TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xbb61…bd7f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
143
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: NBA, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 54 out of 100; worst Europa Conference League at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 12, 2025, EST6259.7%37 W · 25 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 62 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nuggets vs. Kings: O/U 243.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+100%+$22.52
Warriors vs. Thunder: O/U 226.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+78.6%+$47.79
Grizzlies vs. Knicks: O/U 234.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$29.99
Hawks vs. Clippers: O/U 220.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$96.05
Spurs vs. Bulls: O/U 232.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+81.8%+$40.91
Wizards vs. Pistons: O/U 236.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$59.07
Lakers vs. Hornets: O/U 229.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST+92.3%+$46.15
Timberwolves vs. Kings: O/U 235.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST+72.4%+$45.86
Pistons vs. 76ers: O/U 231.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Celtics vs. Magic: O/U 226.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$70.4
Thunder vs. Grizzlies: O/U 235.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+85.2%+$34.07
Rockets vs. Bucks: O/U 231.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+88.2%+$61.73
Suns vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$38.49
Pacers vs. Nuggets: O/U 232.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Pelicans vs. Spurs: O/U 225.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+88.7%+$88.68
Lakers vs. Hawks: O/U 230.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Thunder vs. Kings: O/U 231.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+75.4%+$15.08
Thunder vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$14.39
Warriors vs. Nuggets: O/U 227.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+75.4%+$15.09
Warriors vs. Nuggets: O/U 228.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+75.4%+$49.79
Rockets vs. Spurs: O/U 222.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+77.9%+$55.03
Rockets vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+122.2%+$36.67
Clippers vs. Suns: O/U 223.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Clippers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+75.4%+$22.63
Spurs vs. Lakers: O/U 228.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+92.3%+$36.92
Showing 25 of 62 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Nov 8, 2025, EST1952.6%10 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Manchester United win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$14.95
Tottenham vs. Manchester United: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-11-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$15.95
Will Liverpool win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$16.57
Will Liverpool vs. Aston Villa end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+27.7%+$4.15
Will Tottenham vs. Chelsea end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$5.83
Will Chelsea win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+150%+$15
Will Brighton vs. Leeds United end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$8.78
Will Nottingham Forest vs. Manchester United end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.5
Will Manchester United win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Manchester City win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$261Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$261.12
Will Aston Villa vs. Manchester City end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$10.5
Will Liverpool win on 2025-10-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$99.99
Will Tottenham win on 2025-10-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$80.8
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+150%+$44.99
Will Arsenal win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$30.91
Will Manchester City win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$10.7
Will Chelsea win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+100%+$27.51
All 19 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Nov 8, 2025, EST1947.4%9 W · 10 L-3.1wins-0.16per pick64cpaid-30%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Serie A — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Parma vs. AC Milan: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Lazio vs. Cagliari: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+78.6%+$11.79
US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Genoa: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$20.52
AC Milan vs. AS Roma: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Fiorentina vs. Lecce: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+75.4%+$9.28
Will Inter win on 2025-11-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+42.9%+$10.8
US Cremonese vs. Juventus: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will Pisa SC vs. Lazio end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.99
Will Cagliari vs. US Sassuolo Calcio end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$17.26
Will Bologna vs. Torino end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$33.54
Will Genoa vs. US Cremonese end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$12.3
Will AS Roma vs. Parma end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$9.52
Will AC Milan win on 2025-10-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.99
Will Atalanta vs. AC Milan end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$33.69
Will Lecce vs. Napoli end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+31%+$16.37
Will Napoli win on 2025-10-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$19.69
Will Lazio vs. Juventus end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+37%+$8.81
Will AC Milan win on 2025-10-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$156.03
Will Juventus win on 2025-10-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$48.51
All 19 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST1662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+47.1%+$7.23
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$14.99
Manchester City FC vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$13.42
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$33.54
Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+150%+$21.74
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$79.85
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$74.03
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$58.73
Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+100%+$75
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$58.73
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-10-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$66.67
Will SSC Napoli win on 2025-10-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$100.51
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-10-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+74.8%+$94.34
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-10-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+77.7%+$84.23
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-10-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+25%+$25
All 16 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Nov 6, 2025, EST922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.27per pick50cpaid-64.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Betis Balompié vs. Olympique Lyonnais end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$15
FC Viktoria Plzeň vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Malmö FF vs. Panathinaikós AO: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will FC Porto win on 2025-10-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2025-10-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$29.37
Will FC Red Bull Salzburg win on 2025-10-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2025-10-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$61.29
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-10-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2025-10-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$104.95
All 9 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Nov 7, 2025, EST812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-27.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$21.39
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 17 to October 24, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 17 to October 24, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+481.4%+$144.42
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 17 to October 24, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 17 to October 24, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 14 to October 21, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.99
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 14 to October 21, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.49
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 14 to October 21, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.1
All 8 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick73cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Nov 8, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-47.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.