TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf936…f310

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
239
Categories scored
22
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: MLB, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 55 out of 100; worst Us Politics at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST6755.2%37 W · 30 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 67 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriots: O/U 45.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$318Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+88.7%+$282
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$680Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+47.1%+$320
Will Lamar Jackson win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$64.51
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$111
Spread: Seahawks (-3.5)backed Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$106
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$650Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+53.8%+$350
Patriots vs. Broncos: O/U 42.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$247Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+78.9%+$194.74
Rams vs. Bearsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$3,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+51.5%+$1,545.45
Texans vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+36.8%+$441.03
Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$16.28
Spread: Seahawks (-7.5)backed 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,190Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$1,190
49ers vs. Seahawksbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$140
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$10.66
Bills vs. Jaguarsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$695Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+67.9%+$471.67
Spread: Packers (-1.5)backed Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$10.76
Spread: Packers (-2.5)backed Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$94
Cowboys vs. Giantsbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$82.11
Spread: Saints (-6.5)backed Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+88.7%+$47
Jets vs. Saintsbacked Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+47.1%+$64
Chargers vs. Cowboysbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+127.3%+$56
Spread: Seahawks (-14.5)backed Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+69.5%+$41
Chiefs vs. Cowboysbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Spread: Lions (-2.5)backed Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$275Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$275
Showing 25 of 67 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST2864.3%18 W · 10 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+17.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rockets vs. Heatbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,284Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$1,283.62
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo not be traded?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$567Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+82.5%+$467.68
Spread: Trail Blazers (-3.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Lakers vs. Trail Blazersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$229Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$229.09
Knicks vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+70%+$41.16
Spread: Celtics (-2.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+85.2%+$46
Lakers vs. Jazzbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+26.6%+$132.91
Kings vs. Nuggetsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+42.9%+$300
Hawks vs. Jazzbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$900Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+26.4%+$237.82
Bulls vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+53.8%+$31.37
Magic vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$11.5
Raptors vs. Netsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+26.6%+$106.33
Spread: Raptors (-9.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+92.3%+$101.54
Celtics vs. Magicbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+138.1%+$174
Rockets vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$380Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$380
Bulls vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+58.7%+$74
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Celtics vs. Pistonsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.2
Pelicans vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$396Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$396.43
Bucks vs. Wizardsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$356Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2025, EST+51.5%+$183.21
Kenny's Young Stars vs. Chuck's Global Starsbacked Chuck's Global Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$521Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2025, EST+52.4%+$273.02
Heat vs. Thunderbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST-100%-$175
Bucks vs. Timberwolvesbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST+93.9%+$216.08
Pistons vs. Bullsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST+50.7%+$101.49
Raptors vs. 76ersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST+400%+$200
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST1822.2%4 W · 14 L-2.5wins-0.14per pick36cpaid-8.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$198
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$120
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$356Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$356
Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+138.1%+$27.62
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$266Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$266
Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$245
Will Zohran Mamdani praise Donald Trump on Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$26
Will Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$114.4
Will more than 2.8 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day by November 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$89.27
Will the Government shutdown end by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will the government shutdown end November 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$850Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+1,002.3%+$8,519.65
Will the federal government be shut down for 30 or more days in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$265Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+89%+$235.5
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$280
Will TikTok be on the App Store on May 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT+25%+$125
Trump releases Epstein list today?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Trump declassifies Epstein list in first 100 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,091Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2025, EST-100%-$1,091.08
Will Matt Gaetz be Trump's Attorney General?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first 100 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST-100%-$25
All 18 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST1662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Indiana (-7.5)backed Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Miami vs. Indianabacked Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,205Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+27.2%+$327.81
Miami vs. Indiana: O/U 47.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$220
Oregon vs. Iowabacked Oregon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+51.5%+$515.15
Oregon vs. Iowa: O/U 40.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+104.1%+$520.41
Georgia vs. Florida Gatorsbacked Georgia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$58.87
Penn State vs. Ohio Statebacked Penn State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Kennesaw State vs. Florida Internationalbacked Kennesaw State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+73.3%+$219.94
Notre Dame vs. Penn Statebacked Penn State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$325Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2025, EST-100%-$325
Indiana vs. Notre Damebacked Notre Dame · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST+40.8%+$102.11
California vs. UNLVbacked UNLV · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$480Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2024, EST+66.7%+$320
Memphis vs. West Virginiabacked Memphis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$510Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST+47.1%+$240
Clemson vs. SMUbacked SMU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST-100%-$600
Ohio vs. Miami (OH)backed Miami (OH) · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2024, EST-100%-$250
Will Ohio State beat Penn State?backed Ohio St · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2024, EDT+61.3%+$98.06
Will Ohio State beat Penn State by 4 or more points?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2024, EDT+112.8%+$112.77
All 16 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST1471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.12per pick60cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+44.9%+$103.33
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$92.5
Cubs vs. Brewersbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Brewers vs. Marlinsbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$158.74
Reds vs. Red Soxbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT+37.4%+$112.16
Cardinals vs. Piratesbacked Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+94.1%+$103.52
Twins vs. Tigersbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$275Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT+37%+$101.71
Rockies vs. Brewersbacked Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$102.15
Rockies vs. Brewersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$203Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$99.99
Dodgers vs. Royalsbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$100
Rays vs. Oriolesbacked Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$204
Athletics vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$30
Rays vs. Royalsbacked Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2025, EDT+86.6%+$46.76
Dodgers vs. Rockiesbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$72.63
All 14 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST1450%7 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Bruna Brasil vs. Ketlen Souza (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)backed Brasil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Volkanovski · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,180Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+69.5%+$820
UFC 325: Fiziev vs. Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Fiziev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$110
UFC 325: Tuivasa vs. Teixeira (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Teixeira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,096Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+27.7%+$304
UFC 325: Elekana vs. Tafa (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Elekana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+40.8%+$58
Fight to Go the Distance?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+67%+$82.25
UFC 325: Elliott vs. Micallef (Welterweight, Early Prelims)backed Micallef · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$638Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+81.8%+$522.05
UFC 322: Brady vs. Morales (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Brady · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Rakic vs. Murzakanovbacked Rakic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$53
Dern vs. Jandirobabacked Jandiroba · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$135
Bautista vs. Nurmagomedovbacked Bautista · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$80
Volkov vs. Almeidabacked Volkov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+177.8%+$64
Haqparast vs. Salkilldbacked Haqparast · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$46
Pantoja vs. Asakurabacked Pantoja · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST+40.8%+$57.18
All 14 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST1136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-32.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$29.6
Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$85.24
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$212Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+88.7%+$188
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+66.7%+$400
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$18.62
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+104.1%+$51
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$275Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+81.8%+$225
Will Trump announce Kevin Hassett as next Fed Chair in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$310
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$80
Will Fed cut interest rates 3 times in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST-100%-$15
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2024 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2024, EDT-100%-$150
All 11 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST1145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-2.5)backed Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$525Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$525.38
Houston Cougars vs. Iowa State Cyclonesbacked Iowa State Cyclones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+70.1%+$420.73
Spread: Connecticut Huskies (-1.5)backed Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$100
USC Upstate Spartans vs. UNC Asheville Bulldogs: O/U 140.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+100%+$100
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Nebraska Cornhuskersbacked Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+104.1%+$102
Spread: Memphis Tigers (-9.5)backed Memphis Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Spread: Michigan State Spartans (-3.5)backed Michigan State Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+94.3%+$47.15
Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Gonzaga Bulldogsbacked Alabama Crimson Tide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$46
Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Illinois Fighting Illinibacked Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$570Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$570
North Texas Mean Green vs. Oregon State Beaversbacked North Texas Mean Green · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Alcorn State vs. Florida A&Mbacked Florida A&M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2025, EST+63.9%+$99.1
All 11 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Sep 18, 2025, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Golden State Valkyries win the 2025 WNBA Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.19
Storm vs Valkyriesbacked Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$110
Aces vs Mercurybacked Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT+342.3%+$342.31
Sky vs Sparksbacked Sparks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$55
Sky vs Valkyriesbacked Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT+25%+$200
Liberty vs Mercurybacked Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Lynx vs Dreambacked Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$101.13
Fever vs Wingsbacked Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$45
Mystics vs Acesbacked Mystics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$2,085Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2025, EDT+25.6%+$534.62
Fever vs Stormbacked Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$2,182Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,182.38
All 10 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-30.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$3,185Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$3,185
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+104.1%+$50.99
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 6, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+108.3%+$52
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 5, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$43
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$174.84
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$119.39
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$348Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$348
Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+113.8%+$227.57
Trump agrees to sell F-35 to Saudi Arabia by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$130
All 9 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+23.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-41.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+91.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Earnings — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 24, 2025, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+50.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+39.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rangers vs. Penguins: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$130.1
Avalanche vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+96.1%+$98
Kraken vs. Stars: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+122.2%+$275
All 3 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lighter Airdrop on December 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$152
Hawk Tuah token by Thanksgiving?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2024, EST-100%-$65
All 2 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Nov 28, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+106.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Meta (META) close above $600 end of November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+106.5%+$106.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$96
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.