NBA · resolved market
Rockets vs. Spurs: O/U 222.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x599ff9d1520ee2077d7c7554cd74b0197d458757e95fe6960dd837e5913ab889
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,069
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,336
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,069 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 45c | 1,853$827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$826.7 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x443d…017fbacked Over | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 235 | 50.2%118 W · 117 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661e…81d6backed Over | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 157 | 59.9%94 W · 63 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb61…bd7fbacked Over | 56c | 125.65$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.03 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3b…51dabacked Over | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x699a…38febacked Over | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9202…8ef9backed Over | 57c | 46.49$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.99 | 136 | 46.3%63 W · 73 L | -10.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…908dbacked Over | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 166 | 50%83 W · 83 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x570b…1263backed Over | 55c | 43.09$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.39 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x218e…e49dbacked Over | 55c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 482 | 55%265 W · 217 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7028…8512backed Over | 55c | 38$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe398…ee2ebacked Over | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | -5.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac7…03efbacked Over | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad13…06d8backed Over | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bca…2414backed Over | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9105…1ae2backed Over | 55c | 34.36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.46 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf69b…617fbacked Over | 55c | 31.82$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.32 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c9b…ae51backed Over | 55c | 30.73$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.83 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…0f55backed Over | 55c | 30.73$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.83 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…87dabacked Over | 55c | 29.64$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.34 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x254f…2fb8backed Over | 55c | 28.91$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.01 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x709c…7347backed Over | 55c | 28.91$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.01 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c8…a2aabacked Over | 55c | 28.36$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.76 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe74e…90b6backed Over | 55c | 27.82$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.52 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f1…6349backed Over | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 173 | 50.9%88 W · 85 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 42c | 24.93$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7795…1db8backed Over | 58c | 24.93$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.47 | 199 | 57.8%115 W · 84 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67bc…4d94backed Over | 55c | 24.42$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.99 | 210 | 51.4%108 W · 102 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Over | 48c | 24.41$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.69 | 760 | 54.6%415 W · 345 L | +56.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5961…56dbbacked Over | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 378 | 48.9%185 W · 193 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2953…2ed5backed Over | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc22…1365backed Over | 56c | 19.64$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rockets vs. Spurs: O/U 222.5this page
- Rockets vs. SpursSpurs won
- Rockets vs. Spurs: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Rockets vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 108.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Spurs: O/U 223.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Spurs: O/U 224.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Spurs: O/U 226.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Spurs: O/U 227.5Over won
- Spread: Rockets (-1.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Rockets (-2.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Rockets (-3.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Rockets (-4.5)Spurs won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.