TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6f40…eb64

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
670
Categories scored
26
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: World Politics, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category World Politics at 60 out of 100; worst Ukraine at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Champions Leaguelast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT12036.7%44 W · 76 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 120 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-08-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$483.33
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-08-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,150Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,150
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-08-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$122.73
Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 3 - 0 Arsenal FC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.63
Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 0 - 3 Arsenal FC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$200.18
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$1,050Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,050
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$3,967Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,966.6
Exact Score: FC Bayern München 4 - 1 Paris Saint-Germain FC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.22
Exact Score: FC Bayern München 2 - 0 Paris Saint-Germain FC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.53
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$216Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$216.2
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$1,042.37
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$503Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+150.1%+$755
Will Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) reach the UEFA Champions League final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$4,440Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,440.43
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$459Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$459.37
Will Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$984Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$983.72
Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.94
Exact Score: Arsenal FC 0 - 1 Sporting CP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.85
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$285Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$284.88
Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$478Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$477.85
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$2,517Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+43.4%+$1,091.97
Will Atlético Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$250.19
Will Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$854Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$854.32
Will Liverpool reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$2,197Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,196.86
Showing 25 of 120 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT9838.8%38 W · 60 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+16.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 98 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$980Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+67%+$657.12
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$4,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+575.8%+$23,031.26
Will Pau Cubarsí win the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$989Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+205.9%+$2,036.14
Will Rodri win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$1,002Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+448.1%+$4,488.23
Will Harry Kane win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.59
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,138Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+159.8%+$1,818.92
Will Dani Olmo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+70.2%+$702.13
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,500
Jude Bellingham: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,000
Will France win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$4,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,000
Spread: England (-3.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
Spread: England (-2.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$799Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$799.35
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$1,155Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,154.98
Will England reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$5,400Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$9,600
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+81%+$809.95
France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+94.2%+$941.75
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will USA reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.32
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked United States · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will Igor Thiago be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Will Neymar score 1+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$1,112.9
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$555Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$555
Showing 25 of 98 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1last resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT8435.7%30 W · 54 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-3.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 84 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Spread: Toulouse FC (-1.5)backed Toulouse FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$120.45
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-08-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$190.01
Will AS Saint-Etienne achieve promotion from Ligue 2 to Ligue 1 for the 2026-27 season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+68.7%+$1,030.3
Will Nice win on 2026-05-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$156.27
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$780Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$779.99
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will Lens win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-05-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,500
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Stade Brestois 29: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,123Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,122.64
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-05-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$1,127.66
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,026Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,026
Will Paris FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$918Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$917.5
Will FC Nantes win on 2026-05-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,500
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,400Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+144.7%+$2,025.93
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,000
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+37%+$739.73
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Lorient end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$2,441.18
Will FC Nantes vs. Olympique de Marseille end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-05-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,750Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,750
Will OGC Nice win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$1,425Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,424.7
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. FC Nantes end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$1,050Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,050
Will Paris FC win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$2,324Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,323.63
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$954Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$3,022.27
Showing 25 of 84 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT6955.1%38 W · 31 L+6.7wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+35.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Middle East — the 69 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$2,212Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+118.1%+$2,613.43
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$7,312Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,312.48
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$404Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$198.99
US announces military support of Iran opposition by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+37%+$55.48
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$2,367Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,366.63
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$358Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$357.82
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,810Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+108.4%+$1,961.3
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+91.9%+$459.57
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$2,724Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+45.9%+$1,249.5
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$366Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$895.02
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$396Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$395.96
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$780Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$720
Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,091Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,090.89
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 18, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,158Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+31%+$359.48
Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+100%+$124.99
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$534Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$534.43
Israel military action against Yemen by April 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+79.5%+$159.08
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$450Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$149.91
US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+386.7%+$366.92
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+719.7%+$719.67
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$9,399Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,398.65
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$7,754Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,754.05
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$4,752Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+409.3%+$19,449.31
Showing 25 of 69 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT6440.6%26 W · 38 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 64 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$426Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$272.12
Will Mohamed Salah play in Süper Lig next?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$386Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+69.6%+$268.88
Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,973Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+81.3%+$2,416.42
Will Aston Villa finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$247Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$247.45
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$181.03
Will Arsenal win a trophy this season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$700
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+143.2%+$715.83
Will AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$1,772.73
Will Manchester United FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$369Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$369
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$851.85
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$266.67
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$154.27
Will Burnley FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$2,571.43
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$1,330.19
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,000
Will Chelsea FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,000
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$1,972Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$4,827.99
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$982Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$420.86
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$963Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$1,506.86
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-04-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$285Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$285.06
Showing 25 of 64 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT6250%31 W · 31 L+7.9wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+16.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
World Politics — the 62 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$695Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+353.9%+$2,459.31
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$1,655Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,655.46
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$7,820Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+138.3%+$10,812.99
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$2,209Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,209.08
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$4,784Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,783.69
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15,537Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+50.8%+$7,897.25
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$990Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+203%+$2,009.99
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$5,335Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+355.2%+$18,948.47
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$183Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$182.54
Will voter turnout be 80%+ in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+197.6%+$55.16
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+55%+$54.99
Will Jean-Paul Lecoq be the next mayor of Le Havre?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$546Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$545.79
Will Jean-Michel Aulas win the 2026 Lyon mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$216Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$216.02
Will Grégory Doucet win the 2026 Lyon mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$509Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+411.3%+$2,091.93
Will Laure Lavalette be the next mayor of Toulon?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$111.25
Will Jean-Luc Moudenc be the next mayor of Toulouse following the 2026 Toulouse municipal election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,909Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+131.3%+$2,506.37
Will Eric Ciotti win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,119Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+67.9%+$760.4
Will Franck Allisio win the Marseille mayor election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.06
Will the Emmanuel Grégoire List win the most citywide list votes in the runoff of the 2026 Paris municipal election by 15–20%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.55
Will the Emmanuel Grégoire List win the most citywide list votes in the runoff of the 2026 Paris municipal election by 5–10%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+429.4%+$497.3
Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$2,161Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+31.2%+$675.25
Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$762Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$762.3
Will Sophia Chikirou advance to the second round of the 2026 Paris municipal election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$633Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+50.5%+$319.58
Will Sarah Knafo advance to the second round of the 2026 Paris municipal election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+142.6%+$27.56
Showing 25 of 62 picks, newest first.
La Ligalast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT3551.4%18 W · 17 L+4.1wins+0.12per pick40cpaid+11.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
La Liga — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RC Deportivo A Coruña vs. Elche CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$531.82
Will Girona FC win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,354Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+58.2%+$788.08
Will CA Osasuna vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-04-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$141.97
Will FC Barcelona vs. RC Celta de Vigo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$474Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$474.2
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$967Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$1,181.89
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$986Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$311.24
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.08
Will FC Barcelona vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will FC Barcelona vs. Sevilla FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Elche CF win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+132.6%+$2,651.16
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$2,142Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+45.9%+$982.3
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$415Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$415.13
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$2,026Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+39.1%+$791.79
FC Barcelona vs. Levante UD: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+143.9%+$287.8
FC Barcelona vs. Levante UD: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+104.1%+$1,040.82
Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+489.2%+$2,445.82
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$2,659Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+26.6%+$706.91
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$2,099Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+31.6%+$662.91
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT3046.7%14 W · 16 L+3.2wins+0.11per pick36cpaid+30.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Górnik Zabrze win on 2026-08-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$350
Will Ferencvárosi TC win on 2026-08-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$1,138.89
Will Lillestrøm SK win on 2026-08-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$350
Will Paris Saint-Germain win on 2026-08-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$1,508.77
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$1,173.91
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-05-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-05-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)backed Rayo Vallecano de Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-04-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$2,347.83
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$971Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$896.49
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$96
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$239.8
Will HNK Rijeka win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$785.71
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$1,351.85
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,000
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$7,056Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$9,743.96
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-02-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$120
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-02-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$2,735Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+143.9%+$3,935.15
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-02-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,700Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$1,700
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-02-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$963Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+177.8%+$1,711.75
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2025-11-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+61.3%+$612.9
Will BK Häcken win on 2025-11-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$600
Will PAOK win on 2025-10-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+525%+$5,250
Will FC Basel 1893 win on 2025-10-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2250%11 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+25%+$6.04
Will the DHS shutdown last 30 days or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.2
US government shutdown Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+25%+$250
Will the government shutdown last 10 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$268Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$267.78
Will the government shutdown last 6 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000
Israel military action against Iran in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+216.4%+$432.58
US-EU trade agreement by July 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$484Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2025, EDT+60.2%+$291.79
Another US military action against Iran by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+40.6%+$609.09
Will Iran strike a U.S. facility by Monday June  23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will Iran strike a U.S. facility by Monday June  30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$248Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$248
Will the U.S. strike Fordow nuclear facility before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,000
US military action against Iran by Sunday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$900Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$899.65
50% tariff goes into effect on EU by June 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$306.45
Trump signs national abortion ban?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$342Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$342.14
Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his inauguration speech?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,350Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST+85.2%+$1,149.99
Will Trump say "January 6" during his inauguration speech?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$372Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$372.48
Will Trump say "Illegal" in his speech after the election is called?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2024, EST+150%+$45.6
Will Trump say "Rig" or "Rigged" in his speech after the election is called?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2024, EST+28.6%+$47.39
Will Trump say "We Won" in his speech after the election is called?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2024, EST-100%-$61
Will Trump say "America" five or more times in his speech after the election is called?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2024, EST+203%+$21.44
Will Trump say "Kamala" in his speech after the election is called?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2024, EST+343.2%+$54.97
All 22 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT1546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-26.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$3,154Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,154.3
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$900Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$900
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$4,241Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+98.2%+$4,162.73
Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$338Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$338.47
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$3,112Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+52.2%+$1,623.87
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,022Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$626.36
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$806Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$560.09
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.88
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$2,265Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+35.3%+$799.57
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+51.9%+$518.91
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$119.68
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,013Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$337.5
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,592Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,592.26
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$2,030Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,030
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 15 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+43.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cincinnati Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,900Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,900
Cincinnati Open: Andrey Rublev vs Pablo Carreno Bustabacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$2,500Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$1,123.19
Roland Garros ATP: Valentin Royer vs Novak Djokovicbacked Valentin Royer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Open Sud de France: Pedro Martinez vs Adrian Mannarinobacked Mannarino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$209Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+64.8%+$135.37
ATP World Tour Finals, Final Stage: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$925Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+52.1%+$482.23
ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Carlos Alcaraz vs Taylor Fritzbacked Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,040Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$1,039.98
Wimbledon Final – Alcaraz vs. Sinner backed Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT+100%+$1,000
Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2025 French Open? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$600
Will Lois Boisson win the 2025 French Open? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$300
French Open: Andreeva vs. Boissonbacked Boisson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2025, EDT+669.2%+$311.39
All 10 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST955.6%5 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,044Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+58.8%+$614.3
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$454Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$453.91
Will Bitcoin dip to $95,000 in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$1,000
Will Bitcoin dip to $100k in October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+43.5%+$435.09
Will Bitcoin dip to $95K in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$264Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$264.3
Will Bitcoin reach $115K in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,003Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,003.47
Will Bitcoin dip to $100K in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$6,211Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2025, EDT+102.6%+$6,375.15
Will Bitcoin reach $115k in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$4,096Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+80.2%+$3,285.45
Bitcoin all time high by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$6,918Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST+78.8%+$5,452.86
All 9 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-43.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,998Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+85.2%+$1,702
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$736Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$735.6
Will Jerome Powell say "tariff" 5 or more times during December FOMC Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST-100%-$59.4
Will Jerome Powell say "inflation" 50 or more times during December FOMC Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST+47.1%+$80
Will Jerome Powell say "tariff" during December FOMC Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST+79.1%+$44.49
Will Jerome Powell say "cut" 7 or more times during December FOMC Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST-100%-$167.26
Will Jerome Powell say "good afternoon" during December FOMC Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST-100%-$105.08
All 9 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.18per pick39cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-50.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFClast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid-15.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick8cpaid+262.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick73cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hellas Verona FC vs. Pisa SC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$298Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+25%+$74.38
Will AC Milan win on 2025-10-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,500
Will Inter win on 2025-09-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT+57.9%+$579.34
All 3 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2024, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-25.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be a streaker?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$363Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$362.5
Super Bowl LIX Winnerbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$200
All 2 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
DeepSeek confirmed to have used banned Nvidia chips?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$357Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST-100%-$356.61
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$1,006Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,005.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$207Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$207
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.