UFC · resolved market
Volkov vs. Almeida
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3b5293eeaa462f0e9e31a27678a88046226bc81a8a6849f59bb5d0090a596cde
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Volkovof Volkov, Almeida
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $971,071
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,119,360
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $971,071 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 464 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Almeida | 64c | 237,010$150,716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150,716.32 | 352 | 53.1%187 W · 165 L | +27.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Almeida | 64c | 149,115$95,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95,198.22 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Volkov | 36c | 102,116$36,762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65,354.27 | 195 | 44.6%87 W · 108 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2131…aaf2backed Volkov | 35c | 80,000$28,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51,999.97 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +5.1wins | +0.28per pick | 50cpaid | +70.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed Volkov | 35c | 73,442$25,705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47,737.03 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5735…f1f7backed Almeida | 65c | 60,144$39,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,093.65 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Almeida | 63c | 52,429$32,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,809.64 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…88cabacked Almeida | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d04…7a5fbacked Volkov | 37c | 43,412$15,985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,426.57 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.4wins | +0.24per pick | 55cpaid | +69.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x01ba…b77abacked Volkov | 36c | 37,459$13,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,973.6 | 222 | 59.5%132 W · 90 L | +15.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Volkov | 36c | 35,000$12,765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,235.05 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Almeida | 64c | 30,913$19,725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,724.74 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Volkov | 38c | 24,750$9,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,299.21 | 201 | 39.8%80 W · 121 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Volkov | 36c | 16,124$5,805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,319.36 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc63…ded0backed Volkov | 36c | 15,000$5,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,600 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Volkov | 31c | 14,976$4,589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,386.47 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…f9fabacked Almeida | 62c | 11,875$7,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,363.67 | 122 | 62.3%76 W · 46 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Almeida | 60c | 11,835$7,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,139.69 | 120 | 52.5%63 W · 57 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xace4…bd19backed Volkov | 38c | 11,000$4,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,819.99 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05e1…6f5ebacked Almeida | 62c | 10,236$6,341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,341.41 | 63 | 34.9%22 W · 41 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x134a…9e42backed Volkov | 36c | 7,500$2,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,810.47 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x832d…d420backed Almeida | 65c | 7,321$4,749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,749.31 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07a9…32c8backed Volkov | 39c | 6,447$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,947.38 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf635…e876backed Volkov | 36c | 6,183$2,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,957.33 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3349…c0b8backed Almeida | 65c | 6,150$3,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,997.5 | 57 | 75.4%43 W · 14 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 67cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22e6…409fbacked Volkov | 41c | 6,108$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,607.77 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Almeida | 32c | 5,917$1,869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,869.49 | 105 | 22.9%24 W · 81 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5412…f86fbacked Volkov | 36c | 5,533$1,992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,541.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 36cpaid | +59.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Almeida | 49c | 5,427$2,644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,644.36 | 212 | 47.2%100 W · 112 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Volkov | 37c | 4,869$1,806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,062.41 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa41c…fadebacked Volkov | 36c | 4,167$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,666.67 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Almeida | 65c | 4,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Almeida | 44c | 3,823$1,688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,688.07 | 145 | 30.3%44 W · 101 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8628…6f0bbacked Volkov | 76c | 3,722$2,811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$911.43 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ba…9c04backed Almeida | 62c | 3,505$2,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,170.55 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Volkov | 36c | 3,500$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,240 | 202 | 33.7%68 W · 134 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8c…9390backed Almeida | 63c | 3,500$2,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,205 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x021a…56cbbacked Volkov | 37c | 3,486$1,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,196.49 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Volkov | 36c | 3,215$1,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,057.34 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50dd…c186backed Volkov | 36c | 3,014$1,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,929.14 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Volkov | 37c | 2,907$1,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,818.33 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Volkov | 36c | 2,851$1,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,831.94 | 288 | 49.7%143 W · 145 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fae…3488backed Volkov | 36c | 2,796$1,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,789.69 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +4.0wins | +0.29per pick | 43cpaid | +90.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9915…3704backed Volkov | 36c | 2,501$901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600.96 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +138.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Almeida | 65c | 2,500$1,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,625 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa941…ec2ebacked Almeida | 64c | 2,500$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Almeida | 69c | 2,328$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600.31 | 539 | 56.6%305 W · 234 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Almeida | 62c | 2,265$1,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,404.35 | 184 | 53.8%99 W · 85 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Volkov | 37c | 2,050$759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,291.5 | 358 | 26%93 W · 265 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Volkov | 36c | 2,000$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,280 | 300 | 39.3%118 W · 182 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41e0…a8e0backed Volkov | 36c | 2,000$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,280 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x697f…8705backed Volkov | 38c | 2,000$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,240 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a8b…b1c8backed Volkov | 72c | 2,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Volkov | 35c | 2,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,299.98 | 215 | 54.4%117 W · 98 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Almeida | 61c | 2,000$1,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,228.79 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Almeida | 60c | 1,962$1,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,176.73 | 267 | 43.8%117 W · 150 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Volkov | 36c | 1,961$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,256.44 | 309 | 64.7%200 W · 109 L | +24.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Volkov | 37c | 1,900$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,204 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ce…691abacked Volkov | 37c | 1,646$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef25…dc22backed Volkov | 36c | 1,621$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,037.71 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfa…d143backed Volkov | 38c | 1,591$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$982.2 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x644b…2145backed Volkov | 37c | 1,555$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$985.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +60.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c5…90dfbacked Almeida | 65c | 1,523$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd685…8be9backed Volkov | 35c | 1,500$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$978.75 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff5…f136backed Volkov | 37c | 1,433$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$904.79 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f2…e9dabacked Almeida | 66c | 1,424$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0441…e90fbacked Volkov | 63c | 1,408$886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.41 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2a3…911ebacked Volkov | 36c | 1,389$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$888.89 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9329…9d3ebacked Volkov | 38c | 1,328$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820.03 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…10cdbacked Volkov | 37c | 1,326$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840.98 | 515 | 33.6%173 W · 342 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe44b…4982backed Volkov | 38c | 1,316$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.79 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7455…93adbacked Volkov | 36c | 1,300$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$836.99 | 195 | 31.8%62 W · 133 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bdf…64c3backed Volkov | 36c | 1,294$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$827.96 | 60 | 60%36 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Almeida | 62c | 1,225$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.44 | 185 | 60%111 W · 74 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Volkov | 27c | 1,183$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$858.19 | 192 | 30.7%59 W · 133 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Volkov | 36c | 1,170$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748.8 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Almeida | 60c | 1,156$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693.48 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd353…f6acbacked Volkov | 36c | 1,156$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.56 | 252 | 51.2%129 W · 123 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac4c…271abacked Volkov | 36c | 1,109$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.67 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…6598backed Volkov | 36c | 1,069$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684.44 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31b6…2d92backed Volkov | 38c | 1,053$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.63 | 92 | 41.3%38 W · 54 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a8…dc7abacked Volkov | 37c | 1,010$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.37 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +33%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Almeida | 58c | 1,007$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.57 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10b3…40d4backed Volkov | 40c | 1,000$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Almeida | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Volkov | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650 | 137 | 35.8%49 W · 88 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9621…b76cbacked Almeida | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Volkov | 71c | 1,000$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.05 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a13…db82backed Volkov | 38c | 999.99$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 39cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…d3dcbacked Volkov | 39c | 998.28$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.95 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +36%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35cc…88c1backed Volkov | 41c | 975.63$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.16per pick | 60cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0434…a98cbacked Volkov | 55c | 947.72$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429 | 264 | 51.9%137 W · 127 L | +23.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…6c45backed Almeida | 28c | 902.87$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.8 | 280 | 43.2%121 W · 159 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…2960backed Volkov | 36c | 833.33$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.33 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.34per pick | 51cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Volkov | 36c | 800$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35fc…db55backed Volkov | 37c | 800$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa461…0d59backed Volkov | 37c | 785.64$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.04 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3435…1913backed Almeida | 62c | 771$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.02 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 64cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Almeida | 62c | 700$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434 | 238 | 50.4%120 W · 118 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcaab…24ddbacked Almeida | 47c | 700$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Volkov vs. Almeidathis page
- Barnett vs. AbdelwahabAbdelwahab won
- Bautista vs. NurmagomedovNurmagomedov won
- Dern vs. JandirobaDern won
- Haqparast vs. SalkilldSalkilld won
- Klein vs. RebeckiKlein won
- Park vs. AliskerovAliskerov won
- Rakic vs. MurzakanovMurzakanov won
- Raposo vs. MaksumRaposo won
- Wood vs. DelgadoWood won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.