Champions League · resolved market
Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-11-04?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x66c3206394de07729df48e3d536aad2d3a69f583d91399ad06881e03f85fb545
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $941,718
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,177,461
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $941,718 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 674 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 50c | 205,558$102,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102,214.3 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…ef38backed Yes | 38c | 106,630$40,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66,242.92 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +10.6wins | +0.18per pick | 31cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked No | 64c | 57,718$36,961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,961.03 | 104 | 43.3%45 W · 59 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Yes | 36c | 50,000$18,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,000 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…4c8cbacked No | 62c | 36,116$22,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,435.29 | 82 | 41.5%34 W · 48 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07a9…32c8backed Yes | 34c | 29,116$9,993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,122.7 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Yes | 37c | 26,148$9,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,473.24 | 128 | 48.4%62 W · 66 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Yes | 38c | 25,902$9,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,051.96 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked No | 63c | 25,102$15,814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,814.3 | 82 | 59.8%49 W · 33 L | +9.0wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x85d9…717bbacked No | 65c | 16,000$10,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,399.94 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f58…456cbacked Yes | 34c | 15,000$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,900 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d9…4ce3backed Yes | 35c | 15,000$5,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,793.17 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 66c | 15,000$9,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,899.84 | 98 | 57.1%56 W · 42 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 59c | 11,915$7,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,059.27 | 149 | 52.3%78 W · 71 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa257…ea6ebacked Yes | 34c | 11,000$3,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,259.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 34c | 10,222$3,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,493.99 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 66c | 10,000$6,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,599.94 | 178 | 53.9%96 W · 82 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 29c | 8,557$2,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,474.03 | 383 | 43.1%165 W · 218 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb9…4feabacked Yes | 37c | 8,226$3,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,182.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Yes | 60c | 8,118$4,905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,213.12 | 93 | 36.6%34 W · 59 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 76c | 7,699$5,885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,813.54 | 389 | 35.2%137 W · 252 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…eb64backed Yes | 34c | 7,501$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,950.57 | 120 | 36.7%44 W · 76 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec2…aebbbacked Yes | 35c | 7,440$2,594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,845.95 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8245…4f87backed Yes | 63c | 7,015$4,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,587.99 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 34c | 6,478$2,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,306.92 | 190 | 28.9%55 W · 135 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…5e12backed Yes | 72c | 6,099$4,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,707.73 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 70c | 5,950$4,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,809.46 | 206 | 43.2%89 W · 117 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3de9…d669backed Yes | 38c | 5,840$2,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,615.72 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 35c | 5,827$2,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,764.49 | 161 | 36%58 W · 103 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked No | 3c | 5,779$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.66 | 38 | 2.6%1 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 64c | 5,273$3,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,349.38 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,550 | 117 | 43.6%51 W · 66 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 70c | 4,770$3,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,431.92 | 204 | 62.3%127 W · 77 L | +19.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…5432backed No | 67c | 4,718$3,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,160.73 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 72cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed No | 65c | 4,302$2,796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,796.19 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 66c | 3,456$2,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,280.96 | 181 | 60.8%110 W · 71 L | +18.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Yes | 70c | 3,225$2,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980.66 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21c0…35e6backed Yes | 80c | 3,002$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.85 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74b3…490ebacked Yes | 38c | 3,000$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,860 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +113.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 62c | 2,982$1,849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,848.97 | 398 | 42.2%168 W · 230 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ff…ca90backed No | 62c | 2,970$1,851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,850.73 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 30c | 2,889$863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$863.25 | 209 | 48.8%102 W · 107 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked No | 63c | 2,877$1,819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,819.39 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22d6…00d5backed Yes | 36c | 2,773$1,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,761.23 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc0…55e9backed Yes | 37c | 2,703$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,702.7 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Yes | 37c | 2,703$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,702.7 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a87…4e00backed Yes | 36c | 2,658$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,698 | 87 | 40.2%35 W · 52 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +81%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb37d…b5b3backed Yes | 38c | 2,632$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,631.58 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3402…9446backed Yes | 38c | 2,632$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,631.58 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeadc…e41dbacked Yes | 38c | 2,632$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,631.58 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9050…bdf5backed Yes | 57c | 2,442$1,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,048.01 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c86…c4f6backed Yes | 75c | 2,370$1,783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 28c | 2,286$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.73 | 582 | 48.8%284 W · 298 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4403…4252backed No | 68c | 2,049$1,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,388.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cba…c616backed Yes | 68c | 2,000$1,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.74 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -5.8wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc1…fdc6backed No | 32c | 2,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Yes | 36c | 2,000$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,279.91 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 62c | 1,981$1,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,234.48 | 397 | 46.9%186 W · 211 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70c0…940dbacked Yes | 71c | 1,824$1,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…f5b6backed Yes | 37c | 1,819$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,136.88 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd95…e042backed Yes | 78c | 1,802$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.79 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed No | 27c | 1,716$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.31 | 108 | 50%54 W · 54 L | +9.1wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +80.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1c…a0a4backed Yes | 38c | 1,671$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,041.84 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78bc…2585backed Yes | 38c | 1,618$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,003.42 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed No | 28c | 1,574$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.75 | 249 | 63.1%157 W · 92 L | +45.5wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xb701…7cf6backed Yes | 38c | 1,528$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$947.73 | 84 | 33.3%28 W · 56 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +35%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccc0…0fa5backed Yes | 37c | 1,500$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$945 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +61.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b0…f99dbacked Yes | 73c | 1,490$1,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.51 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 71cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc190…02aebacked Yes | 36c | 1,478$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$945.92 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Yes | 35c | 1,444$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$944.13 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa52…dabfbacked No | 36c | 1,420$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.4 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60d1…0c8fbacked Yes | 42c | 1,400$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.99 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c80…1c3bbacked Yes | 37c | 1,351$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.35 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.15per pick | 38cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd532…f70dbacked Yes | 38c | 1,320$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4d…6c0bbacked Yes | 38c | 1,319$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819.51 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -67%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…e89abacked Yes | 38c | 1,316$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.79 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7deb…7c0abacked Yes | 70c | 1,300$905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.88 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 35c | 1,298$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.45 | 358 | 60.6%217 W · 141 L | +21.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xebf1…1d5dbacked Yes | 69c | 1,281$883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.78 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3aac…b7e1backed Yes | 63c | 1,278$803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.52 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked Yes | 51c | 1,241$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.99 | 132 | 32.6%43 W · 89 L | +12.1wins | +0.09per pick | 23cpaid | +172.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcf24…15ecbacked Yes | 44c | 1,202$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.9 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 32c | 1,185$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.68 | 140 | 44.3%62 W · 78 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed No | 27c | 1,120$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.43 | 84 | 27.4%23 W · 61 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabbd…f261backed Yes | 45c | 1,106$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.66 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…b1b1backed Yes | 34c | 1,104$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.74 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a24…4a1fbacked Yes | 37c | 1,067$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.85 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 37c | 1,063$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.38 | 138 | 47.1%65 W · 73 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff7b…e6b7backed Yes | 80c | 1,022$817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x791f…c09dbacked Yes | 74c | 1,011$752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x068f…866abacked Yes | 76c | 1,000$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.32per pick | 40cpaid | +717.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed No | 28c | 1,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…1186backed Yes | 70c | 969.72$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.32 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 62c | 968.96$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.76 | 221 | 47.5%105 W · 116 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef4…4e4ebacked Yes | 70c | 941.5$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +6.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a5…cba0backed Yes | 34c | 941.18$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.18 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 23c | 919.84$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.72 | 217 | 45.6%99 W · 118 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e63…e02fbacked Yes | 70c | 912.31$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.17 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf778…2f09backed Yes | 33c | 901.72$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.15 | 67 | 34.3%23 W · 44 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 43c | 900$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513 | 254 | 50%127 W · 127 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-11-04?this page
- Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?No won
- Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-11-04?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.