…898fbacked Rockets20c399.99$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8010533.3%35 W · 70 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-22%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb06c…6961backed Spurs26c391.63$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.6328063.6%178 W · 102 L+13.3wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x561d…94bebacked Spurs47c374.47$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.4713754%74 W · 63 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd52d…412dbacked Rockets34c372.36$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.3453539.6%212 W · 323 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4150…d0ebbacked Spurs38c363.16$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.16862.5%5 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.25per pick37cpaid+58.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7c7d…423fbacked Spurs69c362.3$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.3112437.9%47 W · 77 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.