UFC · resolved market

Bautista vs. Nurmagomedov

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x51bd1192333e7c76b85df6bb58b5f9775b038352d0e7b3ee50f1ab6cf2db6503

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Nurmagomedovof Bautista, Nurmagomedov
Resolved: Oct 25, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,030,910
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,288,951

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,030,910 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 152 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in UFC
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x5735…f1f7backed Bautista	16c	179,000$28,640 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28,639.98	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	+1.2wins	+0.11per pick	43cpaid	+26.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3cda…6e17backed Bautista	16c	174,406$27,198 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27,198.16	20	60%12 W · 8 L	+2.4wins	+0.12per pick	48cpaid	+15.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbad…9c95backed Bautista	15c	100,000$15,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,999.99	191	54.5%104 W · 87 L	+14.9wins	+0.08per pick	47cpaid	+13%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0b7b…df0cbacked Bautista	0c	50,000$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+1.7wins	+0.19per pick	36cpaid	+48.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x01ba…b77abacked Bautista	16c	43,000$6,880 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,879.99	222	59.5%132 W · 90 L	+15.1wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+12.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Bautista	16c	25,343$4,045 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,044.64	68	41.2%28 W · 40 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac0d…b006backed Bautista	15c	16,372$2,469 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,469.37	16	56.3%9 W · 7 L	+1.1wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Bautista	15c	12,178$1,827 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,827.31	59	50.8%30 W · 29 L	+5.3wins	+0.09per pick	42cpaid	+14.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb965…151bbacked Bautista	1c	10,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Bautista	15c	7,500$1,125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,124.99	300	39.3%118 W · 182 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf91c…34a4backed Bautista	16c	6,250$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.28per pick	28cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc092…0cd9backed Bautista	16c	6,100$976 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$975.98	121	34.7%42 W · 79 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Bautista	16c	4,100$656 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$655.98	358	26%93 W · 265 L	-7.5wins	-0.02per pick	28cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f7b…d405backed Bautista	15c	3,583$537 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$537.48	26	30.8%8 W · 18 L	-1.3wins	-0.05per pick	36cpaid	-26%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Bautista	9c	3,549$331 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$331.3	201	39.8%80 W · 121 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Bautista	16c	3,146$493 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$493.31	202	33.7%68 W · 134 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7455…93adbacked Bautista	15c	3,043$463 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$462.7	195	31.8%62 W · 133 L	-4.3wins	-0.02per pick	34cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Bautista	17c	2,356$390 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$389.55	149	29.5%44 W · 105 L	-15.2wins	-0.10per pick	40cpaid	-39.4%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x477f…6c45backed Bautista	13c	2,154$289 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$289.15	280	43.2%121 W · 159 L	+10.6wins	+0.04per pick	39cpaid	+7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ff5…f136backed Bautista	17c	2,038$356 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$355.54	59	59.3%35 W · 24 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	58cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x62e2…7b24backed Bautista	16c	1,875$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	17	58.8%10 W · 7 L	+0.8wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30ef…70dfbacked Bautista	17c	1,400$238 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$237.94	109	28.4%31 W · 78 L	-4.3wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb71…10cdbacked Bautista	17c	1,260$214 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$214.2	515	33.6%173 W · 342 L	-7.2wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2ab…f2c3backed Bautista	16c	1,256$201 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$201	12	50%6 W · 6 L	-0.7wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x021a…56cbbacked Bautista	16c	1,248$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199.63	16	31.3%5 W · 11 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	33cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa81b…0663backed Bautista	17c	1,176$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200.12	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.5wins	+0.17per pick	16cpaid	+51.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4dd…6934backed Bautista	18c	1,111$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	28	39.3%11 W · 17 L	-1.3wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9451…c3f9backed Bautista	16c	1,109$177 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$177.41	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	-1.6wins	-0.13per pick	51cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Nurmagomedov	78c	1,100$860 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$239.72	145	30.3%44 W · 101 L	-3.0wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-38.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Bautista	12c	1,007$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123.29	212	47.2%100 W · 112 L	+10.1wins	+0.05per pick	42cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9def…d1a5backed Bautista	17c	1,000$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170	86	55.8%48 W · 38 L	+6.7wins	+0.08per pick	48cpaid	+16.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5cfe…ed69backed Bautista	17c	942.21$163 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$162.6	167	36.5%61 W · 106 L	-7.1wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x33c2…9818backed Bautista	17c	920.79$157 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$156.53	32	50%16 W · 16 L	+1.2wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Bautista	17c	808.7$138 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$137.5	192	30.7%59 W · 133 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2698…a979backed Bautista	18c	800$143 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$143	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.6wins	-0.11per pick	27cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf826…cd1abacked Bautista	16c	797.93$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128.7	77	37.7%29 W · 48 L	-7.4wins	-0.10per pick	47cpaid	-29.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf1cd…a252backed Bautista	16c	718.75$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115	33	42.4%14 W · 19 L	-2.3wins	-0.07per pick	49cpaid	-18.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked Bautista	15c	700$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105	238	50.4%120 W · 118 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0174…f66fbacked Bautista	15c	672.68$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102	100	43%43 W · 57 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9592…a85bbacked Bautista	16c	650$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.5	64	51.6%33 W · 31 L	+4.3wins	+0.07per pick	45cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc122…731fbacked Bautista	17c	638.59$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.56	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Bautista	17c	592.39$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	155	52.3%81 W · 74 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8180…f4dabacked Bautista	17c	588.24$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	49	40.8%20 W · 29 L	-3.1wins	-0.06per pick	47cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb7c…8eabbacked Bautista	17c	588.24$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	28	42.9%12 W · 16 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xee44…0082backed Bautista	17c	588.24$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	45	44.4%20 W · 25 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Bautista	16c	566.49$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.71	124	46.8%58 W · 66 L	+4.0wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9dbd…dde8backed Bautista	18c	563.8$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec57…e0acbacked Bautista	18c	555.56$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+0.9wins	+0.10per pick	45cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x03ac…4f55backed Bautista	16c	549.24$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.88	267	43.8%117 W · 150 L	+7.6wins	+0.03per pick	41cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd353…f6acbacked Bautista	16c	500$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	252	51.2%129 W · 123 L	+9.1wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4534…f867backed Bautista	3c	500$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.7wins	+0.24per pick	43cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf936…f310backed Bautista	16c	500$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	14	50%7 W · 7 L	-0.5wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9621…b76cbacked Bautista	9c	500$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.1wins	-0.15per pick	44cpaid	-49.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x915d…65f9backed Bautista	17c	484.51$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.59	21	23.8%5 W · 16 L	-3.8wins	-0.18per pick	42cpaid	-49.7%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x83ce…1778backed Bautista	17c	484.12$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.4	72	33.3%24 W · 48 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Bautista	14c	470.86$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.93	184	53.8%99 W · 85 L	+2.8wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2771…05debacked Bautista	17c	445.41$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.72	30	50%15 W · 15 L	-1.9wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-18%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Bautista	18c	424.98$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.5	564	50.5%285 W · 279 L	+6.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b9c…900fbacked Bautista	16c	400$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64	78	30.8%24 W · 54 L	-9.1wins	-0.12per pick	42cpaid	-36.1%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8980…d4f4backed Bautista	15c	400$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-31.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfbf2…3ef7backed Bautista	17c	382.35$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65	34	47.1%16 W · 18 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4fcb…08fbbacked Bautista	17c	382.35$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xd7c3…3800backed Bautista	16c	375$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	+2.5wins	+0.17per pick	36cpaid	+29.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x716c…e3a1backed Bautista	16c	375$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd614…1fa3backed Bautista	14c	350$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	377	54.6%206 W · 171 L	+19.6wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x20dd…f6acbacked Bautista	16c	343.75$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	318	55%175 W · 143 L	+5.3wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaeaf…266bbacked Bautista	16c	312.5$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.25per pick	25cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e2b…97b2backed Bautista	16c	309.94$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.59	77	45.5%35 W · 42 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6cb6…ec83backed Bautista	10c	305$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.5	223	42.2%94 W · 129 L	-9.1wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8f44…4a46backed Bautista	16c	300$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…c2f4backed Bautista	14c	285.71$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.27per pick	23cpaid	+55.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x731c…a252backed Bautista	11c	281.83$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.26	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	+1.6wins	+0.11per pick	43cpaid	+29.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x945c…a489backed Bautista	8c	262.5$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.18per pick	32cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca25…aecebacked Bautista	15c	260$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+0.3wins	+0.04per pick	38cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0434…a98cbacked Bautista	13c	250$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	264	51.9%137 W · 127 L	+23.0wins	+0.09per pick	43cpaid	+13.7%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9975…96f9backed Bautista	15c	250$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x929c…8cb6backed Bautista	16c	249.97$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	111	52.3%58 W · 53 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ef6…8c16backed Bautista	20c	248.12$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	113	37.2%42 W · 71 L	-7.0wins	-0.06per pick	43cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfd79…f93ebacked Bautista	14c	229.37$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.2	522	52.9%276 W · 246 L	+15.0wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x06b3…26ffbacked Bautista	8c	225$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbecd…9df4backed Bautista	16c	212.5$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+1.6wins	+0.20per pick	43cpaid	+46.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9f9d…e71abacked Bautista	17c	211.76$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	16	25%4 W · 12 L	-2.5wins	-0.16per pick	41cpaid	-42.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x10cf…010dbacked Bautista	15c	209.98$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.8	43	44.2%19 W · 24 L	+1.7wins	+0.04per pick	40cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1083…3b83backed Bautista	19c	207.18$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.5	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-1.0wins	-0.13per pick	38cpaid	-60%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x36bc…ec72backed Bautista	16c	206.25$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	158	48.1%76 W · 82 L	+9.1wins	+0.06per pick	42cpaid	+10%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x00bd…95f9backed Bautista	16c	200$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	75	44%33 W · 42 L	-10.7wins	-0.14per pick	58cpaid	-27.3%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Bautista	16c	200$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	367	45.8%168 W · 199 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4574…ab3ebacked Bautista	18c	199.82$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.97	287	43.9%126 W · 161 L	-5.7wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e5f…1dc6backed Bautista	17c	176.47$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	20	40%8 W · 12 L	+1.1wins	+0.05per pick	35cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Bautista	11c	158.99$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.28	194	18.6%36 W · 158 L	-3.4wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x17db…9cd3backed Bautista	17c	156.05$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.99	17	58.8%10 W · 7 L	+1.6wins	+0.09per pick	50cpaid	+28.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc8aa…020bbacked Bautista	16c	151.73$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2843…b3d2backed Bautista	17c	150$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.5	211	44.1%93 W · 118 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked Bautista	19c	149.77$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.58	148	27%40 W · 108 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	27cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9363…3608backed Bautista	17c	147.06$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	64	62.5%40 W · 24 L	+5.7wins	+0.09per pick	54cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7ae3…47ccbacked Bautista	17c	147.06$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	-0.7wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d4f…bdfabacked Bautista	16c	146.71$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.47	19	63.2%12 W · 7 L	+3.5wins	+0.18per pick	45cpaid	+60.3%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa71a…e4e2backed Bautista	17c	137.26$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.28	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d28…037ebacked Bautista	17c	133.78$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.83	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.1wins	+0.03per pick	22cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x44ca…fbbcbacked Bautista	15c	133.27$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.99	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Bautista vs. Nurmagomedovthis page
Barnett vs. AbdelwahabAbdelwahab won
Dern vs. JandirobaDern won
Haqparast vs. SalkilldSalkilld won
Klein vs. RebeckiKlein won
Park vs. AliskerovAliskerov won
Rakic vs. MurzakanovMurzakanov won
Raposo vs. MaksumRaposo won
Volkov vs. AlmeidaVolkov won
Wood vs. DelgadoWood won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Bautista vs. Nurmagomedov

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event