TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

UFC · resolved market

Barnett vs. Abdelwahab

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Abdelwahabof Barnett, Abdelwahab
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$180,239
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$218,646

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $180,239 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in UFC
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee86…4b16backed Barnett0c25,000$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255655.4%31 W · 25 L+3.9wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+17.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdecc…9d36backed Barnett21c20,000$4,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,20016951.5%87 W · 82 L-0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01ba…b77abacked Abdelwahab80c15,000$11,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,049.9922259.5%132 W · 90 L+15.1wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Barnett19c13,723$2,669 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,669.258940.4%36 W · 53 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick35cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbad…9c95backed Abdelwahab79c11,545$9,105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,439.8419154.5%104 W · 87 L+14.9wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+13%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Barnett2c9,428$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.316841.2%28 W · 40 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33c2…9818backed Barnett20c6,504$1,321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,320.693250%16 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Barnett10c6,362$636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$636.1510522.9%24 W · 81 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2699…29f6backed Barnett20c5,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0003151.6%16 W · 15 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+30.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Barnett16c4,630$726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$726.1214929.5%44 W · 105 L-15.2wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-39.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa2a3…911ebacked Abdelwahab80c4,486$3,589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$897.221172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick63cpaid+31.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Abdelwahab79c4,305$3,402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$903.2330964.7%200 W · 109 L+24.5wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+16.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Abdelwahab79c4,286$3,403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$882.8728849.7%143 W · 145 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7455…93adbacked Barnett18c4,000$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72019531.8%62 W · 133 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Barnett20c2,150$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427.518145.3%82 W · 99 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Barnett20c2,050$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41035826%93 W · 265 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0d7…f9fabacked Abdelwahab77c1,905$1,466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.0512262.3%76 W · 46 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x30ef…70dfbacked Barnett21c1,400$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28710928.4%31 W · 78 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Barnett6c1,341$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.4720139.8%80 W · 121 L-0.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec57…e0acbacked Barnett23c1,326$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick45cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x915d…65f9backed Barnett5c1,225$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$662123.8%5 W · 16 L-3.8wins-0.18per pick42cpaid-49.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x370f…c4e4backed Barnett18c1,092$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.513661.1%22 W · 14 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa576…89a4backed Barnett19c1,000$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-32.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9ce…691abacked Barnett24c1,000$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24017850%89 W · 89 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Barnett21c749$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.0119230.7%59 W · 133 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Barnett18c700$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1266829.4%20 W · 48 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-18.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked Barnett18c700$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12623850.4%120 W · 118 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb71…10cdbacked Barnett21c670$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.451533.6%173 W · 342 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Barnett18c580.94$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.6818453.8%99 W · 85 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfef7…c9f4backed Barnett19c525$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.75933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaaf0…153ebacked Barnett17c515.09$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.572759.3%16 W · 11 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x83ce…1778backed Barnett20c504.3$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007233.3%24 W · 48 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick34cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Barnett19c484$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.9633253.3%177 W · 155 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8c2…a50ebacked Barnett22c454.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005232.7%17 W · 35 L-10.5wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-48.6%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x55ac…50e6backed Barnett20c441.48$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.710%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe23…b587backed Barnett12c400$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4830%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Barnett20c344.87$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.9719544.6%87 W · 108 L-0.3wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36bc…ec72backed Barnett14c330.48$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4715848.1%76 W · 82 L+9.1wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+10%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0174…f66fbacked Barnett22c309.32$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.6810043%43 W · 57 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb46f…c0b9backed Barnett21c299.48$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.892642.3%11 W · 15 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfcaf…11dabacked Barnett19c295.68$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.1810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd031…96b5backed Barnett19c263.16$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e17…2301backed Barnett22c256.64$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.463132.3%10 W · 21 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick26cpaid+45.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ae3…47ccbacked Barnett19c245.58$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.661735.3%6 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee44…0082backed Barnett21c214.29$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454544.4%20 W · 25 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xacd3…9e40backed Barnett12c209.89$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252832.1%9 W · 19 L+0.1wins0.00per pick32cpaid-14%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbf2…3ef7backed Barnett21c209.52$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$443447.1%16 W · 18 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44c1…aa71backed Barnett18c200$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356741.8%28 W · 39 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4574…ab3ebacked Barnett24c200$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4728743.9%126 W · 161 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b9c…900fbacked Barnett19c200$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387830.8%24 W · 54 L-9.1wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-36.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xfd50…c17bbacked Barnett20c200$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.17per pick48cpaid-36.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x731c…a252backed Barnett20c196.17$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+29.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x569d…84b3backed Barnett22c190$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.8650%3 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+61.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Barnett20c179.91$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3612446.8%58 W · 66 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf658…25a0backed Barnett19c175.53$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.3510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd79c…a93dbacked Barnett19c162.84$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.9410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fdd…05bcbacked Barnett19c161.05$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7774…15d4backed Barnett20c150$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303661.1%22 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x929c…8cb6backed Barnett18c150$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2711152.3%58 W · 53 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked Barnett21c150$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.5514827%40 W · 108 L+0.3wins0.00per pick27cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc96…f63fbacked Barnett20c136.1$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.831030%3 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a30…fca1backed Barnett21c130.46$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x520a…ab8abacked Barnett23c126$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.983148.4%15 W · 16 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2140…6598backed Abdelwahab77c126$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.9813450%67 W · 67 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3505…f7a3backed Abdelwahab80c125$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256756.7%38 W · 29 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-1.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f84…7650backed Abdelwahab80c125$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256155.7%34 W · 27 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a0e…d99bbacked Barnett19c124.37$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.6310%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6cb6…ec83backed Barnett19c110$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.922342.2%94 W · 129 L-9.1wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x44d6…aafdbacked Barnett19c105.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206243.5%27 W · 35 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Barnett21c100$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2136655.2%202 W · 164 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e2b…97b2backed Barnett22c100$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227745.5%35 W · 42 L-0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ed0…92debacked Barnett20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2012245.1%55 W · 67 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2878…dd87backed Barnett21c100$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214540%18 W · 27 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+22.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd207…9bcbbacked Barnett22c95.45$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d28…037ebacked Barnett21c95.24$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-19.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb37f…6d0ebacked Barnett16c93.75$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb38…f4dfbacked Barnett19c93.58$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.7810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9083…d27bbacked Barnett23c86.96$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2015139.7%60 W · 91 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5daf…ffadbacked Barnett19c86.53$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Barnett17c86.48$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7618038.9%70 W · 110 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86e6…f634backed Barnett21c71.43$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159547.4%45 W · 50 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x30bc…a344backed Barnett21c61.1$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.83633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-28.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab3b…a825backed Barnett23c60$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.522753.3%121 W · 106 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7dbf…c4f4backed Barnett18c59.99$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6879…db36backed Barnett20c53.55$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.71633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-47.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x00f7…4476backed Abdelwahab79c50$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.53661.1%22 W · 14 L+5.2wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+31.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3149…9762backed Barnett20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104450%22 W · 22 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-9.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6079…81c6backed Abdelwahab80c50$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102060%12 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe016…424bbacked Barnett22c50$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118932.6%29 W · 60 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc9a2…9b3fbacked Barnett46c45.26$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213735.1%13 W · 24 L-6.7wins-0.18per pick53cpaid-26.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xac1e…ea39backed Barnett25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1032431.8%103 W · 221 L-9.6wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5ef6…8c16backed Abdelwahab79c40$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.411337.2%42 W · 71 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-21.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Abdelwahab79c38.1$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85244.2%23 W · 29 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-17.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1102…af36backed Abdelwahab75c33.58$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.4748749.1%239 W · 248 L-8.3wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51f7…ae1fbacked Abdelwahab78c30$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.622334.1%76 W · 147 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-25.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe318…3506backed Abdelwahab80c25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51060%6 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick63cpaid+6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa198…acc5backed Abdelwahab80c25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5875%6 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+20%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.