TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x07a9…32c8

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
115
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 57 out of 100; worst UFC at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT3342.4%14 W · 19 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-19.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
UFC — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Conor McGregor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$5,793Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,793.2
UFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Paddy Pimblett · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$4,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$4,888.89
UFC 329: Cory Sandhagen vs. Mario Bautista (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Mario Bautista · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$5,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$6,627.91
UFC 329: Brandon Royval vs. Lone'er Kavanagh (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Brandon Royval · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$4,998Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+183.9%+$9,192.43
UFC 329: Robert Whittaker vs. Nikita Krylov (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Robert Whittaker · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$9,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$7,363.64
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Pimblett · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$9,972Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$9,972.32
Will Shara Magomedov win against Arman Tsarukyan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$150
Rakic vs. Murzakanovbacked Murzakanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+98.3%+$1,966.68
Dern vs. Jandirobabacked Jandiroba · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$3,004Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,004.33
Volkov vs. Almeidabacked Volkov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$2,500Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+157.9%+$3,947.38
Haqparast vs. Salkilldbacked Salkilld · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,700Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+90.5%+$1,538.35
Park vs. Aliskerovbacked Aliskerov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$3,000Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$1,347.83
Klein vs. Rebeckibacked Klein · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+75.8%+$1,137.36
Wood vs. Delgadobacked Delgado · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,200
Ankalaev vs. Pereirabacked Ankalaev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$6,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$6,500
Dvalishvili vs. Sandhagenbacked Dvalishvili · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$5,000Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$1,329.11
Procházka vs. Rountree Jr.backed Rountree Jr. · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$600
Magomedov vs. Pyferbacked Pyfer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$2,500Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$1,123.19
Mix vs. Wiklaczbacked Mix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,000
Santos vs. Yoobacked Yoo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$330.36
Muniz vs. Shahbazyanbacked Shahbazyan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$351.35
Soriano vs. Veretennikovbacked Soriano · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$209.09
Santos vs. Chiassonbacked Chiasson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$900Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$900
Vanderford vs. Brahimajbacked Vanderford · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$700
Walker vs. Hardybacked Walker · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$85
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT3243.8%14 W · 18 L+3.5wins+0.11per pick33cpaid+23.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$16,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$16,000
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$10,135Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+358.7%+$36,356.74
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$7,500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+337.7%+$25,326.52
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$14,070Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14,070
Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$5,050Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$5,928.26
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$3,333Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+115.1%+$3,834.74
England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,222Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$1,970.45
Switzerland to score first vs. Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$1,234Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,234
Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$1,250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,250
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$5,958Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,957.6
Spain to score first vs. Belgium?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$3,333Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+53%+$1,766.57
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$2,222Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,222
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$3,333Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,333
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$2,822Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,822
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$3,333Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+100%+$3,333
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$5,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$4,615.38
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$2,222Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$5,184.67
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$3,062Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$2,715.79
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 0 Morocco?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,199.87
Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advancebacked Croatia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$2,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,500
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Team to Advancebacked Bosnia and Herzegovina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$350
Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advancebacked Senegal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$2,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,500
England vs. DR Congo: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$777Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$1,267.74
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT2050%10 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+11.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+150%+$3,000
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,000
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$1,899Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,899.2
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,948Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$1,469.85
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,929Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$2,776.17
Liverpool FC vs. Galatasaray SK: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,000
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,500
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$2,651.93
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,000
Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$1,448.45
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,000
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$2,000
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$2,077Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+121.9%+$2,531.3
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$10,006Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$10,005.94
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+108.3%+$1,625
Will Qarabağ Ağdam FK win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$1,500
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,700Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+169.7%+$2,885.65
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+68.6%+$1,029.02
Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$2,997Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$2,996.88
Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$9,993Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+191.4%+$19,122.7
All 20 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick34cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Olympics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-35.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$49,967Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$49,967.44
Will Sevilla FC win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$3,000Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$2,769.23
All 3 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Will Juventus FC win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+108.3%+$1,625
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 3 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$10,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+105.4%+$10,542.11
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$5,463Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,463.31
All 2 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 'Joker 2' gross most in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2025, EST-100%-$499.58
Will 'Deadpool 3' gross most in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$2,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2025, EST-100%-$2,500
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Nov 6, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rangers FC win on 2025-11-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$503Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$502.72
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2025-10-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,000.33
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+62.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rams vs. Bearsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$49,941Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+62.2%+$31,046.76
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukrainelast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+54.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Yabloko Effectively Banned From 2026 Russian Elections by September 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+54.8%+$1,096.05
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Boxing: Usyk vs Dubois 2backed Usyk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$19,968Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$5,631.98
All 1 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Sep 8, 2024, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Chess — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Alireza Firouzja win the Speed Chess Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2024, EDT-100%-$500
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sandefjord Fotball vs. KFUM-Kameratene Oslo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$499Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$499.28
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,683Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,682.73
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.