UFC · resolved market
Barnett vs. Abdelwahab
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0f405af96cc341c675d8910ff5e25eeb91caeef4dc76dc3fcc12e0926a0385a5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Abdelwahabof Barnett, Abdelwahab
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $180,239
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $218,646
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $180,239 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee86…4b16backed Barnett | 0c | 25,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdecc…9d36backed Barnett | 21c | 20,000$4,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,200 | 169 | 51.5%87 W · 82 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01ba…b77abacked Abdelwahab | 80c | 15,000$11,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,049.99 | 222 | 59.5%132 W · 90 L | +15.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Barnett | 19c | 13,723$2,669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,669.25 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Abdelwahab | 79c | 11,545$9,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,439.84 | 191 | 54.5%104 W · 87 L | +14.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Barnett | 2c | 9,428$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.31 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33c2…9818backed Barnett | 20c | 6,504$1,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320.69 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Barnett | 10c | 6,362$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636.15 | 105 | 22.9%24 W · 81 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed Barnett | 20c | 5,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Barnett | 16c | 4,630$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726.12 | 149 | 29.5%44 W · 105 L | -15.2wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa2a3…911ebacked Abdelwahab | 80c | 4,486$3,589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$897.22 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Abdelwahab | 79c | 4,305$3,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$903.23 | 309 | 64.7%200 W · 109 L | +24.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Abdelwahab | 79c | 4,286$3,403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$882.87 | 288 | 49.7%143 W · 145 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7455…93adbacked Barnett | 18c | 4,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 195 | 31.8%62 W · 133 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Barnett | 20c | 2,150$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.5 | 181 | 45.3%82 W · 99 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Barnett | 20c | 2,050$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 358 | 26%93 W · 265 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…f9fabacked Abdelwahab | 77c | 1,905$1,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.05 | 122 | 62.3%76 W · 46 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Barnett | 21c | 1,400$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287 | 109 | 28.4%31 W · 78 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Barnett | 6c | 1,341$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.47 | 201 | 39.8%80 W · 121 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec57…e0acbacked Barnett | 23c | 1,326$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x915d…65f9backed Barnett | 5c | 1,225$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -3.8wins | -0.18per pick | 42cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x370f…c4e4backed Barnett | 18c | 1,092$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.51 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa576…89a4backed Barnett | 19c | 1,000$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ce…691abacked Barnett | 24c | 1,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Barnett | 21c | 749$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.01 | 192 | 30.7%59 W · 133 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Barnett | 18c | 700$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Barnett | 18c | 700$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 238 | 50.4%120 W · 118 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…10cdbacked Barnett | 21c | 670$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.4 | 515 | 33.6%173 W · 342 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Barnett | 18c | 580.94$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.68 | 184 | 53.8%99 W · 85 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfef7…c9f4backed Barnett | 19c | 525$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.75 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf0…153ebacked Barnett | 17c | 515.09$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.57 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…1778backed Barnett | 20c | 504.3$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 72 | 33.3%24 W · 48 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Barnett | 19c | 484$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.96 | 332 | 53.3%177 W · 155 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c2…a50ebacked Barnett | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -10.5wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x55ac…50e6backed Barnett | 20c | 441.48$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe23…b587backed Barnett | 12c | 400$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Barnett | 20c | 344.87$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.97 | 195 | 44.6%87 W · 108 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36bc…ec72backed Barnett | 14c | 330.48$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 158 | 48.1%76 W · 82 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0174…f66fbacked Barnett | 22c | 309.32$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.68 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb46f…c0b9backed Barnett | 21c | 299.48$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.89 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcaf…11dabacked Barnett | 19c | 295.68$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd031…96b5backed Barnett | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e17…2301backed Barnett | 22c | 256.64$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.46 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae3…47ccbacked Barnett | 19c | 245.58$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.66 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee44…0082backed Barnett | 21c | 214.29$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacd3…9e40backed Barnett | 12c | 209.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf2…3ef7backed Barnett | 21c | 209.52$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44c1…aa71backed Barnett | 18c | 200$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4574…ab3ebacked Barnett | 24c | 200$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 287 | 43.9%126 W · 161 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9c…900fbacked Barnett | 19c | 200$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 78 | 30.8%24 W · 54 L | -9.1wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfd50…c17bbacked Barnett | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x731c…a252backed Barnett | 20c | 196.17$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x569d…84b3backed Barnett | 22c | 190$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.8 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Barnett | 20c | 179.91$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 124 | 46.8%58 W · 66 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…25a0backed Barnett | 19c | 175.53$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd79c…a93dbacked Barnett | 19c | 162.84$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fdd…05bcbacked Barnett | 19c | 161.05$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7774…15d4backed Barnett | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x929c…8cb6backed Barnett | 18c | 150$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 111 | 52.3%58 W · 53 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Barnett | 21c | 150$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.55 | 148 | 27%40 W · 108 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc96…f63fbacked Barnett | 20c | 136.1$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.83 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a30…fca1backed Barnett | 21c | 130.46$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Barnett | 23c | 126$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.98 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…6598backed Abdelwahab | 77c | 126$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.98 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3505…f7a3backed Abdelwahab | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…7650backed Abdelwahab | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a0e…d99bbacked Barnett | 19c | 124.37$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb6…ec83backed Barnett | 19c | 110$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 223 | 42.2%94 W · 129 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…aafdbacked Barnett | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Barnett | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 366 | 55.2%202 W · 164 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e2b…97b2backed Barnett | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed0…92debacked Barnett | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 122 | 45.1%55 W · 67 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2878…dd87backed Barnett | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd207…9bcbbacked Barnett | 22c | 95.45$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d28…037ebacked Barnett | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb37f…6d0ebacked Barnett | 16c | 93.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb38…f4dfbacked Barnett | 19c | 93.58$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9083…d27bbacked Barnett | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 151 | 39.7%60 W · 91 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5daf…ffadbacked Barnett | 19c | 86.53$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Barnett | 17c | 86.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 180 | 38.9%70 W · 110 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86e6…f634backed Barnett | 21c | 71.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 95 | 47.4%45 W · 50 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30bc…a344backed Barnett | 21c | 61.1$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.83 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab3b…a825backed Barnett | 23c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dbf…c4f4backed Barnett | 18c | 59.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6879…db36backed Barnett | 20c | 53.55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00f7…4476backed Abdelwahab | 79c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +5.2wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3149…9762backed Barnett | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6079…81c6backed Abdelwahab | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe016…424bbacked Barnett | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 89 | 32.6%29 W · 60 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a2…9b3fbacked Barnett | 46c | 45.26$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -6.7wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xac1e…ea39backed Barnett | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 324 | 31.8%103 W · 221 L | -9.6wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef6…8c16backed Abdelwahab | 79c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 113 | 37.2%42 W · 71 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Abdelwahab | 79c | 38.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…af36backed Abdelwahab | 75c | 33.58$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.47 | 487 | 49.1%239 W · 248 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked Abdelwahab | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 223 | 34.1%76 W · 147 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe318…3506backed Abdelwahab | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa198…acc5backed Abdelwahab | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +20%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Barnett vs. Abdelwahabthis page
- Bautista vs. NurmagomedovNurmagomedov won
- Dern vs. JandirobaDern won
- Haqparast vs. SalkilldSalkilld won
- Klein vs. RebeckiKlein won
- Park vs. AliskerovAliskerov won
- Rakic vs. MurzakanovMurzakanov won
- Raposo vs. MaksumRaposo won
- Volkov vs. AlmeidaVolkov won
- Wood vs. DelgadoWood won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.