WNBA · resolved market
Lynx vs Dream
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf669b7934aa0d61cd6ad994e2619254d2c5339a2ab61b637d1215fa62c699686
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lynxof Lynx, Dream
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $84,944
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $86,341
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $84,944 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Dream | 50c | 21,957$11,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,023.65 | 214 | 40.7%87 W · 127 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Lynx | 48c | 8,630$4,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,495.85 | 117 | 54.7%64 W · 53 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7435…a620backed Lynx | 53c | 5,617$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,616.84 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x166a…5ba5backed Lynx | 49c | 4,058$1,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,058.8 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2482…9475backed Lynx | 63c | 3,349$2,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,246.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Dream | 51c | 3,302$1,672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,672.34 | 128 | 57.8%74 W · 54 L | +11.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Dream | 52c | 3,275$1,708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,708.1 | 124 | 63.7%79 W · 45 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Dream | 37c | 2,605$964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$963.89 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +9.8wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9700…0e70backed Lynx | 49c | 2,231$1,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,129.85 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +38%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Lynx | 51c | 1,781$916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$865.03 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Dream | 39c | 1,500$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585 | 41 | 68.3%28 W · 13 L | +5.4wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Dream | 60c | 1,257$761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760.52 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Lynx | 50c | 988.87$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.44 | 386 | 50.3%194 W · 192 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Lynx | 56c | 661.58$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.25 | 152 | 46.7%71 W · 81 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0a…e004backed Lynx | 32c | 625$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x976c…62b8backed Dream | 34c | 500$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.22per pick | 35cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8485…c13ebacked Lynx | 49c | 420.41$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.41 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Dream | 54c | 401.4$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.85 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Dream | 49c | 396$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.08 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Lynx | 65c | 300$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 175 | 41.1%72 W · 103 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf936…f310backed Lynx | 62c | 266.13$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.13 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07cb…743cbacked Dream | 61c | 243.52$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.55 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33b3…9f56backed Dream | 28c | 228$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.84 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +4.2wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed Lynx | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.31 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Lynx | 52c | 188.35$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.47 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x051d…6980backed Dream | 37c | 183.11$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.24 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Lynx | 65c | 160$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.76 | 125 | 48.8%61 W · 64 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Dream | 44c | 158.1$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.32 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Dream | 43c | 154$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.14 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb142…cd11backed Dream | 47c | 141$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed Lynx | 57c | 139.54$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.54 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…ccf8backed Lynx | 55c | 102.71$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.22 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x866d…4d7dbacked Dream | 46c | 99.41$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.73 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +4.7wins | +0.13per pick | 23cpaid | +61.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Dream | 49c | 99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.77 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Dream | 49c | 99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.77 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Dream | 51c | 91.84$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.84 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Lynx | 61c | 71.99$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.08 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Dream | 49c | 59.92$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.28 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69fc…3f73backed Lynx | 62c | 56.23$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.37 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Dream | 38c | 51.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.75 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10f4…3b7ebacked Dream | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +11.3wins | +0.19per pick | 38cpaid | +81.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked Dream | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +8.4wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed Dream | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0516…dbc2backed Dream | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Dream | 32c | 49.32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.97 | 232 | 34.5%80 W · 152 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…df90backed Dream | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 115 | 52.2%60 W · 55 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Dream | 50c | 36.03$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.02 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Dream | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.71 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.